*** Official Political Wagering Thread ***

[PLOL]

Moving some money into some of the more FUN markets like NYC Mayor. Yang at 30 cents+? That seems like a screaming sell (and I personally love the guy). PredictIt users have a hard-on for Yang and pump him in any market he gets listed (Dem nominee, Commerce secretary, NYC mayor). I'm actually going to work on buying NO shares of everybody listed in that market. There's no obvious front-runners in the race and some new people are definitely going to pop up over the next several months.

Here's how NYC is going for me:





After my Sliwa/Garcia NO shares go through, my exposure will be down to $0 (or at least below $1). So getting better than 300 to 1 on the field. Now we just need some new blood to jump in the race and I can have negative risk.

Yang hasn't officially jumped in yet, but he did file paperwork to run. If he goes up to 35c+ when he officially jumps in, I'll be picking up some more NO shares.

 

Yang is NOT the favorite to be mayor. He can go be mayor of Santa Clara if he wants.

After looking in to the race a little more strongly, I may soon be reversing my negative position on a certain candidate and going long. Not ready to tip my hand yet as I'm waiting for a dip. Stay tuned.

[dwai]

[PLOL]

Hint: It's not Eric "Stop The Sag" Adams






Oof

I've also been trying to probe OSA to see who he supports so I can bet agains them more heavily. Remember, good rule of thumb to getting rich is to always bet against whatever OSA is doing.

[PLOL]

Trump's cabinet picks are hitting 10 cents lol. Please please take the free money before you cash out your election wins. The profit there will more than pay for the cashout fee with zero risk. No need to waste your time in Georgia when there's opportunities like this that you can pick off.

[Rick Sanchez]

Trump's cabinet picks are hitting 10 cents lol. Please please take the free money before you cash out your election wins. The profit there will more than pay for the cashout fee with zero risk. No need to waste your time in Georgia when there's opportunities like this that you can pick off.

I am on megatilt that I immediately maxed out on cabinet markets when the election bets were finally graded. They were 3-4 cents at the time, and I thought they'd be hitting 0 very soon with reality finally hitting setting in.

That's what I get for giving MAGAtards too much credit

[PLOL]

New market: Will trump be impeached (again). I picked up some NO shares in the 60s

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...nd-of-his-term



Edit: It's headed to 50 lol

[Rick Sanchez]

I'm not touching that market. No @ 60c seems like decent value, as congress has gone home and won't be returning until after inauguration. But just this morning Schumer is talking about reconvening to impeach (if 25th amendment isn't invoked) and Illhan Omar has been drafting articles.

It's chaos out there, who the fuck knows

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

hey PLOP,

lets fucking go baby!!

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

I'm not touching that market. No @ 60c seems like decent value, as congress has gone home and won't be returning until after inauguration. But just this morning Schumer is talking about reconvening to impeach (if 25th amendment isn't invoked) and Illhan Omar has been drafting articles.

It's chaos out there, who the fuck knows

we will see where the rubber meets the road on this one...it will be very telling if the Dems don't do anything about this...i think PLOP is on the right side of this one....i have a feeling that this is going to be grand political theatre where some people will use it to deflect from their legatorial impotence on certain major issues that would be a benefit to A LOT of people in this country...*cough* M4A *cough*

[PLOL]

Biden doesn't need a highly partisan vote right before he takes office. Why waste political capital now? Just wait 13 days.

Having said that, definitely not maxing this market.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

Biden doesn't need a highly partisan vote right before he takes office. Why waste political capital now? Just wait 13 days.

Having said that, definitely not maxing this market.

i mean i get the dems obviously hate trump with the heat of 1000 suns...but this requires these dumb fucks to get their shit together within 2 weeks...just dont see it...

think anything close to a flip is a good price here...just the market overreacting to what they're seeing on the MSM...

[PLOL]

Uh oh

[Sanlmar]

the person with the nuclear codes has been deemed too dangerous to have a twitter account

[Cerveza Fria]

the person with the nuclear codes has been deemed too dangerous to have a twitter account

Apparently, they thought his Tweets were the bomb.

[PLOL]

People seem to be lining up behind this. Seems like a waste of time to me

[PLOL]

This seems pretty tepid, honestly. Please Pence, do this for us. If not, we may consider thinking about possibly doing this if the winds are just right

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1347261222866067458

[Sanlmar]

Will Druff be able to take books out of the Trump Presidential Library if this happens?

[PLOL]

Pelosi: I just seem some more time to think about this.
Dems: Well how much longer?
Pelosi: No longer than a month. Two tops

[Rick Sanchez]

Even some republican congressmen have been calling for 25th/impeachment today.

[PLOL]

Once again, Pelosi is a political genius. Instead of saying NO to impeachment, she just passes the ball to Pence.