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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #601
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    No O/U picks today.

    I would have picked Toronto -7 against Lakers, but they are without DeRozan, so their performance is kinda unpredictable. That's the reason I also won't be taking the over. Just going to pass on that game and watch how Toronto looks without him, as he will be out a month or more.

    DWade is coming back today, so I like Miami -3 -115 against NY. New York is bad (4-13), and much like when Westbrook came back to OKC, I can easily see a beatdown here against NY. If Wade were coming back against a tougher team, I think the impact would be less, but these guys really want to make a statement upon their return from a long absence, and it's far easier against an opponent that sucks. Note that Carmelo is not likely to play today for NY.

    I am staying away from the O/U, most notably because the Knicks have struggled to score in Carmelo's absence, but at the same time the 188 total is on the low side considering Wade's return, so I'm just going to skip the O/U here.

  2. #602
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Steelers -3 -115 2nd half 1 unit
    steelers ml live +195. .5 unit
    Nice backdoor cover on the Steelers -3 2h. Usually them things go the other way.

  3. #603
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Steelers -3 -115 2nd half 1 unit
    steelers ml live +195. .5 unit
    Nice backdoor cover on the Steelers -3 2h. Usually them things go the other way.

    So very lucky. Two prevent TD backdoor.

    pats +3

  4. #604
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I took Miami -3.5 anyway because the Vegas line moved to that, so at least I'm not losing value over the actual line.

    Wish I could have gotten -3 but that was not available on Bovada from the time I started looking.

    Go DWade!

  5. #605
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    GB is just killing NE but killing themselves worse. Feels like their up by 4 tds.

  6. #606
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShadyJ View Post
    GB is just killing NE but killing themselves worse. Feels like their up by 4 tds.
    I really didnt understand why everyone liked NE. Even all the local sportswriters picked them to win. After Philly killed Dallas in Dallas I thought GB would win easy. The more I thought about it the more times I bet on them. makes up for my Balt-5.5 blowing it and NYGs being the NYGs.

  7. #607
    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
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    Den and O tonight
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    "Only God can judge me. So either LOVE ME or LEAVE ME ALONE"


    IG- Changethegame71 tell me more about how much you hate me, even though you know you can't help but follow me

  8. #608
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    INTERNET/-1 34805183 11/30/2014 10:01:38 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET[LOSE] [458] BALTIMORE RAVENS -5½-110 LOSE 11/25/2014 6:16:06 PM
    INTERNET/-1 35022574 11/30/2014 10:01:48 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET[LOSE] [459] NEW YORK GIANTS -3-110 LOSE 11/30/2014 8:40:43 AM
    INTERNET/-1 35016049 11/30/2014 10:01:48 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET[WIN] [465] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS o54½-110 WIN 11/30/2014 7:15:18 AM
    INTERNET/-1 35022740 11/30/2014 1:04:01 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET[WIN] [470] ATLANTA FALCONS +2-110 WIN 11/30/2014 8:42:02 AM
    INTERNET/-1 35053056 11/30/2014 1:25:00 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET[WIN] [1472] 1H GREEN BAY PACKERS -1-115 WIN 11/30/2014 1:12:21 PM
    INTERNET/-1 34761585 11/30/2014 1:25:00 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET[WIN] [472] GREEN BAY PACKERS -3-110 WIN 11/24/2014 1:43:34 PM
    INTERNET/-1 35016132 11/30/2014 1:25:00 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET[WIN] [472] GREEN BAY PACKERS -2½-110 WIN 11/30/2014 7:16:38 AM
    INTERNET/-1 35054211 11/30/2014 1:25:00 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET[WIN] [472] GREEN BAY PACKERS -2½-110 WIN 11/30/2014 1:19:29 PM

    Go Chiefs +2!

  9. #609
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    Den and O tonight
    2 words for you.

    Eric Berry

    They all have t shirts with his name on. Going to play their best. Hats off to Denver if they can win.

  10. #610
    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShadyJ View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    Den and O tonight
    2 words for you.

    Eric Berry

    They all have t shirts with his name on. Going to play their best. Hats off to Denver if they can win.


    How'd that work out for the Vols yesterday against Vandy at -17


    stfu
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    "Only God can judge me. So either LOVE ME or LEAVE ME ALONE"


    IG- Changethegame71 tell me more about how much you hate me, even though you know you can't help but follow me

  11. #611
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by ShadyJ View Post

    2 words for you.

    Eric Berry

    They all have t shirts with his name on. Going to play their best. Hats off to Denver if they can win.


    How'd that work out for the Vols yesterday against Vandy at -17


    stfu
    Listen you can lead a fat fuck to water but you cant make him drink it.

  12. #612
    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShadyJ View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post



    How'd that work out for the Vols yesterday against Vandy at -17


    stfu
    Listen you can lead a fat fuck to water but you cant make him drink it.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    "Only God can judge me. So either LOVE ME or LEAVE ME ALONE"


    IG- Changethegame71 tell me more about how much you hate me, even though you know you can't help but follow me

  13. #613
    Gold SetofKs's Avatar
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    If you want a +EV bet and have bovada bet KC +2..... They are -1 on every normal site

  14. #614
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I took Miami -3.5 anyway because the Vegas line moved to that, so at least I'm not losing value over the actual line.

    Wish I could have gotten -3 but that was not available on Bovada from the time I started looking.

    Go DWade!
    Todd - you seem to have a good feel for how a game "should" play. Have you thought about branching out to NBA props? I've done great over the years with NHL and NFL props and the most important part to prop success is identifying spots where a player will out/under perform the mean.

    Food for thought... I bet you would do well.

  15. #615
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I took Miami -3.5 anyway because the Vegas line moved to that, so at least I'm not losing value over the actual line.

    Wish I could have gotten -3 but that was not available on Bovada from the time I started looking.

    Go DWade!

    trouble brewing my friend.

  16. #616
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
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    Well Calgary won by only 4 so we're fucked. Talk about a total almost chokeage. The game shouldn't have been close but ended up that way. 20-16 final.
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  17. #617
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    Well Calgary won by only 4 so we're fucked. Talk about a total almost chokeage. The game shouldn't have been close but ended up that way. 20-16 final.
    This game turned to shit quickly. That flag on the Calgary cb stepping over/on the shithead on Hamilton was a ball buster.

  18. #618
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    Well Calgary won by only 4 so we're fucked. Talk about a total almost chokeage. The game shouldn't have been close but ended up that way. 20-16 final.


    Such a good start, too.

    I think that's my first and last bet on the CFL in my life.

  19. #619
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    At least my Miami -3.5 pick won. Really liked that one.

    Now 12-12-2 on my NBA bets. Better than that on picks I've posted but not bet, but I'm only counting the ones I bet.

  20. #620
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
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    the rams defense/special teams are going to be so god damn good

    too bad i'll have to fly to LA to see a home game

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