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Thread: ELON TUSK IS GOD

  1. #1281
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    In the context of this community....

    Having a flashback where Mumbles is arguing a company’s fundamental prospects with me. I’m like that’s not how wagering works. I mean it’s fun to have a lean but that shit will usually just cost you money. For me, thinking cost me TSLA money and has forever crippled pure thought.

    I will admit airlines and cruise bk stonks were another

    Hertz is prima facile evidence. They want to issue $1b of new equity and people will buy it. This is like a loose aggressive high stakes limit game.

    https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post905754
    I read every word you post and have nearly perfect recall.

    I just can’t stop trying to fade the market. -2000 points and I have nothing to show for it. I’m Mr Negative too. Little bummed.

    I really believe that Trump shit. I really think that’s a big part of what we are witnessing. See how long before CNBC and the unwashed cover it.

     
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      sonatine: lol sorry, my bad

  2. #1282
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    It’s pretty 1st level stuff but we failed a .382 fib retracement of the SPY this morning. Market wants lower price. Yet I keep challenging.

    Continuing the Online book story. I gotta find the Bookmaker traders name. Bought this just after the downdraft. He was slow.

    MU - What will the Dow Jones Industrial Close at the end of the trading day (4pm EST) 06/12/2020 (Marketwach.com)
    [444077] TOTAL o25200+154
    (Over vrs Under)
    Game start 06/12/2020 04:00 PM


    What will the S&P 500 Close at the end of the trading day (4pm EST) 06/12/2020 (Marketwach.com) - TOTAL o3000+147 - (Over vrs Under)
    Game Start 06/12/2020 @ 04:00 PM
    Ticket # 449441875

    I may get back roomed at close. I’m flat in the real world. If my mind was right I’d be short... I need a weekend off to cleanse


    everyone wants real time picks. Lot of what I do is feel. I see something I hit it and it may not be right a few minutes later. I often have very little conviction and don’t like holding stuff. I may bail 3 seconds later. A lot of my stuff is marginally +EV at the time. I’ll try to contribute some longer term picks.

  3. #1283
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    i totally stand corrected, this is a lot less exploitable than i thought. tl;dr time decay.

    DOUBLE CORRECTED

    super fucking exploitable holy shit.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  4. #1284
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    i totally stand corrected, this is a lot less exploitable than i thought. tl;dr time decay.

    DOUBLE CORRECTED

    super fucking exploitable holy shit.

    I wouldn’t watch it all day but Him trying to do it in-house seems exploitable. He has the best of it with 30 cent lines when all is said and done.

  5. #1285
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    People bought the 60 point positive open. They are gonna take the market down at close. We will see. That’s how you hurt em. I really need to put something on.

    The options market on shit like SPY is breaking records too. RH kids.

    I’m gonna sit on my hands.

  6. #1286
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    Bought some SPY puts at 308 and sold at 302. Missed the bottom twice because I was busy doing other stuff. What can you do?

    I was looking up TD Ameritrade's Day Trading rules and I am trying to unpack this:

    How Many Day Trades Does TD Ameritrade Allow
    FINRA defines a day trade as any position that is bought and sold (or sold and bought) on the same day in your account. A pattern day trader is defined as anyone who places four or more day trades in their margin account over any rolling 5-business day period.

    PDT rule does not apply to cash accounts. Therefore, TD Ameritrade allows unlimited number of day trades on cash accounts.

    On margin account with under $25,000 balance you are allowed 3 day trades within 5 trading days period. On margin account with over $25,000 balance you are allowed unlimited number of day trades.


    So, I guess what I have now is a cash account, which means if I sell a stock I have to wait 3 days before I have the $$, but I can do as much day trading as I want under these rules.

    If I make my account margin so I have the $$ immediately, I need to get my balance over $25,000, or I will be restricted in how many day trades I can do.

    Is this correct?

    FWIW, I guess Robinhood is margin account by default?? I did a couple day trades on my wife's RH account, and they told me I can't do any more until 6/18.

  7. #1287
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Correct Verm

    Sonatine’s post re T+3 & T+1 clearing has been the standard forever.

    RH no clue. Sometimes I swear they don’t take possession of the shit you buy. Fractional share and shit. What is that?

    I heard they offered Bitcoin. I linked checking to RH and bought some hastily. Now I want to ship it. Oh, surprise. I don’t actually take possession.

    I’m joking but I think you can now do everything like fractional shares and play no fee black pool ass fucking on most retail brokers plus you prolly have the ability to trade like an adult too.

    I was wrong about close (again) but did great today and won my sports bets in almost a sweep.

  8. #1288
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    DOUBLE CORRECTED

    super fucking exploitable holy shit.

    I wouldn’t watch it all day but Him trying to do it in-house seems exploitable. He has the best of it with 30 cent lines when all is said and done.

    honestly it might have been a glitch in my black scholes fu. im going to have to actually backtest.


    tl;dr i think you can use otm options to make risk neutral plays here where the return on an S&P500 over = n(1) or S&P500 doesnt fade the over = n(1.1) where n is the cost of investments essentially and the theoretical profit is either 0 or about 10% to infinity but again, the math generated by the tool im using feels suspect.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  9. #1289
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Front running is a feature Sonatine.

    Druff has reduced my hours. Says he’s losing money cause of the economy.

    Have good weekend

  10. #1290
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    according to my backtest, this is super fucking exploitable.

    trial by fire on the 15th my friend.

    tip a pint for future glory.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  11. #1291
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Cheers. Less maths and more crowd psychology but yeah.

    Daly likes this guy. He is only now discovering good trading habits?

    The irony is I only looked at sosh media after close.

    This is gospel for me.

    Name:  875FBB7A-FDEE-4B92-8247-881550D05E03.jpeg
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  12. #1292
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    and to be clear.... charting is a reflection of crowd psychology. fibs and math has its place fo sure

  13. #1293
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    pretty much exactly why i dont trade anymore.


    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  14. #1294
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    and to be clear.... charting is a reflection of crowd psychology. fibs and math has its place fo sure

    pls check pms and let me know if you cant view that url.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  15. #1295
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    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    BIG BIG Play on TVIX. In @ 201.


    If tomorrow is red again, Ill finally take a shower after 7 days.
    Yikes

  16. #1296
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    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    Fuck. I am never right. How Im not up 10-15% premarket already?

    We get a 6% drop for just one day and then back to normal? So confusing
    Does anybody else find this adorable?

  17. #1297
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    cramer just blew up some fuckin spots, claiming goons are buying all the RH stocks in premarket so they can sell at open to robintards(tm).
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  18. #1298
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  19. #1299
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    and to be clear.... charting is a reflection of crowd psychology. fibs and math has its place fo sure

    pls check pms and let me know if you cant view that url.
    The answer is no.

    You recall I elected to pass on your premium offering. During my trial membership my cursor would spontaneously move around the screen.

    If you are being cryptic with the question it’s over my head.


    Cramer always makes me angry. He is a caricature of a reality show host. If you have a quick clip I might look but otherwise I’ll pass.

    But it’s a fun take. Jimmy may be confusing selling order flow and front running with premarket goons. Yeah, people buy first and resell at higher prices to RH. That’s why it’s free

    Saw something where he was extolling the virtues of the Wells Fargo CEO. Frequent guest on his evening show. Everyone is peddling something on CNBC in exchange for filling their air time. WFC CEO was peddling innocence & reform. WFC now wants to float stock at like $25 to make up for the money they pissed away buying their stock at $60. Jimmy say anything about WFC or we just pretend it didn’t happen? WFC is offered in the same breadth as Hertz.

    Yeah, Hertz like Gary Loveman who killed Caesars.

  20. #1300
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    pls check pms and let me know if you cant view that url.
    The answer is no.

    You recall I elected to pass on your premium offering. During my trial membership my cursor would spontaneously move around the screen.

    If you are being cryptic with the question it’s over my head.


    Cramer always makes me angry. He is a caricature of a reality show host. If you have a quick clip I might look but otherwise I’ll pass.

    Saw something where he was extolling the virtues of the Wells Fargo CEO. Frequent guest on his evening show. Everyone is peddling something on CNBC in exchange for filling their air time. WFC CEO was peddling innocence & reform. WFC now wants to float stock at like $25 to make up for the money they pissed away buying their stock at $60. Jimmy say anything about WFC or we just pretend it didn’t happen? WFC is offered in the same breadth as Hertz.

    Yeah, Hertz like Gary Loveman who killed Caesars.
    You know where the last hertz ceo went right ?

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