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Interesting.Quote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
I didn't fire on Miami under today because Whiteside is out, and I think that changes everything.
But I did go with Heat -1 -105, and I am considering grabbing this.
Edit: I did go with it, under 208.
Let's NOT go, Cavs and Pistons!
I also love the Pistons ML. Should be +125 imo
So is under 101.5 in the second half a good bet at 5/6? I guess the cavs will be slowing down but will the Pistons run away with it ? TxQuote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
I don't do any in-game stuff, including 2Hs. 1Q total went 7 points over on relatively normal shooting % FWIWQuote:
Originally Posted by YUUP
Las Vegas sure knows their shit. Cavs leading 66-58 at the half. I took this in game hoping they can't keep this pace up the entire game.
Under 229½ (-115)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
NBA
Total Goals
Reference: #641446405
38 total free throws were shot in the first half and only 5 by Drummond so the clock was stopped a lot.
Yeah what a disaster with the Cavs one. To be honest, I was a bit nervous about it, knowing they were actively trying for a faster pace, but I was talked into it by the previous arguments posted here + Haralabob's tweet.
On the bright side, my Miami one is looking good so far, and my avoidance of the under was a :gooddecision
All over Blazers -5.5 tonight, on my way to Moda Center shortly.
Pre-game degen firing like I usually do when going in person. I hardly ever make reasoned picks that are my own.
The Hornets are my favorite team, and this is the third game of a four-game West coast trip.
They beat the Kings on Monday in an epic 2OT game (Boogie had 56) before getting WAXED by the Jazz.
They're short-handed against a fiery Blazers team that wants to stick it to Batum. Kidd-Gilchrist returning will fuck up perimeter shooting.
Cavs are rolling but lots of fail from Lebron tonight:
Cavs pace number has actually gone down in the 3 games under Lue. This game was a fluke with 40% more free throws than expected. Tough to win an under with the clock always stopped.
We move on.
Gary Woodland +470 to win Farmers Insurance Open
Walter football now has Shaq going to the Giants in round 2 at pick 40. He's up to 12.5 at sites who have draft props.
In UFC betting, Ryan Bader has moved from +320 to +225 behind 67% of bets vs. Anthony Johnson.
gimme the panthers -10 and -13/14 for +odds
Just read somewhere that Luke Kuechly, linebacker for Carolina, has more post season TD's this year, than all of the Denver WR's combined.
thnk me later
These fckers from Texas Tech R really fcking retarded!!! Plus 6.5 dead.in OT.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
thnk me later
:boom
Interesting situation with Golden State / Philly game...
So I was up briefly around 6am, due to being sick.
Looked at the NBA lines and saw Philly/Golden State 217.5 total, and considered hammering Golden State over again.
Noticed that Philly's recent increased scoring has been somewhat aided by OTs, including a 2OT game.
Decided that I was too afraid of a 125-90 type result, and backed off of it. I just didn't trust Philly enough to score a lot.
Halftime it was 73-54, for 127 points. So it looked pretty much like a lock, and I was annoyed with myself for not betting it.
Then only 36 points came in the 3rd, and 50 in the 4th. Final score 108-105. Wasn't even as close as it looked (total-wise), because there was a ton of scoring in the final 2 minutes.
That would have been a brutal beat had I bet it.
I bet Warriors -10.5 first half and -17.5 for the game. First half was an easy cash then the Warriors shooting went uncharacteristically very cold in the second half, along with them being very sloppy with the ball too.
It's crazy how the Warriors blew a 24 point lead that they had at one point early in the third quarter needing to make a shot on their last possession to win the game.
Amazing stat of the Day:
Warriors had 26 assists in the first half and only 35 points in the second half.
I bet Spurs -1.5 tonight. They just continue to cover games and even though the Cavs are good at home I still can't pass this up.
On this as well, but got it at -1 around noon today.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
I went with San Antonio as well, -1.5 -105
I think Cavs will be tired from yesterday, and SA is a better team.
It's one thing beating Detroit, it's another beating the Spurs.
I also have a bet on Spurs -0.5 1Q. So far this is not looking great out of the gate but we will see.
Testing a theory here lately fading teams who are playing the second game of a back to back in the first quarter versus a team who didn't play the night before that has a better than .500 record. I would never fade a few teams like the Warriors for and probably not the Spurs or Thunder.
I won with Raptors -2.5 1Q earlier. Pistons had to travel after last nights game to Toronto to play a game starting 23 hours from the night before and they are getting rocked tonight in the overall game too.
Hate to say it, BeerAndPoker, but a 1st quarter bet on Spurs is looking pretty bad right now.
As far as the game bet, a 7-point early deficit isn't good, but isn't that meaningful.
Yeah, that one not looking good at all.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I beginning to think betting Cavs overs for the next few games might be worth looking at a lot if they are really going to stick to playing this tempo and continuing to do it well.
Three fouls on Aldridge in the first quarter. I realize the Spurs are without Duncan but Aldridge still should have been on the bench after the second one.
Agree that Cavs look like a good over bet for awhile.
Spurs are lucky to only be 10 down. They are playing terribly, and don't seem to have an answer for the Cavs' fast pace. They also are shooting very poorly.
Whole game has looked like a mess. This is going to be a blowout unless they get things together.
Last night was the same thing a wide open Kevin Love and he don't miss much when that happens.
When does it become +ev to try for a middle?
If you have -4 -105 does it start to look good at +5.5 where we are? Or +6?
Hope you guys loaded up on that Cruz arbitrage.
So it looks like Lady GaGa for the National anthem. I found her doing one at a lgbt event in 2013. She clocked in at 2:14 but didn't even ham it up all that much. I'd feel comfortable saying over 2:14
Come full circle on this ESP because Bovada made the line 2:20. Under.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Liking Georgetown +4.5 @ Butler
Lillard under 24
Pistons/Knicks Under 203
Pelicans -10.5
Suns +8 (I like this significantly less than the 2 above, but it still is a very tempting line as I think Phoenix could actually run away with this game if it plays out right)
This is more than I usually bet in a night, but these are all look like good spots to me.
Are there any player props for Markieff Morris or Devon Book tonight? I cannot find any but of of these guys have amazing matchups and are now the #1 and #2 options for their teams and will see a lot of minutes tonight.
Booker will probably not guard Harden, so he shouldn't be a risk for foul trouble or getting tired from chasing him around - they will put PJ Tucker on Harden and allow Booker to focus on scoring as he will be facing Harden's lol defense.
Phoenix is now running their offense through Markieff and he is not shy about shooting. Houston is awful against power forwards... he should have a huge night tonight.
Agree on Phoenix. I make them +5/+5.5 here.
My best bets for the super bowl....
GaGa under 2:175 -150
McManus first KO touchback -200
Newton Over 30.5 PA
Tolbert Under 10.5
Olsen O 5 -135
Gatorade Orange +100
MVP Thanks God First +200
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Daly,
Thanks for coming on the show last night. Again- apologies for the fail and keeping you waiting so long.
I'd love to have you back on. You come off like many of the touts I hear on local radio here in Vegas except you're much more educated and articulate.
Definitely would like to do a march madness show with you and China next month.
Godspeed
You have to be kidding me? It was my pleasure. NCAAB is probably the weakest link in my chain but I'm always up to talk Gambling, Poker or Vegas.Quote:
Originally Posted by DrexelQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Daly,
Thanks for coming on the show last night. Again- apologies for the fail and keeping you waiting so long.
I'd love to have you back on. You come off like many of the touts I hear on local radio here in Vegas except you're much more educated and articulate.
Definitely would like to do a march madness show with you and China next month.
Godspeed
Best of luck and keep the hits coming.
Point of clarification from my guest appearance on the Drexel show.... I do think that Denver +6 is the bet on the game. I'm not so hot on the Den ML. I stand by my comments on the Denver D being disrespected and I think they hold Car to 24-21 points. I do think that wI'll be enough to get it done. I see this as a 21-17 Carolina W.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Denver defense is very good but don't discount the fact that Peyton is a dinosaur QB who could throw an interception at any moment pinned deep where Carolina scores off that. The same could go for Cam but I don't think it will.
Carolina defense is also under rated by many coming into this game versus a team that has really struggled to score at times. This Carolina team made the best offense in football look like trash in their last game forcing seven turnovers.
If the Panthers score 24 points that might be enough for them where they win in a 24-17(or less) type of game.
Some great defenses can get lit up when their offense can't move the ball so they give their opponent mid field position after going three and out punting it away.
Then we have Cam Newton who can really puzzle the Broncos defense in ways they haven't had to deal with all year.
If Carolina does put up a bunch of early points it will be very tough for Denver to come back. This isn't Seattle who had a more consistent offense this year after like week 6 then Denver has.
If Denver does win it will be some 17-14 type of game imo.