Printable View
This may actually be a decent halftime bet on the Sixers if they fall much farther behind (11 at the time I'm writing this, with 4 min left in the half).
But I doubt it will be the requisite 20, and therefore I will have to see that line before I suggest firing on it.
Well, Kobe is starting to look like 2015 Kobe again, down to 6-for-16 shooting (after a 5-for-11 start).
He has drained 4 three pointers out of 11, though.
Philly playing awful, though, and are still down 8 despite Lakers only shooting 44%.
It's halftime, and I probably won't bet this one, as 8 is too close of a margin, even though I believe Philly will do better in the 2nd half, especially as old Kobe tires.
For Pelicans, Tyreke Evans and Norris Cole are both back tonight.
Well, Bovada has Philly -3 -110 and Cleveland -8 -115 (down 11 at the half, despite being at HOME versus a 6-8 Washington team).
So I'm taking both and holding my breath.
Neither is my "conventional" halftime bet, so beware.
BGC looking good so far on his two games.
Anthony Davis looking really good and starting point guard Evans has his season debut tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
What is making you go with the Pelicans, aside from the fact that Memphis looked pretty bad the last time out against Philly?Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
I'm going to tail your Wolves bet.
So far my prediction of an epic Lakers fail at Philly hasn't come true.... 33-28 Lakers right now... but that's thanks to Kobe's 5-for-11 shooting, which shouldn't last. I don't care how emotional this return home is for him. His body is shot. Public loved Philly, moving line from +1 to -2 (I got it early, thankfully).
I really hope Rubio plays tonight, or I think we are fucked.
Ah, I missed the return of Evans and Cole. Makes sense.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitAnthony Davis looking really good and starting point guard Evans has his season debut tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Figures that the only BGC pick I tail is losing by 7 to start the game, while the other 2 are looking good.
:gay
*If I go 0-5 today, I think I am taking a break from the NBA, aside from those special halftime bets.
WHAT IS WRONG with the Cavs??
I should just quit these halftime bets which stray from my formula. They aren't working out for me.
They come out against a mediocre team, down 11 at halftime at home, and give up another 8 straight points.
So I can kiss that money goodbye, barring a major turnaround. What a joke. I guess they were due for a breakdown at home after starting 9-0, but geez.
Memphis University -2 first half.
Minnesota will come back druff.
On the plus side, Philly just came out 8-0 in the 2nd, so if this continues, I'll win my double bet there.
At least it's not too hard to count on the Lakers to be terrible, even though Philly is terrible themselves.
Kind of a mini-fight at the Lakers/Philly game where Hibbert went nuts after his jersey was grabbed, and everyone started shoving one another.
Fault on both sides, but Hibbert shoved a ref (maybe accidentally), so perhaps ejections coming.
North dakota state +8 2nd half.
if Kobe finishes this game with more threes attempted than total points he should win an award. Currently 14 threes, 17 pts. He has done that once this year in the 1-14 game with 7t/4pts.
:fail
May have to lay a second bet on Orlando at the half, down 15 now.
BTW, this Sixers/Lakers game is brutal to watch. It's like a perpetual game of reserve players.
Pitt -1
Lakers are MELTING DOWN, with the Sixers now up 94-80.
Looks like my repeated prediction that the Sixers would win tonight is going to be correct.
Sadly, looks like my other two bets (especially the halftime Cavs) are going to lose.
So 2-2 looks likely today.
I guess I still have an outside shot to win Minnesota if Orlando shits the bed in the 2nd half, but I'm not betting Minn -5 at halftime.
I wrote this 3 days ago. I only I had such foresight with my other bets lately.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
And in the great irony of Kobe Bryant's career, he finally did something for the city of Philadelphia where he grew up.
With Minnesota down 17, I am pretty safe calling this a 2-2 day, and I'm now a middling 19-19 for the year.
GL in your other two fairly close ones, BGC.
Damn, Kobe went and made 1 more two and a free throw or else it would have tied. 17 threes shot, 20 points scored. Unbelievable.
Derek Jeter can feel better about his retirement tour now. At least he was barely league average.
Sorry on Minnesota Druff. Shoulda been OT
College
2nd half unc/Maryland under 80
Unc -3
Last 2 days have been really frustrating, with TWO teams storming back from huge deficits, only to blow it at the end. First OKC, then Minnesota.
Anyway...
Golden State -9 at Charlotte - Hornets are without Al Jefferson. They barely beat crappy Milwaukee the other day. This should be an easier one for the Warriors than the tough and tenacious Utah team they just faced.
San Antonio vs. Milwaukee Under 189.5 - Last 3 games, Bucks scored 90, 82, 74. San Antonio has allowed just 89.8 points per game this year! I predict this stifling defense will keep the score low.
Washington -10 vs. Lakers - Both teams played yesterday. Wizards surprised Cleveland and beat them, while the Lakers allowed 0-18 Philly to beat them by double digits. I think the Lakers are going to get killed here, back-to-back on the road.
Just bet SA/Mil Under 190 -115 on Bovada, as well as Washington -10
Bovada has GS -9.5 -105 so I think I will hold off on that one, as most books have it as -9 right now.
Ha ha. Both chasing same shit.
Literally just took wash and lakers first half all in before clicking thread.
Not even looking at rest unless I win.
Here is my theory on first half bets over/under, with no data to back it up:
I think that first half under bets are usually superior to full game under bets IF the two teams are fairly evenly matched, and IF the first half line is equal or better than half the full game line.
This is because evenly matched teams are both more likely to go to OT and have intentional fouling at the end, and these factors are bad for under bets.
The converse is also true. So if you're making an over bet, it's better to bet full game in the case where the teams are fairly evenly matched.
At the same time, if the under bet is on a lopsided matchup, I think it's inconclusive whether it's better to go with first half or the full game. Your under bet won't get screwed by trash time (where often the score runs up due to lack of defense), but you also have an advantage where the winning team will hold the ball during the final 24 seconds -- something that has saved my unders many a time.
But basically if I'm going with an under and if the teams are fairly evenly matched, I am taking the first half unless the line is bad compared to the full game total.
I took Warriors -9.5 but think it's nuts they are still only -13.5 in live betting with a 28-15 lead with 4:20 left in the first quarter. That seems too amazing that if I wasn't already on them for all I'm willing to bet this game I'd be going firing on that.
Keep in mind they will rest their starters quite a bit if they have a 15+ pt lead.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Also keep in mind in the first quarter they were making retarded 3's from everywhere. They will slow a bit.
I agree they will be resting starters up but they might have a 30 point lead when that happens so if I didn't bet the Warriors already I would take them at what essentially is Warriors .5 for the last 3.33 quarters of play vs. an improved but average NBA team.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogKeep in mind they will rest their starters quite a bit if they have a 15+ pt lead.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Also keep in mind in the first quarter they were making retarded 3's from everywhere. They will slow a bit.
Have a feeling the HORNETS will win this
:outright
Warriors came out stomping them, but let them back in the game. 60-51 at halftimeQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
Lakers somehow took like a 16 point lead, but it's down to 6 at the half. Still not looking great for -10 for Washington, though I think they will win. Hard to ever count out a team against the Lakers, though. They were up 8 against Philly yesterday at halftime and lost by more than 10.
Right now the books are forecasting the Warriors to win by 12 and the Wizards to win by 4.
Golden State going to easily cover, Wizards going to NOT cover, and San Antonio under slightly behind, but could go either way.
Amazing how many Kobe fans turned up in D.C. tonight. Louder cheers when he makes a shot than when the home team makes a shot.
Going to sell high on Orlando.
Utah -4 tonight in Utah
They almost beat Golden State. Let that sink in. This team has had a pretty tough schedule so far, and has looked better as the season has gone on. They have beaten Atlanta, Memphis, Toronto, Clippers, and almost Golden State. Among their 8 losses were Golden State, Cleveland, OKC, Miami, and Dallas.
Bovada has a LOL -115 right now, so I'm going to wait out betting on it. Line has trended downward after starting 5.5, so I think it might fall a bit more anyway.
Post #15000
Good luck. Good luck. Orlando is one of my pet teams so I struggle to bet against them. The line is moving in your direction because Utahs starting center Gobert is out. He's pretty important to that team.
It doesn't say Gobert is out on the site I check (scoresandodds.com).Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
But you're right: http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/3032976/rudy-gobert
Good thing you posted that. I won't bet it now.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffIt doesn't say Gobert is out on the site I check (scoresandodds.com).Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
But you're right: http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/3032976/rudy-gobert
Good thing you posted that. I won't bet it now.
Well do what you want. I am pretty sure the initial line that went up was knowing he was out and the betters think hes more important than Vegas. I'd rather not block your win. I've been running pretty cold.
Bet kings and kings under last night. Don't know if it's good bet or not because I normally don't like betting against the guys haralabob says are good coaches.
Also, interestingly enough the site I go also does not have it. I guess it's already old news???
http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/n...ball-Headlines
I just happened to read the little pregame write up on the game after you posted.
The packers are professionals at giving up TD to Tight Ends.
Ebron is in the doghouse and is seeing the field less and less.
Brandon Pettigrew +2500
Header: Packers @ Lions - Player to score the first touchdown in the game - All players are action
Risk/Win: $100.00/$2,500.00
Brandon Pettigrew +1200
Header: Packers @ Lions - Player to score the Lions first touchdown in the game - All players are action
Risk/Win: $100/$1200
Toronto down 12 at home vs. Denver in the 2nd.
Possible halftime bet.
GB Blows, I hope they lose by 70
Steph Curry is the NioNio of basketball
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...he-revolution/