Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #30221
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here are 3 picks for you, 2 being totals:

    Philadelphia (Vasquez) at Pittsburgh (Crowe) - Over 9 -115
    Mets (Carrasco) -138 vs Cincinnati (Gray)
    Toronto (Stripling) vs Kansas City (Lynch) - Under 10 -105

     
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      NickyPipes: I trailed you on Phillies game looking good brother

  2. #30222
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    For the fellas

    7 Det Skubal U5.5 +120
    7 TB Fleming U3.5 -150
    7 Mia Thompson U5.5 -125
    7 ATL Toussant O5 -115
    7.2 Mil Burnes U7.5 -115
    8 Tex Allard U5.5 -155
    8 CWS Lynn U7.5 -115
    8.1 Stl LeBlanc U3.5 +105

    All of these are very price dependent. They are local prices vs bet builder.

  3. #30223
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    For the fellas

    7 Det Skubal U5.5 +120
    7 TB Fleming U3.5 -150
    7 Mia Thompson U5.5 -125
    7 ATL Toussant O5 -115
    7.2 Mil Burnes U7.5 -115
    8 Tex Allard U5.5 -155
    8 CWS Lynn U7.5 -115
    8.1 Stl LeBlanc U3.5 +105

    All of these are very price dependent. They are local prices vs bet builder.
    Yeah, prices at my book suck on most of these. Lotta odd variance. 1 I have better odds (Leblanc is +115) the rest worse, and Skubal insanely worse at -135....unless you meant the over on him?

  4. #30224
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    For the fellas

    7 Det Skubal U5.5 +120
    7 TB Fleming U3.5 -150
    7 Mia Thompson U5.5 -125
    7 ATL Toussant O5 -115
    7.2 Mil Burnes U7.5 -115
    8 Tex Allard U5.5 -155
    8 CWS Lynn U7.5 -115
    8.1 Stl LeBlanc U3.5 +105

    All of these are very price dependent. They are local prices vs bet builder.
    Fleming under may get you banned. I love that

    Voice of dissent
    Corbin Burnes of the Milwaukee Brewers will have over 7.5 strikeouts -103 L
    Braves last 3 games strikeout a ton

    Wasn’t gonna until you made me work
    Milwaukee Brewers/Atlanta Braves under 4½ -125 for 1st 5 L
    see if Tookie Toussant comes out to play. Daly has the over

    With reference to Druff’s Philly/Pitt over … I also did this … the juice isn’t for everyone.
    Phillies/Pittsburgh Pirates over 4½ -135 for 1st 5 W

    Good luck

     
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      NickyPipes: Nice 1st 5
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-30-2021 at 06:01 PM.

  5. #30225
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    For the fellas

    7 Det Skubal U5.5 +120
    7 TB Fleming U3.5 -150
    7 Mia Thompson U5.5 -125
    7 ATL Toussant O5 -115
    7.2 Mil Burnes U7.5 -115
    8 Tex Allard U5.5 -155
    8 CWS Lynn U7.5 -115
    8.1 Stl LeBlanc U3.5 +105

    All of these are very price dependent. They are local prices vs bet builder.
    Fleming under may get you banned. I love that

    Voice of dissent
    Corbin Burnes of the Milwaukee Brewers will have over 7.5 strikeouts -103
    Braves last 3 games strikeout a ton

    Wasn’t gonna until you made me work
    Milwaukee Brewers/Atlanta Braves under 4½ -125 for 1st 5
    see if Tookie Toussant comes out to play. Daly has the over

    With reference to Druff’s Philly/Pitt over … I also did this … the juice isn’t for everyone.
    Phillies/Pittsburgh Pirates over 4½ -135 for 1st 5

    Good luck
    Take a look at flemings last 10 starts and tell me where he finds 4 Ks tonight let alone 7.

    Next time I suggest an under K on a pitcher facing off vs the Yankees someone please send me
    Over a straight jacket.

    If I can steal one of Burnes or Lynn we going to make some $$

  6. #30226
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Lol - I’d have been happy with one of Burnes, Lynn or LeBlanc

  7. #30227
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    7 Det Skubal U5.5 +120 Win
    7 TB Fleming U3.5 -150 Loss (the one I liked the most, of course)
    7 Mia Thompson U5.5 -125 Win
    7 ATL Toussant O5 -115 Push
    7.2 Mil Burnes U7.5 -115 Win
    8 Tex Allard U5.5 -155 Win
    8 CWS Lynn U7.5 -115 Win
    8.1 Stl LeBlanc U3.5 +105 Win

     
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      Sanlmar: entertained
      
      JeffDime: +++

  8. #30228
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Phillies can’t score one damn run against the lowly Pirates?

    Pleaaaase.

     
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      NickyPipes: Brother we should have played the first 5 like you. Over looked it and paid the price!

  9. #30229
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Phillies can’t score one damn run against the lowly Pirates?

    Pleaaaase.
    Yeah that was awful. Totally looked good when it was up 5-0 early, then scoring just collapsed.

    Also got fucked in that Toronto under which looked great in the 7th and then ended up tying.

    Mets just sucked.

    0-2-1 yesterday, blah.

  10. #30230
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Anyway, here are 2 for today:

    Minnesota (Ober) +120 at St. Louis (Woodford)
    Seattle (Ty Anderson) at Texas (Hearn) - Over 8.5 -110

     
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      NickyPipes: Minnesota was a real nice pick

  11. #30231
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    I am grunching most of the last month of this thread, so apologies if this has already been posted.

    But Daly, any good CFB O/U's yet?

  12. #30232
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    For once, the extra inning 2nd base crap scored a victory for the good guys.

    I've had great under picks ruined by that nonsense, which is absurd and bad for baseball. Finally one fell the right way.

    Going into the top of the 9th, it was 3-2 Texas, who was playing at home versus Seattle. I had over 8.5. Not good. I thought, "I need extras here.. it's my only legit path to victory."

    Sure enough, Seattle scores one, Texas thankfully blanks out in the bottom half of the inning, and we go to the 10th.

    I think, "I really need one run by Seattle. Three would be great, but I think I'd rather one than two, because that will encourage Texas to push across their guy at 2nd to tie it 4-4, thus guaranteeing me a win." As ordered, Seattle got 1, up 4-3 now.

    Bottom 10th, 2-run blast by Texas, 5-4, and it's ova.



    2-0 day. Much better.

     
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      JeffDime: You deserved a break. Well done!

  13. #30233
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Could of been buried up to my eyeballs if I took Horsey Live and bet the LPGA. Luckily decided against both. All things considered JT shit the bed quickly and it is what it is. The bet on Lydia Ko will technically be this week b/c you can find her +1800. I would be very surprised if you can get better than that. Currently offered at Bet MGM and Draftkings. +1600 elsewhere.

    Bets for Mon July26 - August 1 (Week 1)

    Men’s Olympic Golf - Justin Thomas $1300 at +1100 (Loser)

    No Fucking Way Parlay - Justin Thomas Men’s Olympic +1100/ Lydia Ko Women’s Olympic +1800 $100 at +22700 (Loser)

    New Today

    Lydia Ko Women’s Olympic $1000 at +1800

    Start $50,000 Remaining $47,600 Current Week -$1,400 Last Week +/- Not Applicable

     
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      Daly: Let’s go ko

  14. #30234
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays/KC over 8.5

    Berrios new guy in town pitching. KC has played him a bunch and hits him well.

    That and the Jays offense is ready to explode at any time.

  15. #30235
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    I am grunching most of the last month of this thread, so apologies if this has already been posted.

    But Daly, any good CFB O/U's yet?

    I posted something a few weeks back. I can tell you what I got but (thankfully for me) most of it got hammered.

    Top play per value is/was CJ Stroud to win the Heisman. I got it in as good as 40-1. It’s 16/20 now and the moment they make him the formal starter it’s 7-1. If it turns out the high school kid gets the job (or anyone else) it goes from 200-1 to 7-1 the same way a Clemson/OU/Bama QB would.

    I bet some Bama to win NC at +300. Not a ton of value but I can’t see a situation where they don’t make the final 4 and when they do I can’t see them being even money or worse. O won’t be the same but the D will be the best they have had in 10 years, and that’s saying something.

    I’m high on UAB. Over 7.5 wins and to win the conference.

    I was in South Carolina over 3.5 early and it’s moved to 4 at a lot of places. If you can find 3.5 even at a price I do really think it will be hard to not get to 4 with that schedule.

    NC State might be the one team that’s disrespected in gambling circles more than any other team over the past few years. Last year was a straight rebuild and they finished in the top 25. I don’t think they challenge clemson but over 6 feels like a safe bet. It’s moved to 6.5 in some places.

    I don’t get Ark St being lined at 3.5 wins. Louisiana got a near unanimous 9 first place votes in the sun belt west division coaches poll. Ark St was picked second and was the only other team with a first place vote. I do see 5 losses on the schedule but I can’t see them not eeeking out 4 after you figure C Ark and ULM and the rest of the coin flips.

    The Vols continue to be in neutral. The all world LB transferred out to Bama. I see 4 if not 5 clear losses on the schedule. Getting to 7 seems a lot more unlikely than falling short of 6. Give me under 6 and I’ll hope for the best.

    If you like holding your nose and going for it UMASS, who is legitimately awful, total is 1.5 wins. As you might expect there are a ton of games where they have zero chance including week 1 vs Pitt where they are 37 point dogs. They have UConn, URI, Maine and NM St to find 2 wins. I passed in it but there is some respected $$ over 1.5.

     
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      Tellafriend:
      
      JeffDime: Great stuff brother
      
      Kalam: Thanks

  16. #30236
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Exclamation

    Well here is one I didn’t see coming.

    5 star QB Quinn Ewers is opting out of his Sr year of High School to attend Ohio State this fall. He sited the $$ he can make at college plus he can now be in the NFL draft class of 2024.

    Kind of puts my CJ Stroud call in peril but Ewers will be on campus a few short weeks before the season starts. Be hard for him to have the starting job right out of the gate and if stroud starts off on a Heisman level they can’t pull him…… or so I hope

  17. #30237
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Well here is one I didn’t see coming.

    5 star QB Quinn Ewers is opting out of his Sr year of High School to attend Ohio State this fall. He sited the $$ he can make at college plus he can now be in the NFL draft class of 2024.

    Kind of puts my CJ Stroud call in peril but Ewers will be on campus a few short weeks before the season starts. Be hard for him to have the starting job right out of the gate and if stroud starts off on a Heisman level they can’t pull him…… or so I hope
    Crazy how kids will start to rush through high school (online/summer credits) so they can get to the NCAA faster for the endorsement $$

  18. #30238
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Well here is one I didn’t see coming.

    5 star QB Quinn Ewers is opting out of his Sr year of High School to attend Ohio State this fall. He sited the $$ he can make at college plus he can now be in the NFL draft class of 2024.

    Kind of puts my CJ Stroud call in peril but Ewers will be on campus a few short weeks before the season starts. Be hard for him to have the starting job right out of the gate and if stroud starts off on a Heisman level they can’t pull him…… or so I hope
    Crazy how kids will start to rush through high school (online/summer credits) so they can get to the NCAA faster for the endorsement $$
    Kids used to leave high school early to earn money for their family.

    The endorsement deals are still just skirting the NCAA amateur athlete bullshit. Olympics and college sports did not survive modern society. They changed or will change. They just became different. Much different.

    A college co-branding with PointsBet just takes the cake but is actually honesty amidst the hypocrisy.

    Fascinating stuff

  19. #30239
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    @simpdog

    WON Baseball - 911 Los Angeles Dodgers -1 -203 for Game
    Game Results:
    points scored in Game
    Los Angeles Dodgers - 13 / Arizona Diamondbacks - 0
    Los Angeles Dodgers won period by 13

    Covid ravaged Diamondbacks bullpen. Not socially responsible to recommend 200+ juice - only you would understand - straight stealing

    I am thinking similar thoughts while looking at today’s card.

  20. #30240
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Watching Jays while 'working' this afternoon. No bets on the game but the Jays next 20 games are exciting for me even without bets.

    I was thinking about the Brewers at home for -200+ since the Pirates are awful on the road + Wilson is trash. Might add in your idea for a parlay instead.....TBD.

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