
Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
This January is already above average temperature for the first 9 days, so of course you'd have an edge on such a bet.
If you asked me to make the same bet on January 9, 2019, I would have been begging you to wager huge sums of money with me, because we had 9 straight days of well-below-average temperatures.
We can start the bet February 1st. Also maybe you didn’t understand me correctly. We are going to bet EVERY month. I say we lock in 2 years. So that is 24 $100 bets. Sound good?
Also, I have done zero work on this. I just know climate Change is real, It is hotter on average than it used to be, and I am massive +EV. And I suspect you know I am right and your position is BS, so you won’t take the bet.