Blazers +9 is a 60% play
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Blazers +9 is a 60% play
Ha that is good enough for me. Gl
Rodgers getting his shit pushed in today.
Arizona looking Super Bowl bound if they continue to play on this level.
Love it, 3x betQuote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Love it, 3x betQuote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
Should have splashed that moneyline, Portland wins :outright
Game moneyline was pretty much the only exposure I didn't have on POR. I was loaded up on 1H pk +235 which they led most of before fucking it off by 2. 1Q, 1H and FT sides all cashed easily. Good result.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Should have splashed that moneyline, Portland wins :outright
Bengals +4.5 -115 wins 58%
Spurs -14
Jazz -10
Capitals -1
Wild -1
Canucks ML 130
Avalanche ML 165
Canucks -1.5 +345 small
Avalanche -1.5 +420 small
BOL!!
With Mccarron throwing today and the fact he got picked off for 6 to a shitty Pitt D, this bet against the Denver Defense who is pissed off about last week might pay off...
$10.00 $250.00 Pending 12/28/15 8:25pm NFL Props Football 3745 First score a DEN defense/spec.teams TD +2500* vs Any other score first
Where do you get your calculation? How often are they correct?Quote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
I saw the replies to my 'post game' analysis. Hates gunna hate. What you think I was lying?
Tonight I like Denver -4.5 but not terribly in love with this pick.
I was hating on you?Quote:
Originally Posted by ThisGuyisWhatWhere do you get your calculation? How often are they correct?Quote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
I saw the replies to my 'post game' analysis. Hates gunna hate. What you think I was lying?
Tonight I like Denver -4.5 but not terribly in love with this pick.
My numbers are derived from models and the market. They're correct often enough that I've been doing this as a full-time occupation for 10 years.
AJ McCarron is looking pretty impressive so far! I like it.
Absolutely love the NBA plays although you could have gotten better prices.Quote:
Originally Posted by P4pres
I was not referring to you or hating on your 'model'. Just asking.Quote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalkI was hating on you?Quote:
Originally Posted by ThisGuyisWhat
My numbers are derived from models and the market. They're correct often enough that I've been doing this as a full-time occupation for 10 years.
Shanked ... sickening I have cinci and under
I needed 41 4th Qtr points for the Utah over. I miss it by 11. How is that possible, two NBA teams score 30 total points in a quarter combined?
I was looking at a 5-1 night, have to settle for 4-2 or maybe 3-2-1 if Den gets an OT TD.....
-)
That was a great sweat
let's keep trolling this guy, maybe he will stop posting winning playsQuote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
well, that was an ugly way to lose an over...
oh well
Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
Dunno why anyone would pick the over. There were too many identifying factors saying the under.
Agree 100% with your sentiment. This dude has been money so far. Maybe people should get off his assQuote:
Originally Posted by big dicklet's keep trolling this guy, maybe he will stop posting winning playsQuote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
IAPT is god.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Agree 100% with your sentiment. This dude has been money so far. Maybe people should get off his assQuote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Like I said, if he is who I suspect he is, the fucking red carpet should be rolled out for him.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Agree 100% with your sentiment. This dude has been money so far. Maybe people should get off his assQuote:
Originally Posted by big dick
4-4 +1.70Quote:
Originally Posted by P4pres
any wagers on the first Bowl game today?
I made it Cal -5.5 -120 and played -105.
My son's HS football team is one of the few in IL that does the Triple Option Offense. Good lord, is it tough to stop. In the past 10 years, I think they have at least gotten to the final four teams 5 times. I hope Cal has been practicing like crazy for this.
I'm just somebody posting on an internet forum. The correct strategy is to assume I'm full of shit.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dickLike I said, if he is who I suspect he is, the fucking red carpet should be rolled out for him.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
There isn't anybody on this forum that I dislike.
There exist some members who we wish would post more. There are guys who trade or play with risk whose personality is not introspective. I know guys who play well or successfully trade who don't spend one nanosecond contemplating their navel. Maybe good writers have to be a little introspective.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dickLike I said, if he is who I suspect he is, the fucking red carpet should be rolled out for him.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
One of the themes in The Big Short (a story about big bets & risk) revolves around two or three characters who absolutely lack introspection and/or give two shits about how they are perceived by others. Michael Burry & Steve Eisman are two examples. These two guys are the best part of the story ironically. (Disclaimer: Havent seen movie yet)
Separating your emotions from the gamble is probably a key to success. No ego. No fucking dreams. They see no romance in what they do. I live too much in my head and that is my weakness.
My bigdick read has you pegged this way. You are in-the-moment. You travel the world, livin the life. You see no romance in it. You ever post any trip report or just one fucking picture from Ireland? It just ain't in your range. I suspect IAPT is the same. China is another one - less sure. Cmoney may be another (not a word from Japan)
I wait for the rare post and just say "thank you".
The other possibility is that they just don't have the energy for the trolling. So your comment about getting off IAPT's ass is appreciated by me too. Whatever it takes to get him active.
big dick is in Ireland? I'm going to be in Dublin next week.
the line for NC got all the way down to -2.5 so I grabbed that. Baylor still has their top guys out on offense. WRs, QBs
missing their top 2 qbs, their leading rusher, and their all american wide receiver.
ESPN just scrolled that Baylor has a 59% of winning. strange. Line is now back to -3.5 for NC
I took some good Baylor numbers but no real opinion on the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
Don't I wish... im in the midwest until I retire.Quote:
Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk
Hawks pk +150, true line +136
Eagles just fired Chip Kelly
Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
:moonlanding
http://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sho...ing-Chip-Kelly
LSU -7
Texas Tech defense is hurting (their coach even admitted it) and they know Fournette will be tearing them up. They are the 3rd worst team in the country against the run, and Fornette needs 259 yards to hit 2000. They allowed 4 people this year to go over 200 yards rushing, and one of them was a freshman.
Tex tech giving up over 40 pts /game
Eagles are +3 right now, +150ML, I'm thinking they come out strong maybe even if its just for the 1st half. Opinions?
the gross thing is that he is a favorite to get it if les gives him the carries and doesn't give guice a lot of carries...he will absolutely shit on the tech defense...they are beyond horrible on defense...Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
You can get LSU -6.5 at over half of the books.
With that said Texas Tech is gonna roll.
With that said it's sitting at 7.5 on bovada now.
I think Texas Tech team total over might be the best bet.
Kingsbury will LOVE punishing the SEC.