Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29201
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Capitals -175 vs Bruins. End of season. It’s wrapped up. Bruins not playing anyone with talent. Parlay with Dodgers. It’s a lock

    Pesky Senators tomorrow. Meaningless game .... Sens +197 is pure value against Montreal who like the Bruins will not risk playing anyone who has any skill

    Noodling some other stuff but busy
    Busy per usual and locked the fuck down. Sounds like Doug is going to extend it to June 2nd at least.

    Sens play the Leafs tomorrow and Freddie is back in net. I'm going to take the over rather than gamble how well they'll play for Freddie. He played okay in the AHL but nothing special so I'd imagine he has a lot of rust on his skates.

    Winnipeg absolutely shitting the bed lately and Montreal has a shot to leapfrog them. Winnipeg is a good team with a great goalie. They have something to play for tonight.

    Capitals + Jets parlay?
    Yeah, why not? Well, kids sometimes play hard like they are on tryout but I gotta dismiss that.

    The Sens over team total might be even more on point, eh?

    You still taking the Americans $? I hope so.

    We are killing it with kids but older folks still chillin’. Nothing to do with guidelines just temperament. Having labor troubles. Can’t get help. People job hopping now.

    My kid ends up filling in the shifts unless he can hire replacement. Kid needs to suffer. No tears yet.

  2. #29202
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Don’t overlook regulation. Do not PL

  3. #29203
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    Busy per usual and locked the fuck down. Sounds like Doug is going to extend it to June 2nd at least.

    Sens play the Leafs tomorrow and Freddie is back in net. I'm going to take the over rather than gamble how well they'll play for Freddie. He played okay in the AHL but nothing special so I'd imagine he has a lot of rust on his skates.

    Winnipeg absolutely shitting the bed lately and Montreal has a shot to leapfrog them. Winnipeg is a good team with a great goalie. They have something to play for tonight.

    Capitals + Jets parlay?
    Yeah, why not? Well, kids sometimes play hard like they are on tryout but I gotta dismiss that.

    The Sens over team total might be even more on point, eh?

    You still taking the Americans $? I hope so.

    We are killing it with kids but older folks still chillin’. Nothing to do with guidelines just temperament. Having labor troubles. Can’t get help. People job hopping now.

    My kid ends up filling in the shifts unless he can hire replacement. Kid needs to suffer. No tears yet.

    I may ask your kid for a job if in the next 2 months if we don't get moving along here. Will work for free if I'm allowed to go to the odd patio for a meal or watch my kids play sports.

    Edit: Interesting about the job hopping. Likely will be the same or worse here as the $2k/month freeroll slows/ends.

     
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      Sanlmar: Gonna be a good night.
    Last edited by simpdog; 05-11-2021 at 12:46 PM.

  4. #29204
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Baltimore Orioles +120 for 1st 5 Innings
    No hitter John Means + $?

    Means change up is unreal. I get fading after no hitter ie letdown but that pitch.


    Ohtani 1st 5 +120 bs Astros
    One of the greatest shows of my lifetime
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-11-2021 at 01:54 PM.

  5. #29205
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Wow, worst team in baseball last 15 games vs a lefty for +200? Will stupid Dodgers fans give me more?

    Gotta fade Dodgers. Sorry Buehler. I love ya.

    FULL GAME

  6. #29206
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    STL +118
    Marlins vs Diamondbacks UNDER 8

  7. #29207
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Chicago +170
    Dallas -3.5

    NBA

  8. #29208
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Also Dallas over 227.5

  9. #29209
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Capitals + Jets parlay?
    Capitals score to win in regulation with 3 seconds left.
    Huge swing for me. The rookie goalie Swayman is Bruins new backup and may be better than Rask. Pain in my ass

    Jets 3-0 in 2nd period.


  10. #29210
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Looklng like 1-2 at best in those 3 picks.

    I'll throw one more on:

    Lakers vs. New York - Under 210

  11. #29211
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    When you're running bad, you're running bad.

    Solid gold under with the Lakers, but goes to OT. Still a favorite to win, as it's only 91-91, but still.

  12. #29212
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wow, almost double OT, but the Knicks fucked up last possession, and the final ends up 101-99.

    2-2 day

     
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      Sanlmar: Proof Lakers under was a rock solid pick

  13. #29213
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Capitals + Jets parlay?
    Capitals score to win in regulation with 3 seconds left.
    Huge swing for me. The rookie goalie Swayman is Bruins new backup and may be better than Rask. Pain in my ass

    Jets 3-0 in 2nd period.
    Will be interesting to see who's sitting/playing

    Oilers/Montreal --nothing
    Leafs/Sens -- nothing
    Vegas/SJ - Vegas could use a win to cement first
    LA/Colorado - Avs need the win to chase Vegas. **they also play back to back.

    St Louis/Minny - nothing. They play a back to back, so I'll be betting on a split here.

  14. #29214
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Capitals score to win in regulation with 3 seconds left.
    Huge swing for me. The rookie goalie Swayman is Bruins new backup and may be better than Rask. Pain in my ass

    Jets 3-0 in 2nd period.
    Will be interesting to see who's sitting/playing

    Oilers/Montreal --nothing
    Leafs/Sens -- nothing
    Vegas/SJ - Vegas could use a win to cement first
    LA/Colorado - Avs need the win to chase Vegas. **they also play back to back.

    St Louis/Minny - nothing. They play a back to back, so I'll be betting on a split here.
    For me, apathy translates into total overs. However....

    Hopefully you took the “Pesky Sens” yesterday
    Hockey - 30 Ottawa Senators +197 for Game

    It is now +150. I dunno if that is value still. Prolly is.

    The Avalanche are the foundation of every good breakfast and chalky parlay today.

    If you have totals ideas let me hear them. I’ll be capping in an hour or two.

  15. #29215
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Vegas -210 ish. Playing against a rookie and they need to win to keep hopes alive for winning their division. Melnichuk let in 5 goals on 37 shots against Arizona....far cry from Vegas.

    or take Vegas -1.5, it should be good too

    Oilers/Canadiens - over. Playing Primeau vs Stalock.


    I really like your sens +197 price, although at some point I'd wonder about grabbing back the Leafs.

    Freddie is back, might be some ring rust but they're rolling with their "playoff lineup" tonight.
    -Foligno back, Holl back, no rookies thrown on to the first line.

    I would expect them to rest people on Friday, doesn't seem like they care about rest tonight.

  16. #29216
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Vegas -210 ish. Playing against a rookie and they need to win to keep hopes alive for winning their division. Melnichuk let in 5 goals on 37 shots against Arizona....far cry from Vegas.

    or take Vegas -1.5, it should be good too

    Oilers/Canadiens - over. Playing Primeau vs Stalock.


    I really like your sens +197 price, although at some point I'd wonder about grabbing back the Leafs.

    Freddie is back, might be some ring rust but they're rolling with their "playoff lineup" tonight.
    -Foligno back, Holl back, no rookies thrown on to the first line.

    I would expect them to rest people on Friday, doesn't seem like they care about rest tonight.
    Might not be Stalock for Oilers sounding like Smith.

     
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      Sanlmar: Thx

  17. #29217
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    MLB ideas to avoid if you value your $

    Parlay +200 W
    Milwaukee Brewers -190 for 1st 5 Innings
    Hockey - 31 Vegas Golden Knights -201 for Game
    Hockey - 34 Colorado Avalanche -340 for Game

    Parlay +157 W
    Hockey - 31 Vegas Golden Knights -201 for Game
    Baseball - 918 Chicago White Sox -140 for 1st 5 Innings

    Toronto Blue Jays +100 for 1st 5 Innings L

    Parlay +381
    Hockey - 31 Vegas Golden Knights -201 for Game
    Baseball - 927 Seattle Mariners +221 for Game

    Los Angeles Angels/Houston Astros over 8½ -110 W

    Toronto Maple Leafs/Ottawa Senators over 1½ -150 for 1st Period L
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-12-2021 at 07:41 PM.

  18. #29218
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    MLB ideas to avoid if you value your $

    Parlay +200
    Milwaukee Brewers -190 for 1st 5 Innings
    Hockey - 31 Vegas Golden Knights -201 for Game
    Hockey - 34 Colorado Avalanche -340 for Game

    Parlay +157
    Hockey - 31 Vegas Golden Knights -201 for Game
    Baseball - 918 Chicago White Sox -140 for 1st 5 Innings

    Toronto Blue Jays +100 for 1st 5 Innings

    Parlay +381
    Hockey - 31 Vegas Golden Knights -201 for Game
    Baseball - 927 Seattle Mariners +221 for Game

    Los Angeles Angels/Houston Astros over 8½ -110

    Toronto Maple Leafs/Ottawa Senators over 1½ -150 for 1st Period
    Was just coming in to post Jays +100 for game. One book that mainly serves Canadians has -130 LOL. That same book splits baseball out to American, National and Interleague.....so bizarre they don't just have MLB

  19. #29219
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    You want to get a nice dog line against a Lakers team missing a ton of players, including Lebron and AD? Then read on.

    Houston +360 at Lakers
    Houston/Lakers - Under 221.5

    Out: Wall, Lebron, Davis, Schroder
    Questionable: Wood, House
    Probable: Gasol, Caldwell-Pope, Kuzma

    Lakers are a shit team without Lebron, AD, and Schoder.

    Houston is obviously a shit team at this point, too, but +360 is nice value here given who is playing.

  20. #29220
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    What’s the hot take on MLB Series betting? I haven’t read up on it but I’ve been having some fun and mild success betting them the last two weeks. Only up a little, mainly trying to find teams + money for the series that have decent pitchers going, such as SF Giants this past weekend. I would assume the math says just bet game by game, any body ever looked into this?

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