Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #30241
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Watching Jays while 'working' this afternoon. No bets on the game but the Jays next 20 games are exciting for me even without bets.

    I was thinking about the Brewers at home for -200+ since the Pirates are awful on the road + Wilson is trash. Might add in your idea for a parlay instead.....TBD.
    Just missed 2nd & 3rd Indians top of 1st. They musta been handing out Jays coupons. Working not gambling. My life sucks

    Giants -½ -130 for 1st 5 Innings
    Giants team total over 2½ -130 for 1st 5 Innings
    Arizona Diamondbacks so wretched

    Still soul searching

    I want Giants over 4½ for game but it’s not there. I’ll wait DBacks bullpen was Covid racked last I heard.

    Dodgers Scherzer Weds vs Astros ….. I’ve never seen a $290 million dollar baseball team….
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-02-2021 at 12:07 PM.

  2. #30242
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    The WGC-St Jude is another one that has been rough last two years. In 2019 I had Rory big and he was the favorite going into the last day and was outplayed by Brooks. In 2020 I had Brooks big and he looked like the winner for most of the final round. JT got really lucky when his tee shot on 17 somehow made it through the trees and he made a birdie. Brooks needed to then biridie the 18th and drove it in the water and lost by 3 strokes. JT has won the last 2 of 3 and a big name has won the last 8 years.

    I will wait a few days to decide what I am going to do here. It’s one of these things where it feels like I may be just chasing if I take JT +1800. Although it seems like he got his game back the last few days. It’s a tough week to handicap.

    For anyone who is going to tail Lydia Ko you can chop up your bet with her medaling at +550. With my current life expectancy I will just be betting her to win.

    Euro Tour probably no pre-tournament bets but I’ll make that decision Wednesday as well unless I feel like I need to lock in a price.

  3. #30243
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Sources indicate the Dodgers are gonna wheel Trevor Bauer into the stadium in a straight jacket like Anthony Hopkins in Silence of the Lambs on Weds

    Put me on Canada’s watch list Simp
    Blue Jays VS Cleveland Indians - Game - Run Line (OT included) Cleveland Indians -1½ +132

     
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      JeffDime: Lol
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-02-2021 at 12:17 PM.

  4. #30244
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Well here is one I didn’t see coming.

    5 star QB Quinn Ewers is opting out of his Sr year of High School to attend Ohio State this fall. He sited the $$ he can make at college plus he can now be in the NFL draft class of 2024.

    Kind of puts my CJ Stroud call in peril but Ewers will be on campus a few short weeks before the season starts. Be hard for him to have the starting job right out of the gate and if stroud starts off on a Heisman level they can’t pull him…… or so I hope
    Crazy how kids will start to rush through high school (online/summer credits) so they can get to the NCAA faster for the endorsement $$
    dont think it matters...cant remember the name of the kid, but there's a kid in the high school class of 2023 for basketball that already has a NIL deal...kids can do it in high school as it doesn't affect their collegiate eligibility and i dont think it affects them being able to play in high school...

  5. #30245
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    One game interests me today.

    Milwaukee (Lauer) vs Pittsburgh (B. Wilson) - Over 9 -110

     
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      NickyPipes: Brother

  6. #30246
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    One game interests me today.

    Milwaukee (Lauer) vs Pittsburgh (B. Wilson) - Over 9 -110
    Brother I will join you. When Druff targets an over he ain’t kidding around ok fellas?

  7. #30247
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    Brother I am exuberantly betting the Rays every game and every series. 3 piece sweep over Sox this weekend. Boston must be felt badly discouraged leaving Tampa, demoralized

    You have to pay to play, no money, no honey

    RAYS SERIES -220 game -210

    Madman

  8. #30248
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sources indicate the Dodgers are gonna wheel Trevor Bauer into the stadium in a straight jacket like Anthony Hopkins in Silence of the Lambs on Weds

    Put me on Canada’s watch list Simp
    Blue Jays VS Cleveland Indians - Game - Run Line (OT included) Cleveland Indians -1½ +132
    Hand must have been giving his buddies easy pitches to hit or something?

    Can't believe you're going to pull it off.......

  9. #30249
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sources indicate the Dodgers are gonna wheel Trevor Bauer into the stadium in a straight jacket like Anthony Hopkins in Silence of the Lambs on Weds

    Put me on Canada’s watch list Simp
    Blue Jays VS Cleveland Indians - Game - Run Line (OT included) Cleveland Indians -1½ +132
    Hand must have been giving his buddies easy pitches to hit or something?

    Can't believe you're going to pull it off.......
    Stupidity wagering thread delivers on its promise of regular stupidity. I’m a big part of that promise.

    I saw the big early Jays pitch count and was unfairly fading your bullpen (not that bad any more). The opposing Indians pitcher is bad but he was having a good day. I have accrued a lot of Jays offensive frustration this year so it was admittedly emotional too

    Donk win pays the same

    I do love the Giants over Diamondbacks in every way you can imagine.

  10. #30250
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    The WGC-St Jude is another one that has been rough last two years. In 2019 I had Rory big and he was the favorite going into the last day and was outplayed by Brooks. In 2020 I had Brooks big and he looked like the winner for most of the final round. JT got really lucky when his tee shot on 17 somehow made it through the trees and he made a birdie. Brooks needed to then biridie the 18th and drove it in the water and lost by 3 strokes. JT has won the last 2 of 3 and a big name has won the last 8 years.

    I will wait a few days to decide what I am going to do here. It’s one of these things where it feels like I may be just chasing if I take JT +1800. Although it seems like he got his game back the last few days. It’s a tough week to handicap.

    For anyone who is going to tail Lydia Ko you can chop up your bet with her medaling at +550. With my current life expectancy I will just be betting her to win.

    Euro Tour probably no pre-tournament bets but I’ll make that decision Wednesday as well unless I feel like I need to lock in a price.

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  11. #30251
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Also if I’m going to bet Grace for value at 100-1 during the open and bet him in PR as chalk and win you have to already know I’m backing him as the favorite.

  12. #30252
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Brother I am exuberantly betting the Rays every game and every series. 3 piece sweep over Sox this weekend. Boston must be felt badly discouraged leaving Tampa, demoralized

    You have to pay to play, no money, no honey

    RAYS SERIES -220 game -210

    Madman
    BROTHERS WE HAVE A WACKA WARNING! We are in deep shit here brothers

  13. #30253
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    I was listening to a gambling podcast (Dream Podcast with Steve Fezzik) and he said that if you wanted to bet preseason football, look to the over. He said the lines are normally around 36 and have been going over consistently the last couple years. He said if you want to narrow it down more, pick teams that will be playing scrambling QBs significant time, because preseason defenses won't be game planning for 2nd and 3rd string running QBs in preseason.

  14. #30254
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Brother I am exuberantly betting the Rays every game and every series. 3 piece sweep over Sox this weekend. Boston must be felt badly discouraged leaving Tampa, demoralized

    You have to pay to play, no money, no honey

    RAYS SERIES -220 game -210

    Madman
    BROTHERS WE HAVE A WACKA WARNING! We are in deep shit here brothers
    [/QUOTE]

    They are executing all the big favorites today and I’m told I’m next (Giants).

    Yankees -300
    Down 6-1

    Mets -160
    Down 5-3

    Rays -200
    Down 7-2

    Jays -270
    Lost 5-2

     
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      Daly: Jokes on us

  15. #30255
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ouch.

    6-2 in the 9th, bases loaded, can't do it.

    Over loses.

  16. #30256
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I do love the Giants over Diamondbacks in every way you can imagine.
    Ticked all the boxes

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    Every one of those totals were absolutely smashed so fuck off about laying the juice. Can’t be taught


    Save the Phillies for later.


    Not so trivial trivia
    Giants score the most runs in the major leagues by home run. Couple sweet game winning bunts too. Bat control, son

  17. #30257
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Sometimes the numbers just don’t make sense. Let’s do a little blind stat analysis:

    Pitcher A- last 3 starts went 6 IP 2 hit 1 ER, 6 IP 6 hit 1 ER, 6 IP 5 hit 2 ER. The last start was against the same team he’ll face tonight. 4.58 season long ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Steadily improved all year

    Pitcher B- 5.2 6 hit 3 ER, 5 IP 7 hit 3 ER, 6 IP 3 hit 2 ER. 4.14 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. However his ERA has increased every month of the season and was 5.33 in July.

    So you taking Pitcher B at -245 or Pitcher A at +215? My money is on pitcher A Kris Bubic and Royals over White Sox and Dylan Cease.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  18. #30258
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    New college angle. Phil Steele endorsed as well which is always nice to be aligned with.

    Washington Huskies to win PAC 12 +400

    They are a heck of a team themselves. They have a dream Pac 12 schedule in that they miss both USC and Utah from the south and host Oregon and Stanford.

    It’s not out of the realm of possibility that you will be holding a +400 ticket in the PAC 12 championship game which would be PK or potentially better vs USC or Utah.

  19. #30259
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Sometimes the numbers just don’t make sense. Let’s do a little blind stat analysis:

    Pitcher A- last 3 starts went 6 IP 2 hit 1 ER, 6 IP 6 hit 1 ER, 6 IP 5 hit 2 ER. The last start was against the same team he’ll face tonight. 4.58 season long ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Steadily improved all year

    Pitcher B- 5.2 6 hit 3 ER, 5 IP 7 hit 3 ER, 6 IP 3 hit 2 ER. 4.14 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. However his ERA has increased every month of the season and was 5.33 in July.

    So you taking Pitcher B at -245 or Pitcher A at +215? My money is on pitcher A Kris Bubic and Royals over White Sox and Dylan Cease.
    Interesting sizzle.

    I am both a CWS guy and a Royals underdog guy as a rule.

    I’m seeing a 50 point move to CWS. That’s pretty extraordinary. Something is up. I’m getting a late start on sports so I will dig in soon.

    Admittedly, I am getting bad data lately from MLB and such so correct me if I’m wrong anyone.

  20. #30260
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays/Yankees +110 parlay

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