Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #28781
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    VALUE ALERT Bet MGM Truex JR for cup dirt race +2000. They are napping and haven’t changed the odds after the truck race. +900 at WH. Prob will change soon.

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    MGM still napping. Tons of value.

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  3. #28783
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    VALUE ALERT Bet MGM Truex JR for cup dirt race +2000. They are napping and haven’t changed the odds after the truck race. +900 at WH. Prob will change soon.

    Why is this value?

    Need some education here

  4. #28784
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    VALUE ALERT Bet MGM Truex JR for cup dirt race +2000. They are napping and haven’t changed the odds after the truck race. +900 at WH. Prob will change soon.

    Why is this value?

    Need some education here
    After Truex ran the dirt race earlier and won (of course luck and the car, but he dominated) his odds dropped drastically from around +2000 to anywhere from +900 to +1200 on most offshore & regulated sites for the cup race that is about start. William Hill moved him to +900 for the cup race. Bet MGM didn’t update their odds. So anyone who has access to that kind of account could still have gotten the +2000 for a significant amount of time. Last I checked they still haven’t moved it.

     
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      Daly: Good stuff, I’m in

  5. #28785
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    LFG

    Daly, right after you posted they updated. Look at this fucking movement. Race still hasn’t started. We got a great price regardless.

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  6. #28786
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    Lol. Never been offered 1/2 before a race started. Had to show this.

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  7. #28787
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    Sure sucks. Dominant car that they just either over adjusted or didn’t adjust enough for the changing track conditions. At least it was an outright bet b/c it would of been an awful Top 3/Top 5 loss when he spun the tires in overtime. Looked good. Disappointing but was a good play. Ah ya.

  8. #28788
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Sure sucks. Dominant car that they just either over adjusted or didn’t adjust enough for the changing track conditions. At least it was an outright bet b/c it would of been an awful Top 3/Top 5 loss when he spun the tires in overtime. Looked good. Disappointing but was a good play. Ah ya.
    Lol - took some top 3 at +500.

    I didn’t want the restart i saw that shit coming a mile away.

    This is what we can’t have nice things.

  9. #28789
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sacramento at San Antonio - Over 229
    Golden State -1.5 vs. Chicago (Curry is playing)

     
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      JeffDime: Ty sir.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Sure sucks. Dominant car that they just either over adjusted or didn’t adjust enough for the changing track conditions. At least it was an outright bet b/c it would of been an awful Top 3/Top 5 loss when he spun the tires in overtime. Looked good. Disappointing but was a good play. Ah ya.
    Lol - took some top 3 at +500.

    I didn’t want the restart i saw that shit coming a mile away.

    This is what we can’t have nice things.
    Fuck man. Couldn’t have gotten the money in any better. Short track, short race, dominant car, single file re-starts and no passing on pit row. On top of that the Chalk (Larson) crashes. That long run in the first 50 miles of the second stage fucked us. He keeps the front I think he stays.

    I’ve been getting the money in good lately. I am sure of it. But the variance, except for that little streak I had yesterday, has not been going my way. Would of loved to get us home Daly. Think I’m going to take the rest of the week off.

  11. #28791
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Bet some B Grace before you take the rest of the week off

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Bet some B Grace before you take the rest of the week off
    +6600. Done. LFG!

  13. #28793
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Easy like Sunday morning!

    2-0 today, and it could have been 4-0 if I placed a bet I considered (Sac moneyline) and a bet I meant to do but thought it was later in the day (Boston under).

    Now 12-3 in my last 15, after a 3-13 beatdown right after the All-Star break.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Easy like Sunday morning!

    2-0 today, and it could have been 4-0 if I placed a bet I considered (Sac moneyline) and a bet I meant to do but thought it was later in the day (Boston under).

    Now 12-3 in my last 15, after a 3-13 beatdown right after the All-Star break.
    TY sir. Finally was able to ride part of the streak. A minute or two late, had to lay the -120 (live juice) on Golden State 1 and a hook, but well worth it. Sorry I hadn’t been along the whole way. Hell of a run you’re on.

  15. #28795
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    Just when I think I'm out, William Hill (of all people) pull me back in. Most books have Finau 12-1 - 14-1. This bloke has it at 16-1. If they wanted to tempt me to donate another nickel in pursuit of Tony's win, mission accomplished. In all seriousness, this is the perfect type of tournament for Finau to beak through with every one focusing on next week. Weak field. Fading Jordan and Scottie here. Tony didn't play well last week, but should be fresh for this week and his numbers have all and all been very good the Last few months

    Valero
    Finau (William Hill) $500 16-1
    B Grace $150 66-1 (Always listen to Daly)

    Ana Ins
    My girl, J Ko $777 10-1 She played well over the weekend. Inbee just too good thurday and Friday.


    Godspeed

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting at 4:05 PT:

    Charlotte -4.5 at Washington (Beal, Ball out)

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    NFL is adding a regular game for next season.

  18. #28798
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    Charlotte has been 10 points ahead for a long time. Now in the final minute, Westbrook is trying to fuck my spread win here.

    111-104 at the moment, 34s left

  19. #28799
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    Charlotte wins by 10.




    That puts me on a 13-3 run, the exact flip side of my 3-13 slump preceding it.

  20. #28800
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Just when I think I'm out, William Hill (of all people) pull me back in. Most books have Finau 12-1 - 14-1. This bloke has it at 16-1. If they wanted to tempt me to donate another nickel in pursuit of Tony's win, mission accomplished. In all seriousness, this is the perfect type of tournament for Finau to beak through with every one focusing on next week. Weak field. Fading Jordan and Scottie here. Tony didn't play well last week, but should be fresh for this week and his numbers have all and all been very good the Last few months

    Valero
    Finau (William Hill) $500 16-1
    B Grace $150 66-1 (Always listen to Daly)

    Ana Ins
    My girl, J Ko $777 10-1 She played well over the weekend. Inbee just too good thurday and Friday.


    Godspeed
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    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

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