Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #23921
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two unders, one soon, one in awhile.

    Soon:

    Minnesota (Maeda) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 8.5 -110

    Later:

    Arizona (Clarke) vs. San Francisco (Cueto) - Under 9.5 -115

  2. #23922
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    M&M looks amazing Druff. Nice.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I professed my love of Maeda even when he was on the Dodgers. That says a lot. I’ve also autobet him all year long.

    We do this today in the face of the (near) no-hitter curse. The games following a no-hitter are supposed to be fades. Public loves the recency. The pitcher’s orthopedic surgeon loves the celebrity visit.

    Detroit was a classic Druff dog play at near +200. Druff understood Mize vs his numbers. He took a different tact and that is a great bet too.

    This looks like stupidity wagering no matter the outcome. I wish I looked more closely and disabled autobet.

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    Difficult season & a weak mind.

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    My first week on this thread and my best week in months. This is a good story I swear I’m not flexing. Well, maybe just a little. So my pick was a Rahm. This was a no cut event but he shot 5 over the first day and 1 over the second. If there was a cut he would of been out. I jumped on Rory, who without a doubt the Northern Irishman has cost this Irishman(In name only, I don’t look Irish for shit) more money than any other golfer ( You owe me another grand Rory).

    Rory shoots +3 yesterday and Rahm -4. Rahm gets a penalty stroke for forgetting to mark his ball. All of a sudden both are 3 back at +2 for the tourney going into today. Rory shits the bed but Rahm starts strong. All of a sudden my initial horse(who was dead in the water) is making a charge. Rahm posts -4 for the tournament, shooting 10 under over the weekend. Dustin is one back. All I have to do is a fade a 44 footer for him on the last hole and I got my 5 figure score. He nails it from down town. That penalty stroke now is looming large as it is bringing me into a playoff with either a huge score or zip.

    Both are on the green in two. Rahm is outside has a 66 footer. He fucking drains it. Dustin misses his 30 footer and I take it. I love this fucking thread.

     
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      Sanlmar: Just saw that Rahm putt. Mental health is nothing to trifle with. It’s golf, be careful

  5. #23925
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two unders, one soon, one in awhile.

    Soon:

    Minnesota (Maeda) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 8.5 -110

    Later:

    Arizona (Clarke) vs. San Francisco (Cueto) - Under 9.5 -115
    Yeah 2-0 .... but these were two great great picks.

    Thx for the second pick. I didn’t think of either on my own this morning.

  6. #23926
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two unders, one soon, one in awhile.

    Soon:

    Minnesota (Maeda) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 8.5 -110

    Later:

    Arizona (Clarke) vs. San Francisco (Cueto) - Under 9.5 -115
    Yeah 2-0 .... but these were two great great picks.

    Thx for the second pick. I didn’t think of either on my own this morning.
    Thanks.

    Did you bet both of them?

    I have mostly stayed away from Sundays in past years, because of all the stupid things managers do with lineups on that day, plus the large number of day games which also throws things off.

    However, this whole season is super-screwy every day,, so Sunday isn't much different anymore. You either join the chaos or stay away..

     
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      JeffDime: Nice picks Druff. I wish I pounded.

  7. #23927
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    My first week on this thread and my best week in months. This is a good story I swear I’m not flexing. Well, maybe just a little. So my pick was a Rahm. This was a no cut event but he shot 5 over the first day and 1 over the second. If there was a cut he would of been out. I jumped on Rory, who without a doubt the Northern Irishman has cost this Irishman(In name only, I don’t look Irish for shit) more money than any other golfer ( You owe me another grand Rory).

    Rory shoots +3 yesterday and Rahm -4. Rahm gets a penalty stroke for forgetting to mark his ball. All of a sudden both are 3 back at +2 for the tourney going into today. Rory shits the bed but Rahm starts strong. All of a sudden my initial horse(who was dead in the water) is making a charge. Rahm posts -4 for the tournament, shooting 10 under over the weekend. Dustin is one back. All I have to do is a fade a 44 footer for him on the last hole and I got my 5 figure score. He nails it from down town. That penalty stroke now is looming large as it is bringing me into a playoff with either a huge score or zip.

    Both are on the green in two. Rahm is outside has a 66 footer. He fucking drains it. Dustin misses his 30 footer and I take it. I love this fucking thread.

    GambleBot will tell you It was also on Rham this weekend. The last two hours of that tournament were batshit crazy.

    Long term takeaway for me.... lot is being made of Morikawa as the new iron player on tour, and deservedly so. People are overlooking Niemann.... hes 3 years younger and this is the second time post Covid he had made a late charge. I bet he binks one at 50-1 odds in the next 6-8 months

     
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      JeffDime: Def a good long shot play.

  8. #23928
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Gainwell (Stud RB for Memphis) is out. Line fell past 21 to 19.

    I’ll probably still be in Memphis day of, but that’s a big loss.

    J Chase our for LSU. Smart move. He would have gone WR1 if he came out last year. No lines to impact but can probably lop off the season win total.

  9. #23929
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    I’m with you San, but I was shopping for straight jackets online after DJ drained the 44 footer to force a playoff. Hopefully it’s still early enough to cancel. Got a great deal. It was Houdini sheik.

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      Daly: Still shaking my head over that put - 12K swing for me

  10. #23930
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    Cards (Hudson) +108

    Yanks (Cole) 1st 5, -.5 Even

    Philly (Howard) -123

  11. #23931
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Cards (Hudson) +108

    Yanks (Cole) 1st 5, -.5 Even

    Philly (Howard) -123

    Cole shit the bed. Luckily didn’t lay odds on him. Other two look decent early. Checking for something in the night slots.

  12. #23932
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I’d like to go on the record and say the US books are completely missing the fucking boat on the PGA Championship this weekend.

    For those not aware the format they playing is they use a points based formula to adjust the starting score for the amount of points they have won over the past season. So Because DJ is God and world
    #1 he starts at -10. Rham and JT start -8. Tony Finau and a bunch of others who just made the top 30 cut start at Par. So if you wanted to take a Dog like Finau, who would normally be +3500 against a full field not you also have to lay 10 strokes. Basically the real price is closer to +35 Million but because there are only 30 runners it somehow is supposed to even out the odds. DJ start the tournament +150...... jump right in boys.

    The Euro books are throwing away the starting advantage adjustment and going for normal score - but the US books I can’t seem to find.

    Fucking dumb. Someone make me a price on X for the weekend being low scorer.

  13. #23933
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I’d like to go on the record and say the US books are completely missing the fucking boat on the PGA Championship this weekend.

    For those not aware the format they playing is they use a points based formula to adjust the starting score for the amount of points they have won over the past season. So Because DJ is God and world
    #1 he starts at -10. Rham and JT start -8. Tony Finau and a bunch of others who just made the top 30 cut start at Par. So if you wanted to take a Dog like Finau, who would normally be +3500 against a full field not you also have to lay 10 strokes. Basically the real price is closer to +35 Million but because there are only 30 runners it somehow is supposed to even out the odds. DJ start the tournament +150...... jump right in boys.

    The Euro books are throwing away the starting advantage adjustment and going for normal score - but the US books I can’t seem to find.

    Fucking dumb. Someone make me a price on X for the weekend being low scorer.
    Jersey Books have the option to bet without the advantage. This is MGM. Name:  82A5D4AF-1AFE-45F1-84D9-382D0661CA78.png
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  14. #23934
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I’d like to go on the record and say the US books are completely missing the fucking boat on the PGA Championship this weekend.

    For those not aware the format they playing is they use a points based formula to adjust the starting score for the amount of points they have won over the past season. So Because DJ is God and world
    #1 he starts at -10. Rham and JT start -8. Tony Finau and a bunch of others who just made the top 30 cut start at Par. So if you wanted to take a Dog like Finau, who would normally be +3500 against a full field not you also have to lay 10 strokes. Basically the real price is closer to +35 Million but because there are only 30 runners it somehow is supposed to even out the odds. DJ start the tournament +150...... jump right in boys.

    The Euro books are throwing away the starting advantage adjustment and going for normal score - but the US books I can’t seem to find.

    Fucking dumb. Someone make me a price on X for the weekend being low scorer.
    Jersey Books have the option to bet without the advantage. This is MGM. Name:  82A5D4AF-1AFE-45F1-84D9-382D0661CA78.png
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    Hard to be super duper excited about it - but give me X Man at 11-1

  15. #23935
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Hard to be super duper excited about it - but give me X Man at 11-1
    Best I can find you is FanDuel. Name:  DBD0FBB4-B7F0-4302-B2A8-CAD382F31202.png
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  16. #23936
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Cards (Hudson) +108

    Yanks (Cole) 1st 5, -.5 Even

    Philly (Howard) -123

    Cole shit the bed. Luckily didn’t lay odds on him. Other two look decent early. Checking for something in the night slots.
    Been a Yankees guy for the past few years.

    Cole won 20 straight games. Regression from history making. Meanwhile, that is a 2nd string lineup. 2nd string is a lot better than most but this isn’t what the public imagines when thinking of when considering the Yankees.

    It may not happen this year. They are broke and broken.

    It’s wide open this year for more reasons than you can count.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post


    Cole shit the bed. Luckily didn’t lay odds on him. Other two look decent early. Checking for something in the night slots.
    Been a Yankees guy for the past few years.

    Cole won 20 straight games. Regression from history making. Meanwhile, that is a 2nd string lineup. 2nd string is a lot better than most but this isn’t what the public imagines when thinking of when considering the Yankees.

    It may not happen this year. They are broke and broken.

    It’s wide open this year for more reasons than you can count.
    I will be honest, I thought tonight he would bring his A game. Far from it. It didn’t matter anyways, because the Yankees didn’t manage to sniff a run in the first 5. Other 2 much better plays.

  18. #23938
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Live bet Padres @ Rockies bottom 2nd over 9 total.

    Line was 12 preflop

  19. #23939
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    WAR What is it good for?

    Well, top of 3rd Tatis drives in 2 then scores on subsequent play. 3-0 Line now 11.5

    Win or lose I can sleep peacefully. Unless, Bruins lose.


    Bottom 3rd first batter.. 111mph line drive to Tatis which he jumps to catch. Ridiculous.

    WAR. Is Yaz still #1? I hope not
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-31-2020 at 07:30 PM.

  20. #23940
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Meant to bet Miami Heat moneyline yesterday but wasn't available. Ugh.

    Anyway, here's an under for you:

    Dodgers (Urias) vs. Arizona (Alex Young) - Under 8.5 +100

     
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      shoeshine box: had Heat +194!

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