100k is pretty unlikely.Originally Posted by gimmick
We have 64 days left in 2020.
That would be an average of 1562 deaths per day -- a number we haven't averaged since a relatively short period of time in the spring.
Remember when Biden said 200k fairly recently? LOL
Anyone who wants to bet me on the 100k death thing, let me know.
This is likely correct. 80k deaths max. More likely 65k-80k. That being said I would expect daily deaths to peak until mid to late January.100k is pretty unlikely.
We have 64 days left in 2020.
That would be an average of 1562 deaths per day -- a number we haven't averaged since a relatively short period of time in the spring.
Remember when Biden said 200k fairly recently? LOL
Anyone who wants to bet me on the 100k death thing, let me know.
more expert analysis from a guy who talked to a dead man for 3 hoursThis is likely correct. 80k deaths max. More likely 65k-80k. That being said I would expect daily deaths to peak until mid to late January.
Yea the 200k number was why i made the post. No idea on what the context of the number was. 80-120k seems about right. Your cases and deaths have been a mix of Sweden's and whole EU's trajectory.100k is pretty unlikely.
We have 64 days left in 2020.
That would be an average of 1562 deaths per day -- a number we haven't averaged since a relatively short period of time in the spring.
Remember when Biden said 200k fairly recently? LOL
Anyone who wants to bet me on the 100k death thing, let me know.
Meaning you case numbers never went too low but the deaths dipped hard in the warmer months after initial spikes in colder months.
In the cold the disease does two things, targets have lower immunity response and particles stay longer in the air. Bigger viral loads to softer targets. It's to be seen if that's enough to race to 100k, assuming most things stay roughly the same.
Last edited by gimmick; 10-29-2020 at 11:13 AM.
The most favorable napkin math i can give you with just 10% weekly increase in the next 8 weeks gets us to 69k.
I'll rather seen in a month where we're and then at the end of the year.
Christmas and New Years are also cancelled.
California is closed through 2023.
California liberals man. This couldn’t had waited until 11/4? It’s like they are trying to breathe life into the dying GOP hopes. I thought this had to be parody. Collecting family member names? I wish I could find the person who wrote this and decided to release it today so I could backhand him across his clearly empty head.
California liberals man. This couldn’t had waited until 11/4? It’s like they are trying to breathe life into the dying GOP hopes. I thought this had to be parody. Collecting family member names? I wish I could find the person who wrote this and decided to release it today so I could backhand him across his clearly empty head.
its a tough spot. they have no budget, the whole ass state bursts into flames regularly, and they are getting told to fuck off by a president because they arent handing him electoral college votes.
so the only cards they can play is let society descend into a mad max libertarian wasteland or try to impose prophylactic controls on the infection rate.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Five days for some shit people are either going to do by themselves or ignore anyway. Obviously CA isn’t in play, but the wording was just so silly. Why give fodder for commercials imo?
its a tough spot. they have no budget, the whole ass state bursts into flames regularly, and they are getting told to fuck off by a president because they arent handing him electoral college votes.
so the only cards they can play is let society descend into a mad max libertarian wasteland or try to impose prophylactic controls on the infection rate.
God you're a fucking clueless idiot
its a tough spot. they have no budget, the whole ass state bursts into flames regularly, and they are getting told to fuck off by a president because they arent handing him electoral college votes.
so the only cards they can play is let society descend into a mad max libertarian wasteland or try to impose prophylactic controls on the infection rate.
Because they released the new guidelines 3 weeks ago. It's just now being used as ammo.California liberals man. This couldn’t had waited until 11/4? It’s like they are trying to breathe life into the dying GOP hopes. I thought this had to be parody. Collecting family member names? I wish I could find the person who wrote this and decided to release it today so I could backhand him across his clearly empty head.
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID...20over%20time.
They released it when their numbers were going down. They aren't going down anymore.
Didn’t realize that. It said 10 hours ago when I searched his link. Still stupid imo. This is the shit people eat up when you put collecting names in the wording. They don’t see contact tracing in a country with 80k cases a day. That evokes some McCarthyism vibe here.Because they released the new guidelines 3 weeks ago. It's just now being used as ammo.
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID...20over%20time.
They released it when their numbers were going down. They aren't going down anymore.
That’s why it’s ammo. This shit will be bouncing around the Midwest tmrw morning guaranteed. Election is three weeks before Thanksgiving. Just win and you control the response to the virus nationally. That so far exceeds any local risk mitigation advantage of an earlier announcement.
Plus you can make any rules you want. Exactly zero law enforcement would enforce that shit on thanksgiving anyway unless you legit have 500 people in your house. I doubt they’d even enforce that. They were throwing house parties in the hills with 1000 celebrities at the worst of it.
We have 20 million people poised to lose their health care and a pandemic. The election is all that matters. A sweep of senate and presidency is necessary to prevent a million times more pain than this could ever prevent.
They'd have to wait almost 4 weeks for this exact guideline not to be used as ammo. People that turn this into ammo can choose from hundreds of other "news" bits of similar value to them.Didn’t realize that. It said 10 hours ago when I searched his link. Still stupid imo. This is the shit people eat up when you put collecting names in the wording. They don’t see contact tracing in a country with 80k cases a day. That evokes some McCarthyism vibe here.
That’s why it’s ammo. This shit will be bouncing around the Midwest tmrw morning guaranteed. Election is three weeks before Thanksgiving. Just win and you control the response to the virus nationally. That so far exceeds any local risk mitigation advantage of an earlier announcement.
Plus you can make any rules you want. Exactly zero law enforcement would enforce that shit on thanksgiving anyway unless you legit have 500 people in your house. I doubt they’d even enforce that. They were throwing house parties in the hills with 1000 celebrities at the worst of it.
We have 20 million people poised to lose their health care and a pandemic. The election is all that matters. A sweep of senate and presidency is necessary to prevent a million times more pain than this could ever prevent.
From the other side of things think of one stupid thing Trump said. Does stopping that do anything. Nope. No one is running out of quotes.
Trump has been holding many superspreader rallies, where people are packed in tight, not social distancing and mostly not wearing masks, at which Trump is saying how when he holds rallies, the attendees are social distancing and wearing masks. The complete, and deadly, disconnect between what Trump is saying to his cheering supporters and the reality of what they are doing has Anderson Cooper utterly baffled.
_____________________________________________
Trump is trying to infect everyone.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1322020830428221440
Kirstie Alley should join PFA.
That’s sobering. Really glad that the virus is over now with the election being done.
The US reported more than 121,000 infections, beating a daily case record it set just 24 hours ago
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