Not liking this now.
Lions looking like the Lions now. KC started out looking lost, and now they are dominating.
14-7 lead seems insurmountable.
Not liking this now.
Lions looking like the Lions now. KC started out looking lost, and now they are dominating.
14-7 lead seems insurmountable.
Power of negative thinking
Props (no pun intended) to San for taking advantage of the ancient wainwright.
Great picks.
My first NFL pick just needs to not fuck up the final 2 minutes with the ball, up 21-20.
Well, I squeaked by.
I wasn't as impressed by Detroit as some. They were inconsistent, but so were the Chiefs. There was also some bad coaching, most notably the Chiefs decision to kick the FG up 17-14, in the fourth quarter, when at 4th and 2. That FG put them up 6 instead of 3 (not buying much except for the ability to avoid OT from an opponent FG), and that ended up burning them. Lions got a TD, Chiefs couldn't score again, and that was all she wrote.
21-20, but it counts the same in the record book for me as a blowout. One of my strengths last year in NFL betting was a number of dog moneyline wins, and I'm off to a +1.75 unit start here after game 1.
Nice after a disappointing 1-4 start to NCAAF, and an epic slump in MLB putting me slightly in the red for the season.
Sanlmar, where did you find those HR lines? A private book, BOL, or elsewhere?
Regarding the Ravens, I think they're overrated. They've got injury history, and ODB is already questionable for game 1.
You probably won't see it in the first game, as they're playing the Texans, who are still awful.
But the Ravens wouldn't be a bad fade in future games where the competition will be tougher.
From my post earlier today DraftKings
In other wordsI missed the best props numbers but I have a solution. I am going to Same Game Parlay (DK) Atlanta team total over 4.5 (alt) with each of the following home run props. The number listed is the resulting SGP odds and are in line with what I should have expected raw. My correlated philosophy is if the home run comes thru the team total will follow
Acunia +400
Ozunia +310
Rosario +650
Harris +700
I took each HR player and parlayed with ATL team total 4.5. The line was 6.5 but I used an alternative number cause I’m a gutless nit.
Ah, Draftkings.
So I couldn't do it, because California still has no legalized online gambling. Lovely.
I hate the Ravens, but they’re always a tough fucking team. At the end of the day, they had to start Ty Huntly against the Bengals in the playoffs and lost when he fumbled a ball stretching for the end zone and it went back 98 yards the other way. 14 point turnaround in a playoff game ultimately decided by 7. To me, they are among the true contenders to make it out of the AFC, but I don’t trust Lamar in that spot. Still, they are always better than they look on paper.
Unfortunately I haven't yet identified a wildly overrated team to fade this year like last year's Saints.
Lol, looks like it was a sweat and a half. That’s what you get with Aryna! She’s a headcase but you just hope she comes good in the end as she’s clearly the best player especially on hard court.
Wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar comeback in the final (just like in Aus Open vs an excellent Rybakina)
Quite often she needs to get the extreme nerves out of the way first
BALLIN'!!
It’s just a question of how much I have on Aryna at -125
Might sprinkle on 2-0 at +225 also
Edit: I’m on. Not bothering with straight sets given she got bagel’d in the first last night lol
Confirmed Muchova was playing through arm pain fs, said she was playing at 60%
Last edited by Starbucks Spunk Bucket; 09-08-2023 at 03:12 AM.
BALLIN'!!
I thought I heard something about a weather play for the Eagles/Patriots Sunday on car radio. That always gets my attention. Always +EV to fade weather. “Weather is over rated” (tm)
Weather really is only a minimal threat of showers. It’s warm for Mass football but it ain’t Texas.
I notice I have a Mac Jones over 200 passing yards +100 boost (DK) on a 225.5 market atm. I’m sure there is a different bet offered for each market
I’m really not a Pats fan and when pressed like everyone else I’m a Zappe guy not Max Jones. Just a super casual take.
Any ideas @Daly or the guys?
Let's go for some aggressive betting on today's games. My 1-4 NCAAF record be damned...
Georgia Southern -7 -105 vs UAB (don't take if line goes to -7.5)
Texas Tech +195 vs Oregon (+6 ok)
Sam Houston +14 -114 vs Air Force (buy 0.5 points to get to +14)
Ball State +42 -110 at Georgia
Rice +8 -110 vs Houston (0.5 units)
Rice +265 vs Houston (0.5 units)
NC State +235 vs Notre Dame
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