honestly, if it’s raining or really cold come election day in just a few of the battleground states then Trump wins.
honestly, if it’s raining or really cold come election day in just a few of the battleground states then Trump wins.
The most ardent supporters of the monarchy in France were the peasants. Until they ran out of bread.Originally Posted by sonatine
it just doesnt matter. trump's ace up his sleeve is that he has a legitimate cult, so the traditional paradigms for voter turnout/polling math are totally irrelevant.
all the polling is telling me right now is that hes going to win in exactly the way he won 4 years ago.
I was so sure of myself and admittedly a little entertained by the idea of weeks of riots and contention following the election egged on Trump.
When you think you got it figured out the market ALWAYS surprises you.
Analysts said prospects for a more decisive outcome on Nov. 3 could be a positive for markets. Fears have grown of an inconclusive election result that could see weeks of contentious political and legal wrangling.
The main issue with polling in 2016 was poor sampling of college vs. non-college whites and lack of data down the stretch in the rust belt. Methodology was largely fixed in 2018 with accurate predictions.
it just doesnt matter. trump's ace up his sleeve is that he has a legitimate cult, so the traditional paradigms for voter turnout/polling math are totally irrelevant.
all the polling is telling me right now is that hes going to win in exactly the way he won 4 years ago.
The science is tight in 2020 and it says that Trump is getting assfucked in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
I’m not sure polling was that awful. Not great but not awful. Parscale saw that data and went to work.The main issue with polling in 2016 was poor sampling of college vs. non-college whites and lack of data down the stretch in the rust belt. Methodology was largely fixed in 2018 with accurate predictions.
The science is tight in 2020 and it says that Trump is getting assfucked in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Parscale and Cambridge Analytica/Facebook were able to reach individual voters in those states with tremendous success
I think you personally know this but it is still so easily forgotten in the 2016 narrative.
It’s a clown posse at the RNC and Trump central so that kinda smarts is absent or waiting arraignment and psychiatric evaluation.
Yes lets not let facts get any the way. People keep talking about polls being way off but they generally were good outside of one-two states. Look at battlegrounds below and then compare to previous 4 years.I’m not sure polling was that awful. Not great but not awful. Parscale saw that data and went to work.
Parscale and Cambridge Analytica/Facebook were able to reach individual voters in those states with tremendous success
I think you personally know this but it is still so easily forgotten in the 2016 narrative.
It’s a clown posse at the RNC and Trump central so that kinda smarts is absent or waiting arraignment and psychiatric evaluation.
Clinton was only ahead in many battleground states by a few percentage points poll wise. I mean if she was up by 5% across the board in battleground sand lost that is another thing. But she wasn;t and often had leads below the margin of error in those states. you'll also see in fact that trump was predicted to win a significant portion of BGs (9 of 15). The wisconsin number below should be for clinton in polls they screwed it up. That was one of the biggest surprises.
Last edited by BetCheckBet; 10-05-2020 at 02:44 PM.
It’s called democracy, the vote will determine the winner. It’s not a cult but the will of the people. Lol today is the last day to register to vote and my friend has been looking up multiple people to see if they are registered. Funny a few of her lib friends aren’t even registered, so libbyral, rofl, thats why you will lose, shooting off at the mouth but are unregistered to cast a ballot. Too fucking hilarious and that’s why Hillary tanked 4 years ago.
it just doesnt matter. trump's ace up his sleeve is that he has a legitimate cult, so the traditional paradigms for voter turnout/polling math are totally irrelevant.
all the polling is telling me right now is that hes going to win in exactly the way he won 4 years ago.
Lazy loudmouth loser libs.
Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.
Ronald Reagan
Lazy lib losers.
Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.
Ronald Reagan
Honestly the feeling among many conservatives, myself included, is that Trump will lose.
This is despite the fact that many conservatives who were anti-Trump in 2016 (including me) have decided to support him, mostly due to the increased craziness and extremity of the left.
But this wasn't a well-run campaign.
Trump let the left/media run him over with false blame for COVID (far, far more than he actually deserves), and he didn't seize upon the left's support (and denial) of the violent protests and riots. That part should have been a slam dunk, as swing voters hate riots and violent crime, and can't relate to the left's excuse-making for it. But Trump's campaign didn't jump on this.
They oddly spent too much time going after Biden himself, which was a mistake, because everyone already knows him. This should have been Trump versus the out-of-touch coastal/media/academic left. Trump did a good job of that 4 years ago, but his team blew it this time.
Anything involving Trump isn't a given, so I'm not saying he has no chance. But it's not looking good.
Oh wow you think voter suppression is a hoax?Republicans will stfu about voter fraud right about the same time the Dems stfu about voter suppression.
So this will all be over right around when hell freezes over with little 3 year breaks along the way.
I can prove it's real if you want. I don't really feel like digging on the internet for this shit but if you insist I will prove it to you
we deal in facts not lies and conspiracy
Simply not true I know this because I’ve been following it regularly as it highly impacts betting markets. Republicans been consistently showing more confidence that trump wins than Democrats beleive Biden will win.
4 days ago 90 percent of republicans felt trump will win.
https://www.google.ca/amp/s/justthen...election%3famp
Funny you say this
it just doesnt matter. trump's ace up his sleeve is that he has a legitimate cult, so the traditional paradigms for voter turnout/polling math are totally irrelevant.
all the polling is telling me right now is that hes going to win in exactly the way he won 4 years ago.
75% of Biden voters think trumps going to win
58% of wagers are on trump(I assume much more money too but I can't prove that)
I'm not lumping you in with these uninformed voters of course but that's something You might not have known
2016 it was the complete opposite
That's common. People will usually publicly state that they think their own party will win. If it was really widely believed Trump was the likely eventual victor, he would be a favorite in the betting markets, not an underdog.Simply not true I know this because I’ve been following it regularly as it highly impacts betting markets. Republicans been consistently showing more confidence that trump wins than Democrats beleive Biden will win.
4 days ago 90 percent of republicans felt trump will win.
https://www.google.ca/amp/s/justthen...election%3famp
I'm telling you, from talking with conservatives I know, there are a lot who are pessimistic about the election. The Democrats who feel Trump will win are mostly just paranoid about voter suppression.
post your proof of Presidential election voter fraud please
Lol @ trump roid raging. He will break your teeth and feed them to you analy.They gave Trump a steroid to help with Coronavirus.
Doctors usually prescribe steroids and antibiotics for people who have the flu, bronchitis and pneumonia.
It helps very little.
How many more people will die? 300,000? 500,000? A million people?
You're not very good at reading comprehension.post your proof of Presidential election voter fraud please
See the discussion I had with you in the other thread for the explanation.
You're not very good at reading comprehension.
See the discussion I had with you in the other thread for the explanation.
Do you really think an Election that will include about 150 million voters can be fixed? Seriously?
A simple yes or no will do
Last edited by big dick; 10-05-2020 at 04:05 PM.
Voter fraud and voter suppression are both insignificant. LMFAO you thinking that it's too hard for a grown ass adult to figure out how to vote. People that don't vote either don't want to or are too lazy. It's not too hard. JFC
Do you really think an Election that will include about 150 million votes can be fixed? Seriously?
A simple yes or no will do
What is far more likely to happen is lost votes from incompetence.
The governor of Texas last week with 1 days notice ordered all ballot drop boxes be removed except for 1 in each countyVoter fraud and voter suppression are both insignificant. LMFAO you thinking that it's too hard for a grown ass adult to figure out how to vote. People that don't vote either don't want to or are too lazy. It's not too hard. JFC
What is far more likely to happen is lost votes from incompetence.
Harris county(houston) now has 1 ballot drop box for 3.6 million people
They had 12 before the order to remove
what would you call that?
The boxes were there and WERE REMOVED
How about the post office slowing mail and removing mail sorting machines ?
what would you call that?
I would call it insignificant (as I stated before) and you probably don't know the entire story. Plenty of strawman stories of voter fraud which are also insignificant. The people crying about voter suppression and voter fraud are the exact same person just on opposite sides of the aisle. It's painful to watch you argue back and forth about it.The governor of Texas last week with 1 days notice ordered all ballot drop boxes be removed except for 1 in each county
Harris county(houston) now has 1 ballot drop box for 3.6 million people
They had 12 before the order to remove
what would you call that?
The boxes were there and WERE REMOVED
How about the post office slowing mail and removing mail sorting machines ?
what would you call that?
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