*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Mintjewlips]

It ain't easy being greasy.........

[Mintjewlips]

Free money..........

 

in before it gets more expensive

[Daly]

Free money..........

 

in before it gets more expensive

That -3 is going to get hammered by the public.

[Mintjewlips]

Free money..........

 

in before it gets more expensive

That -3 is going to get hammered by the public.

Damn it was 2 1/2 like 5 minutes ago lol.

[P4pres]

Arsenal/Sunderland O3.5

[BlunderMaker]

Free money..........

 

in before it gets more expensive

[Dan Druff]

Here are some general tips for MLB this season.

As with all general tips, you can't just blanket bet based upon guidelines. You always need to analyze the line, the pitchers, the team, the matchups, etc.

However, this might help you a bit in deciding what to look at...

1) There are some really awful pitchers starting this year, who are pretty much a lock to get destroyed. If you see a pitcher with horrible numbers starting, and you're not laying too steep of a price against him, strongly consider taking the favorite. You also might want to consider the over.

2) In interleague matchups in AL parks, you should generally favor the AL team if an average, below average, or bad pitcher is going for the NL team. NL pitchers have a tough time adjusting to the DH slot. In general, the NL has had a very poor record in AL parks over the past several seasons. You also might want to consider the over.

3) The best underdog moneyline values in MLB come from good pitchers on bad teams facing good teams. If you see a bad team facing a good one, where the bad team's pitcher is either good or pitching well lately, strongly consider going with the underdog. Do not get greedy and go for the -1.5 line on the underdog, though, as many of the winners will be 1-run games.

4) Resist betting overs for night games in pitcher's parks, especially in the NL. If anything, bet the under.

5) Avoid totals bets in Colorado, as these are highly unpredictable and extremely tough to handicap. In fact, all games in Colorado tend to be tough to handicap.

6) You are unlikely to make much money (or any money) on big favorites, so avoid them. The real value in MLB side betting comes primarily from identifying value dogs and value small favorites.

7) Pay attention to trends of the starting pitcher. A pitcher with a bad ERA and good WHIP may be primed to turn things around, whereas the reverse is often indicative of a pending blowup. A pitcher whose velocity is increasing is often one who will surprise opponents and have some upcoming good starts, while a pitcher with decreased velocity may be on the way to a downward spiral.

8) Pay attention to teams' abilities to hit lefties and righties. If the team has unusually good or bad numbers against the "hand" of the opposing pitcher, factor that into your picks.

I will be depositing to BetOnline soon and placing some bets myself, and will share them out here after I've placed my bets.

GL

[snake_in_the_ass]

Had to reload my bookmaker account to fire on Cmoney's celtics pick, got +489 for the series.
Taking a shot with SF Giants - Cueto @ +167

[Charham]

see some value on mil tonight on the road plus 105. mil better team trending right direction v SD, garza slightly better pitcher. just 1 unit. like LAA, AZ and texas as well.

[Mintjewlips]

This is not free money............

 

i just have a feeling, dont bet on this, unless your balls can take a punch

[Sanlmar]

see some value on mil tonight on the road plus 105. mil better team trending right direction v SD, garza slightly better pitcher. just 1 unit. like LAA, AZ and texas as well.

I got +122 earlier. I'm with you on Brewers

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 959 Milwaukee Brewers +122 for Game

Gotta makeup that Celtics stinker

[Charham]

see some value on mil tonight on the road plus 105. mil better team trending right direction v SD, garza slightly better pitcher. just 1 unit. like LAA, AZ and texas as well.

I got +122 earlier. I'm with you on Brewers

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 959 Milwaukee Brewers +122 for Game

Gotta makeup that Celtics stinker

+122 nice 1. I should have shopped the line more. I just started up MLB again yesterday after starting the season too early and taking a few weeks off. 8 and 0 re start!

I don't see anything today, except Texas.

Look at the Dodgers game for grins. LAD are -200 paleeese. I know its Miami they are playing, but that LAD pitcher RYU is hardly an ace and could puke up any game all on his own. -200.

[Daly]

Going with over 8 in the Sox game allone with over 4 Oakland TT

[Dan Druff]

I got +122 earlier. I'm with you on Brewers

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 959 Milwaukee Brewers +122 for Game

Gotta makeup that Celtics stinker

+122 nice 1. I should have shopped the line more. I just started up MLB again yesterday after starting the season too early and taking a few weeks off. 8 and 0 re start!

I don't see anything today, except Texas.

Look at the Dodgers game for grins. LAD are -200 paleeese. I know its Miami they are playing, but that LAD pitcher RYU is hardly an ace and could puke up any game all on his own. -200.

I'm seeing Miami +179 right now, but I agree that's a good value here. Ryu is pretty much done. On the downside, Dodgers have been very tough at home since 2015 (about a .667 record), and Miami is sending Volquez out, who hasn't started in 2017. But the value is good. I'm not betting it in part because I have no $ online yet, and in part because I just don't like betting against the Dodgers since I'm a fan.

[Dan Druff]

simpdog, you said, "Don't listen to Druff in MLB"

I'm wondering why you say that.

I was an MLB winner last year, and this was over a lot of bets. I'm not saying it's statistically significant, but I'm surprised you're criticizing me in MLB, of all sports.

What issue do you take with the guide I wrote above?

[Dan Druff]

Going with over 8 in the Sox game allone with over 4 Oakland TT

Curious why you're going with the Sox over.

Hector Velazquez has been excellent in AAA, which I realize is quite a distance from MLB, but I always fear betting against first-time rookies who are crushing in the minors.

Sonny Gray has been okayish since coming off the DL on May 1.

Also, the game is in Oakland at night.

Is there something I'm missing?

[Daly]

Going with over 8 in the Sox game allone with over 4 Oakland TT

Curious why you're going with the Sox over.

Hector Velazquez has been excellent in AAA, which I realize is quite a distance from MLB, but I always fear betting against first-time rookies who are crushing in the minors.

Sonny Gray has been okayish since coming off the DL on May 1.

Also, the game is in Oakland at night.

Is there something I'm missing?

Bullpen last night plus the rook.

[Dan Druff]

Curious why you're going with the Sox over.

Hector Velazquez has been excellent in AAA, which I realize is quite a distance from MLB, but I always fear betting against first-time rookies who are crushing in the minors.

Sonny Gray has been okayish since coming off the DL on May 1.

Also, the game is in Oakland at night.

Is there something I'm missing?

Bullpen last night plus the rook.

OK GL.

Hope I'm wrong because I don't have action on it and you do.

[P4pres]

MLB
5/19
954 PIT -104
955 WAS -146
964 LAD -226
971 KC +110
975 BOS -188

Sorry about the juice but the lines will move

GL

[Charham]

Curious why you're going with the Sox over.

Hector Velazquez has been excellent in AAA, which I realize is quite a distance from MLB, but I always fear betting against first-time rookies who are crushing in the minors.

Sonny Gray has been okayish since coming off the DL on May 1.

Also, the game is in Oakland at night.

Is there something I'm missing?

Bullpen last night plus the rook.

welcome to the big leagues