*** OFFICIAL 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Race Thread ***

[duped_samaritan]

Pretty cool simulator for super tuesday scenarios: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/super-tuesday/

[Daly]

I think it’s beyond fair to say at this point the match has been fixed. It’s Biden’s nomination to lose.

I think the DNC had a massive come to Jesus meeting over the past few days. Amy and Pete told to go and go quietly and Bloomberg was asked to step aside and everyone is going to get behind Joe.


Maybe I’m wrong but it seems clear to me the fix is in.

[Daly]

Warren sticking around for that contested convention nomination, and fucking over the left wing. Thanks Liz

Exactly. If fact it’s not impossible the party told her to stay in it.

[SPIT this]

I think it’s beyond fair to say at this point the match has been fixed. It’s Biden’s nomination to lose.

I think the DNC had a massive come to Jesus meeting over the past few days. Amy and Pete told to go and go quietly and Bloomberg was asked to step aside and everyone is going to get behind Joe.


Maybe I’m wrong but it seems clear to me the fix is in.

Literally lol at anybody who
1. Thought the process is rigged against Sanders
2. Proceeded to bet on Sanders

Mind boggling

[SPIT this]

Let's imagine a scenario where Biden has a small delegate lead at the convention, but short of a majority. Sanders is just behind Biden, but Warren's delegates can give Sanders the win. Will Sanders stick by his word in insisting that the delegate winner be the nominee?

Spoiler: No, he will not

[blake]

Mayor pete set to take the stage tonight with Amy and endorse Biden at his rally

[TheXFactor]

It's hard to believe this is the future of the Democratic party.

If you work for the U.S. government mandatory retirement age should be 70 years old.

[blake]

Xfactor, why the picture? how does your mind work?

you are absolutely fascinating

[SPIT this]

Mayor pete set to take the stage tonight with Amy and endorse Biden at his rally

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234571136114941952

[SPIT this]

The DNC is trying to rig it for Biden, and the GOP is trying to rig it for Sanders.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234592543821705219

[Dan Druff]

Druff, I hope you kept a list of names of people who mocked

i was thinking this same thing and hope druff didn't hedge too much

I didn't hedge at all yet against Biden... thankfully.

I did have a decent sized bet on Klobuchar in MN which looked great until this, so that's down the tubes. Wish she waited until Wednesday, but it's fairly obvious why she didn't.

I also had a smaller longshot bet on Bloomberg in OKC which is likely fucked now as well, but I hedged it back on Biden, so I still win slightly there as long as Bernie doesn't take it.

[Dan Druff]

Grabbing the popcorn and getting ready for the civil war within the Democratic Party, starting today, and peaking at the convention when they nominate Biden.

[SPIT this]

G-A-Y

[Dan Druff]

The DNC is trying to rig it for Biden, and the GOP is trying to rig it for Sanders.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234592543821705219

Actually this is smart in two ways.

First, as you said, he'd rather face Bernie. Second, even if he doesn't, he's further enraging the Bernie Bros, and the ensuing chaos will also help him win in Biden is the nominee.

[SPIT this]

The DNC is trying to rig it for Biden, and the GOP is trying to rig it for Sanders.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234592543821705219

Actually this is smart in two ways.

First, as you said, he'd rather face Bernie. Second, even if he doesn't, he's further enraging the Bernie Bros, and the ensuing chaos will also help him win in Biden is the nominee.

Yeah, I thought about that too. He's more likely to peel off disaffected Bernie voters than disaffected Biden voters

[MumblesBadly]

The DNC is trying to rig it for Biden, and the GOP is trying to rig it for Sanders.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234592543821705219

Actually this is smart in two ways.

First, as you said, he'd rather face Bernie. Second, even if he doesn't, he's further enraging the Bernie Bros, and the ensuing chaos will also help him win in Biden is the nominee.

Plus, the establishment Dems would rather lose to Trump and retain control over the DNC because their political careers won’t be hurt much with Trump to #Resist against versus Bernie cleaning house at the DNC and making way for Progressives to take over the direction of the party.

[Dan Druff]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234651148201623552

[TheXFactor]

You're not going to believe it but the guy who looks like a sexual harasser got fired for sexual harassment.

Chris Matthews has also been criticized for comparing Senator Bernie Sanders' victory in the Nevada caucuses to the Nazi conquest of France in 1940.

Ha Ha.

[MumblesBadly]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1234651148201623552

Due to his age-induced mental decline, Biden is a fucking embarrassment and would make the Sundowning Orange Man seem like John F. Kennedy at the top of his debating game.

[Dan Druff]

A huge factor overlooked by many is the 15% threshold to earn delegates, particularly in CA.

No doubt Bernie will win the state, but the last poll shows the following:

Bernie 38%
Biden 21%
Warren 16%
Bloomberg 11%
Buttigieg 7%
Klobuchar 5%

Be aware that there's early voting, so Buttigieg and Klobuchar will get votes.

Anyway, there are 415 delegates at stake.

If somehow everyone gets under 15% beside Bernie, he takes them all, and more importantly, gets a 415 delegate boost over Biden. However, if Biden even scores 15%, he gets a nice cut of delegates (probably at least 80).

If the voting goes exactly as the poll above, Bernie would get 223, Biden 108, and Warren 84. This would give Bernie just a 115 delegate edge in a state which is supposed to help him immensely, and could spell real trouble for him.