Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31061
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Been on a fucking cooler lately. Lost on LSU even though they were up late in the 3rd 19-10. Then I lost the point spread on the Pats last night. I am not pissed though on the Pats, Brady could have played it safe at the end, but instead chucked two end zone passes to Antonio Brown with a minute left. First one should have been a easy TD but Brown lost it in the lights. He catches either one and I win and make up my LSU loss. Mac Jones is going to be a huge star for the Pats.

    I got the over 51.5 tonight on LV-LA. On paper this looks like a shootout.
    Meant lost the point spread for the Bucs. For some reason I still think Brady plays for the Pats.

  2. #31062
    Silver BlunderMaker's Avatar
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    Raiders ML

  3. #31063
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Suzy Kolber not bad for an older Jew

    She was definitely not pretty when she was younger. Hmmmm. Maybe it’s the hair.

    I obviously got nothing happening.

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    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Suzy Kolber not bad for an older Jew

    She was definitely not pretty when she was younger. Hmmmm. Maybe it’s the hair.

    I obviously got nothing happening.
    Neither do the raiders

    Glad I didn’t bet anything preflop.

  5. #31065
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Suzy Kolber not bad for an older Jew

    She was definitely not pretty when she was younger. Hmmmm. Maybe it’s the hair.

    I obviously got nothing happening.
    Neither do the raiders

    Glad I didn’t bet anything preflop.
    Yeah, +3 is drawing dead but I think I’m live +9.

    Oh, who am I kidding?

  6. #31066
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Been on a fucking cooler lately. Lost on LSU even though they were up late in the 3rd 19-10. Then I lost the point spread on the Pats last night. I am not pissed though on the Pats, Brady could have played it safe at the end, but instead chucked two end zone passes to Antonio Brown with a minute left. First one should have been a easy TD but Brown lost it in the lights. He catches either one and I win and make up my LSU loss. Mac Jones is going to be a huge star for the Pats.

    I got the over 51.5 tonight on LV-LA. On paper this looks like a shootout.


    Yeah, I am in trouble, we are all part of the same forum win or lose.

    But yeah, I am 25-75 going into this second half, 25 being me. Large bet going in flames.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Been on a fucking cooler lately. Lost on LSU even though they were up late in the 3rd 19-10. Then I lost the point spread on the Pats last night. I am not pissed though on the Pats, Brady could have played it safe at the end, but instead chucked two end zone passes to Antonio Brown with a minute left. First one should have been a easy TD but Brown lost it in the lights. He catches either one and I win and make up my LSU loss. Mac Jones is going to be a huge star for the Pats.

    I got the over 51.5 tonight on LV-LA. On paper this looks like a shootout.


    Yeah, I am in trouble, we are all part of the same forum win or lose.

    But yeah, I am 25-75 going into this second half, 25 being me. Large bet going in flames.
    The raiders just gave you a little hope

  8. #31068
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    [/SIZE]

    Yeah, I am in trouble, we are all part of the same forum win or lose.

    But yeah, I am 25-75 going into this second half, 25 being me. Large bet going in flames.
    The raiders just gave you a little hope
    and a 46 yard pass interference …. that’s the NFL I know

  9. #31069
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post

    The raiders just gave you a little hope
    and a 46 yard pass interference …. that’s the NFL I know


    refs are wearing raiders colors.

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    I am resigned to the fact this is a loss. I hate the NFL. What a trainwreck 3 days, LSU, BUCS and now this.

  11. #31071
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Not enough yellow flags tonight

    When I saw the poneytail I had a bad feeling.

    Back to legitimate wagering tomorrow

  12. #31072
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    Bets for Oct 4-Oct 10(Week 11)

    New

    Shriners PGA - Sam Burns $1,000 at +2500 (MGM)

    Current

    Cognizant LPGA - $1000 on J Ko +1400 MGM she is +750 other places

    $500 Parlay

    Spanish Open Rahm +250 & Senior PGA Constellation Mickelson +400 to win $8,250

    Start $50,000 Remaining $55,700 Current Week $0 Last Week +12,850

    Total Win/Loss +$8,200

    ————

    You can find Burns 25-1 on BET MGM but he’s 22-1 most other places. Normally I would not bet a guy after a win, but I can’t help myself. It was not a stressful Sunday for him. He is absolutely striping the ball. He didn’t putt well statistically but burned plenty of edges. I am willing to fade the hangover even in Vegas this week. Would be easy to sit back and enjoy the profits from last week but I have decided to try and really make a run.

    J Ko I can’t pass up the added +650 in equity. Not in love with her this week but it would be negligent to not pounce on the price.

     
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      Sanlmar: I missed the headline back there. Congrats. You have an iron constitution

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    Took them a day to adjust odds on J Ko. I can’t take it, but always a great feeling when they offer you $300 to cancel your bet. Especially before it starts. Hopefully some others got the odds as well.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Took them a day to adjust odds on J Ko. I can’t take it, but always a great feeling when they offer you $300 to cancel your bet. Especially before it starts. Hopefully some others got the odds as well.

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    I was thinking that it may not be the worst time to "martingale" Sei Young Kim this week, a term and system I learned about recently on another thread. But you are far better at this stuff than I am and as always I wish you GL with J Ko as I watch from the sidelines. Definitely hard to bet against J Ko as she will always be around the top of the leaderboard.

    Looks like Draftkings may have stopped with LPGA fantasy. Has not been available for a few weeks now.

     
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      JeffDime: You are right on it Joe. I am conflicted about SY Kim and can get here around 25-1. Nelly of course is the main concern. She hasn’t played in a while. Getting such a great number forced my hand. But I may have to put a few bucks on SY.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post

    I was thinking that it may not be the worst time to "martingale" Sei Young Kim this week, a term and system I learned about recently on another thread. But you are far better at this stuff than I am and as always I wish you GL with J Ko as I watch from the sidelines. Definitely hard to bet against J Ko as she will always be around the top of the leaderboard.

    Looks like Draftkings may have stopped with LPGA fantasy. Has not been available for a few weeks now.
    Joe you are very knowledgeable with the LPGA and your insights are always something I enjoy and take into consideration. Luckily when you have a betting proposition of 25-1 on Sei Young there is no need to Martingale the stake. Scamdicappers use that system with straight wagers for the most part.

    As for the fantasy, it could simply be a function of the last two tournaments being 3 day affairs. Last week was over here in Atlantic City and the tickets were going for absolute crumbs and they weren’t selling. It is also coming right off the Ryder Cup and the end of the PGA season, so a lot of golf media just isn’t around. The PGA tournament last week wasn’t even covered on network TV, just the Golf Channel.

    I would be surprised if it’s gone for good off DK. The lack of information is a double edged sword. It can lead to getting really nice overlays like J Ko this week. However, it also greatly reduces information/stats/news when it comes to handicapping. I remember having a sizable bet on J Ko a few months back and the LPGA media not having a single article that she had hurt her wrist. It was mentioned during the telecast after the tournament started and pissed me off.

    They have been saying they are going to start to have more info regarding strokes gained and other stats, but I haven’t seen shit yet. Hopefully they will follow through, at least to a certain extent. I realize they have a fraction of money at their disposal than the men’s game.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post

    I was thinking that it may not be the worst time to "martingale" Sei Young Kim this week, a term and system I learned about recently on another thread. But you are far better at this stuff than I am and as always I wish you GL with J Ko as I watch from the sidelines. Definitely hard to bet against J Ko as she will always be around the top of the leaderboard.

    Looks like Draftkings may have stopped with LPGA fantasy. Has not been available for a few weeks now.
    Joe you are very knowledgeable with the LPGA and your insights are always something I enjoy and take into consideration. Luckily when you have a betting proposition of 25-1 on Sei Young there is no need to Martingale the stake. Scamdicappers use that system with straight wagers for the most part.

    As for the fantasy, it could simply be a function of the last two tournaments being 3 day affairs. Last week was over here in Atlantic City and the tickets were going for absolute crumbs and they weren’t selling. It is also coming right off the Ryder Cup and the end of the PGA season, so a lot of golf media just isn’t around. The PGA tournament last week wasn’t even covered on network TV, just the Golf Channel.

    I would be surprised if it’s gone for good off DK. The lack of information is a double edged sword. It can lead to getting really nice overlays like J Ko this week. However, it also greatly reduces information/stats/news when it comes to handicapping. I remember having a sizable bet on J Ko a few months back and the LPGA media not having a single article that she had hurt her wrist. It was mentioned during the telecast after the tournament started and pissed me off.

    They have been saying they are going to start to have more info regarding strokes gained and other stats, but I haven’t seen shit yet. Hopefully they will follow through, at least to a certain extent. I realize they have a fraction of money at their disposal than the men’s game.

    It really is amazing how the media jams the WNBA down everyone's throat when it is pretty much unwatchable yet barely covers the LPGA, where there are many marketable, skilled athletes with tournaments that are almost always competitive. And betting wise there is no comparison at all as golf always gives a good sweat down to the wire.

     
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      JeffDime: +++

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    Help!! Are the dodgers worth betting at -235?
    -Allergic to the struggle

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Help!! Are the dodgers worth betting at -235?
    -235, why bother? The 7.5 over looks good. I get you have two great pitchers going tonight, but do you really want to be sweating a 3-2 game in the 7th with runners on second and third. I get it, the sharps have this set up for noobs like me to bet the under. Druff is kinda right, playoff baseball is set up so tight it almost begs staying away.

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Help!! Are the dodgers worth betting at -235?
    -235, why bother? The 7.5 over looks good. I get you have two great pitchers going tonight, but do you really want to be sweating a 3-2 game in the 7th with runners on second and third. I get it, the sharps have this set up for noobs like me to bet the under. Druff is kinda right, playoff baseball is set up so tight it almost begs staying away.
    I took the over 7.5. Nearly even odds. Bet more than I should have. You have two great pitchers, so this is a risk, but there are bats on each side and both pitchers are over age 35, so I am hoping they are worn down. I guess we will see.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Help!! Are the dodgers worth betting at -235?
    -235, why bother? The 7.5 over looks good. I get you have two great pitchers going tonight, but do you really want to be sweating a 3-2 game in the 7th with runners on second and third. I get it, the sharps have this set up for noobs like me to bet the under. Druff is kinda right, playoff baseball is set up so tight it almost begs staying away.
    I know -235 is awful but mid week and looking to fire on something. Hard to lay the 1 1/2 runs@ -117
    -Allergic to the struggle

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