Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29521
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Rays U 23.5 -125
    Stros U 25.5 -120
    LAD U 25.0 -120
    Blind tail the first two.
    I am swearing off the Dodgers.
    Ugh.... one out away from sweeping the first two.

    Sorry boss almost had it for you

  2. #29522
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    If you did not bet the Rays today at -119 to -121, you are confirmed incompetent. Should be a similar price tomorrow, overrated Phillies will lose again!

     
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      unlearn: Nice pass post douchebag

  3. #29523
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    2-1 Nationals in 4th with bases loaded, 2 out

    Old man Zimmerman up

    He could ice it for me right now, but I think I'm asking for too much

    Edit: Yeah, of course not. Guy should've retired.

  4. #29524
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    If you did not bet the Rays today at -119 to -121, you are confirmed incompetent. Should be a similar price tomorrow, overrated Phillies will lose again!
    Rays auto bet and Cards against the sorry Dbacks autobot. Thank you Sanlmar and Pipes

    Wow Padres with the comeback from 6-1 down. Huge swing for me

    Chalk up another one for the road team and Padres in Extra Innings.

    We going against em tomorrow. No way they sweep Houston in Houston..

    Just playing, shipping in a nice sized missile on the Padres going for another sweep. The analytics say momentum is not a thing. They are wrong.

  5. #29525
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Not seeing much I like RHE wise, except the NYM/ATL game, but between it being -130 for under 23 and Taijuan Walker coming off an injury (and a delay of a day due to rain), I don't trust it. Mets are barely hitting though, given all the injuries, so it's tempting.

    But I'll just go with this:

    Washington (Lester) vs. Milwaukee (Brett Anderson) - OVER 6.5 +102 (GAME 2 - 7 INNINGS)
    THA BREW CREW PUTS UP 1 IN THE 4TH, 1 IN THE 5TH, 2 IN THE 6TH (AND COUNTING)

    5-2, GAME OVA FOR ME


  6. #29526
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    That comeback by the Padres gave me an itchy trigger finger. Lets go RedBirds

  7. #29527
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Not seeing much I like RHE wise, except the NYM/ATL game, but between it being -130 for under 23 and Taijuan Walker coming off an injury (and a delay of a day due to rain), I don't trust it. Mets are barely hitting though, given all the injuries, so it's tempting.

    But I'll just go with this:

    Washington (Lester) vs. Milwaukee (Brett Anderson) - OVER 6.5 +102 (GAME 2 - 7 INNINGS)
    THA BREW CREW PUTS UP 1 IN THE 4TH, 1 IN THE 5TH, 2 IN THE 6TH (AND COUNTING)

    5-2, GAME OVA FOR ME

    Yes - Thank you. Another trust exercise.

    Dodged the Dodgers so a plus day.

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  8. #29528
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Blind tail the first two.
    I am swearing off the Dodgers.
    Ugh.... one out away from sweeping the first two.

    Sorry boss almost had it for you
    I believe in this approach. Almost 2-0.

    Tampa Bay is an ATM Nicky

    Not one bet today was an original thought by me. I think I’ve spotted the weakness in the mirror.

  9. #29529
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Ugh.... one out away from sweeping the first two.

    Sorry boss almost had it for you
    I believe in this approach. Almost 2-0.

    Tampa Bay is an ATM Nicky

    Not one bet today was an original thought by me. I think I’ve spotted the weakness in the mirror.

    Not a lot of echo chamber bullshit in here. We don’t bat 1.000 becuase nobody does but we take more than we give, as a rule Of thumb.

  10. #29530
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    Simp would like to hear your opinion on these series starting tomorrow. Lightning pk tomorrow and -140 for series and Avalanche -180 tomorrow and 2-1 for series.

    Just guessing you like Tampa Bay and Colorado. Golden Knights is a good price but I think the consensus around here is Colorado is cream of crop.

    Anybody have that Chelsea +350? Why was that so high? Playing poker with guys last night saying they had it then kicked myself when I saw final score.

    Good luck on moving day boys! Ima get in a bunch of bets then get out for a hike early with some friends. Sweating Sunday is so fun but overwhelming, 10 hours is enough.

    Get on them Padres tomorrow. Greinke face by the 3rd inning

  11. #29531
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two good RHE bets today:

    Washington (Scherzer) vs. Milwaukee (Woodruff) - Under 22 -115 RHE
    Dodgers (Kershaw) vs. San Francisco (Gausman) - Under 24 -120 RHE


    Unfortunately, moments after I bet these, BOL moved the lines to -135 and -140, respectively.

    But if they return, or if you can bet them elsewhere, do it.

  12. #29532
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    No Gamble No Future Good Luck PFA Degens lets get that bread

  13. #29533
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Padres Astros 2:10pm. live over is calling me. 5th inning? The bullpens both are toast now. Those two offenses? C’mon. I’m pumped. Only thing that is calling me

    Maybe preflop over. My only issue with you Padre. We will see.

  14. #29534
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    Who is “unlearn” acting as if it’s not a GIVEN that Pipes is pounding the Rays every single game. How many times do I need to post it: I am betting the Rays every single game and every single series. Was clear about the plan against the Phillies on Thursday.

    I’ve been playing the Rays all season, and have been playing them for the last 2 years. Check the thread I announced when the Rays had a losing record that they are the best AL Team, which they are.

    Anyways, if you want to “rib” me, it should be for my failure to recognize and take advantage of the DBacks auto fade which a few of the guys in this thread alerted us to. It’s my fault, I’m on board now hoping it’s not too late.

    This Rays run has helped me realize one of my downfalls in sports betting is getting too “cute”, see a shitty team like DBACKS getting rocked every single game? Don’t need to be clever to fade every single day. Why didn’t I do it? Was trying to be smart betting playoff hockey when I didn’t follow the regular season, shameful!

    I will now be looking for teams and pitchers that make for auto fade or auto back opportunities. Streaks don’t last forever but it’s a great way to run it up!

  15. #29535
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Old man Pujols fucked my likely win in the Dodgers RHE under.

    Bottom 9th, 5-2 Giants. With 1 out, Bellinger gets on board, and 44-year-old Pujols hit a HR. That brought the RHE from 21 to 24. At least nothing further happened, so I tied instead of lost, but still sucks.

    Even sucked for me as a Dodgers fan, as they still lost 5-4.

    Second day in a row where the Dodgers fucked my bet in the bottom of the 9th, yet still lost the game.

  16. #29536
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Who is “unlearn” acting as if it’s not a GIVEN that Pipes is pounding the Rays every single game. How many times do I need to post it: I am betting the Rays every single game and every single series. Was clear about the plan against the Phillies on Thursday.

    I’ve been playing the Rays all season, and have been playing them for the last 2 years. Check the thread I announced when the Rays had a losing record that they are the best AL Team, which they are.

    Anyways, if you want to “rib” me, it should be for my failure to recognize and take advantage of the DBacks auto fade which a few of the guys in this thread alerted us to. It’s my fault, I’m on board now hoping it’s not too late.

    This Rays run has helped me realize one of my downfalls in sports betting is getting too “cute”, see a shitty team like DBACKS getting rocked every single game? Don’t need to be clever to fade every single day. Why didn’t I do it? Was trying to be smart betting playoff hockey when I didn’t follow the regular season, shameful!

    I will now be looking for teams and pitchers that make for auto fade or auto back opportunities. Streaks don’t last forever but it’s a great way to run it up!
    It’s that simple. This is a good reminder to get back to basics for us all. It’s a game of streaks.

    Maybe you wanna augment with some crafty handicapping. You prolly shouldn’t

    Since May 4, the Orioles and D-backs are a combined 6-43.

    Tampa Bay was yours. ChiSox and lefties like today?
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-30-2021 at 07:10 PM.

  17. #29537
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    You know what I started with this morning

    Baseball - 957 St. Louis Cardinals +163 for Game
    a Bauer vs Flaherty flip. Bellinger & McInstry are not instant offense rather an anchor for now

    Thinking of series Cardinals @ +210 but I can’t project starters. Feels like a ragtag Dodgers deal.

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    Holiday plus money Rays.
    963 Tampa Bay Rays +113

     
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      NickyPipes: Giants was a nice hit! They are a sneaky good teams. Feels like the kind of team everybody expects to “fade out” sooner rather than later but just won’t go away. I like their team, good chance to make playoffs and might be a problem in postseason
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-31-2021 at 08:23 AM.

  18. #29538
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Nicky, you were talking about streaks in baseball. I’m also sure you’ve found that in life some people are just more comfortable being poor.

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    You did turn me on to this so credit due.

    Minny’s Berrios is so overrated that I just couldn’t fade the Orioles despite yesterday’s discussion. Went to extras but still woulda paid. Mixed feelings. A cheap domestic beer will cure that.

     
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      NickyPipes: Rays are dominant
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-31-2021 at 12:14 PM.

  19. #29539
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Excuse my absence, I have been suffering from Leafs depression. Going to game 7 is slightly less than ideal.

    Let's reflect on something more positive.

    Round 1 series bets turned out well. 4-1, +3.35 units
    Carolina -1.5 series bet. -120 win
    Tampa -135 win
    Carolina -240 win
    Winnipeg +175 win
    Leafs -1.5 -140 loss

    Round 2 I did grab Tampa, however will not count as it was not posted.

    Tonight for game 7, just like Vegas we are riding the Leafs. 3-1 comebacks are possible but very rare.

    Leafs in reg -110, First team to score Leafs -156.

    I'm calling a 5-2 victory for the Leafs tonight, you heard it here first.

  20. #29540
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    What are we doing for round 2 series?

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