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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #17901
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    Tonight its Miami -5.5 and Wizards over 229.5.

    3-0 yesterday in bowl pics.
    1-0 in NBA
    Instead of posting picks you should donate to you 2019 vegas trip fund.

  2. #17902
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    Tonight its Miami -5.5 and Wizards over 229.5.

    3-0 yesterday in bowl pics.
    1-0 in NBA
    Instead of posting picks you should donate to you 2019 colorado/miami trip fund.
    FYP. This is in March.

  3. #17903
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Canada -1.5 -130. Time to get back on the right foot

  4. #17904
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Orlando at Chicago - under 199.5

    Philadelphia at Phoenix - under 226.5

  5. #17905
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Orlando at Chicago - under 199.5

    Philadelphia at Phoenix - under 226.5
    One of these is not like the other ^^

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 516 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS/PHOENIX SUNS UNDER 226 -107 FOR GAME

    Don’t love it but Philly has been on the road longer than the Grateful Dead - are back to back also and prolly just want to go home. I don’t love it cause Phoenix has risen from the dumpster lately.

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 518 OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER/LOS ANGELES LAKERS UNDER 229 -108 FOR GAME

    Good defense meets the Lakers bench. Lakers suck on defense too now so again it’s just a bet not a love affair.

  6. #17906
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Need to take a break and will be following others for a bit.

  7. #17907
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    Sounds like you guys need to buy into the OSA Betting System. Hurry now, holiday pricing still available.

  8. #17908
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Daly, any thoughts on Alabama Clemson ?

    I took these a week ago. I really have no fundamental analysis to offer. I believe the public is going to bet the dog.

    I think we see 4.5 Would be really cool to see more.

    I don’t really have a plan but it felt like value.

    12/31/2018 12:30:36 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +195 FOR GAME

    12/31/2018 10:21:51 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    TABLET - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +6 -110 FOR GAME

    Let me know if you need help this wildcard weekend.

  9. #17909
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Daly, any thoughts on Alabama Clemson ?

    I took these a week ago. I really have no fundamental analysis to offer. I believe the public is going to bet the dog.

    I think we see 4.5 Would be really cool to see more.

    I don’t really have a plan but it felt like value.

    12/31/2018 12:30:36 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +195 FOR GAME

    12/31/2018 10:21:51 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    TABLET - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +6 -110 FOR GAME

    Let me know if you need help this wildcard weekend.
    daly is obviously the odds man, but ill add my 2 cents since I've watched an assload of CFB for DFS this year...

    think at +200 it's not that bad of a bet...you're telling me neutral site that CLEM doesn't win 1 outta 3? come on...what game did bama struggle in this year? UGA...what does UGA have? a great defense (#16 S&P+)...what does CLEM have? a great defense (#1 S&P+)...yes CLEM is missing a stud in Lawrence, but his backup is a stud too...their D line is elite...I like CLEM O better than UGA...their QB came outta HS as a once in a generation prospect and I've only seen him a few times this year, but for a true frosh to be that poised and throw that good of a ball, I don't see him getting rattled on a big stage...their WRs are better than UGA and Etienne is just as good as the swift/holyfield combo in the backfield...

    got a buddy who's a bama guy, he's worried...he told me if I was gonna bet it to take CLEM straight up...think he was a little worried that bama didn't roll OU, let off the gas a little...

    im confused...again I don't cap or anything, but I thought this line would be somewhere in the 3 range...I know vegas doesn't give gifts, that's why im terrified of this line...

  10. #17910
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Daly, any thoughts on Alabama Clemson ?

    I took these a week ago. I really have no fundamental analysis to offer. I believe the public is going to bet the dog.

    I think we see 4.5 Would be really cool to see more.

    I don’t really have a plan but it felt like value.

    12/31/2018 12:30:36 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +195 FOR GAME

    12/31/2018 10:21:51 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    TABLET - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +6 -110 FOR GAME

    Let me know if you need help this wildcard weekend.
    I got nothing.

    I think it’s priced just about right.

    The one bet I hate is Bama ML which probably means it’s the right play.

  11. #17911
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Warriors v Rockets entertaining game

    Queued off max point differential prop today of 18.5 to set up a middle. I bet their math


    19—-> 5

    MOBILE - HOUSTON ROCKETS AT GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS [BASKET PROPS] POINT SPREAD WARRIORS -5.0

    1/3/2019 11:55:11 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - HOUSTON ROCKETS AT GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS [BASKET PROPS] POINT SPREAD ROCKETS +19.0


    Rockets may steal this. Harden is going off... again

  12. #17912
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Rockets steal it from down at least 19.

    What I learn is Warriors may never cover a spread again. Of course I’m late to that party as they positively suck @ 16-22 ATS

    Another great 270 point game

  13. #17913
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Daly, any thoughts on Alabama Clemson ?

    I took these a week ago. I really have no fundamental analysis to offer. I believe the public is going to bet the dog.

    I think we see 4.5 Would be really cool to see more.

    I don’t really have a plan but it felt like value.

    12/31/2018 12:30:36 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +195 FOR GAME

    12/31/2018 10:21:51 AM
    DESCRIPTION:
    TABLET - FOOTBALL - NCAA - 151 CLEMSON +6 -110 FOR GAME

    Let me know if you need help this wildcard weekend.
    I got nothing.

    I think it’s priced just about right.

    The one bet I hate is Bama ML which probably means it’s the right play.
    what am I missing here? where do you think 6 points of edge comes from? only place I can see it coming from is BAMA D vs. CLEM O...

  14. #17914
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Just a heads up on the Eagles game and this pos officiating crew they assigned to it..

    Tony Corrente is the worst of the worst if you ask me if you are playing on the Road.

    This yr the home teams r 11- 3- 1 hes the idiot who fcked up the Minny/GB game calling all those roughing the passer calls which is weird cuz GB was home..

    Since 2006 the home teams this guy officiated never had a losing percentage. He also did the Eagles Dallas game this yr where they didnt give them the Fumble at the start of the game. He also robbed Philly vs the Seahawks last yr.

    Eagles r 2-8 life time on the road with this pos officiating.

    One yr the home teams won 81% of the games this crook officiated. There r a bunch of 75% and 76% mixed in over the past 12 yrs


    This guy def favs Home teams!! And doesn't like the Eagles.

    No reason the NFL should of picked this guy to officiate this game.

    Also another whack stat I've read since 1990 teams who have to play on the road the final game of the season then go on the Road again to open the Playoffs r 19-43
    Last edited by badguy23; 01-04-2019 at 10:30 AM.

  15. #17915
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Just a heads up on the Eagles game and this pos officiating crew they assigned to it..

    Tony Corrente is the worst of the worst if you ask me if you are playing on the Road.

    This yr the home teams r 11- 3- 1 hes the idiot who fcked up the Minny/GB game calling all those roughing the passer calls which is weird cuz GB was home..

    Since 2006 the home teams this guy officiated never had a losing percentage. He also did the Eagles Dallas game this yr where they didnt give them the Fumble at the start of the game. He also robbed Philly vs the Seahawks last yr.

    Eagles r 2-8 life time on the road with this pos officiating.

    One yr the home teams won 81% of the games this crook officiated. There r a bunch of 75% and 76% mixed in over the past 12 yrs

    This guy def favs Home teams!! And doesn't like the Eagles.

    No reason the NFL should of picked this guy to officiate this game.
    Buuutttttttt....... will the Bears cover the 6 points? I have a feeling this game is going to be complete domination by the Bears

  16. #17916
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    ANyone watch the GSW Hou game?

    The mighty have fallen. If they keep playing like that the West will be wide open.

  17. #17917
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I got nothing.

    I think it’s priced just about right.

    The one bet I hate is Bama ML which probably means it’s the right play.
    what am I missing here? where do you think 6 points of edge comes from? only place I can see it coming from is BAMA D vs. CLEM O...
    I get your point. I do. Clemson has been a juggernaught this year.

    This Bama team might be the best I’ve ever seen. I make em between a 4-6 point favorite.

  18. #17918
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    ANyone watch the GSW Hou game?

    The mighty have fallen. If they keep playing like that the West will be wide open.
    Yeah, I posted a live middle bet above and offered an observation about Warriors miserable record ATS. If you feel you are slipping Simpdog - failure to follow my wisdom would seem an obvious leak in your game.

    Druff spewed some nonsense about recent performance not being a huge factor when making picks. Here we have Harden scoring 400+ points in 10 games. He is unstoppable and unconscious. He hasn’t always played this way and won’t in the future but TODAY and tomorrow you must factor his recent performance. Go ahead and ignore Harden Druffster. Maybe you can afford it.

    My personal leak is not putting in the work daily. Work can be just reading news or looking at stuff like kenpom or odds shark. I miss the current issues or don’t respect shit like I should.

    Lakers were the ATS ATM earlier and Warriors are now. I probably missed the sweet spot but it ain’t over either.

  19. #17919
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    ANyone watch the GSW Hou game?

    The mighty have fallen. If they keep playing like that the West will be wide open.
    Yeah, I posted a live middle bet above and offered an observation about Warriors miserable record ATS. If you feel you are slipping Simpdog - failure to follow my wisdom would seem an obvious leak in your game.

    Druff spewed some nonsense about recent performance not being a huge factor when making picks. Here we have Harden scoring 400+ points in 10 games. He is unstoppable and unconscious. He hasn’t always played this way and won’t in the future but TODAY and tomorrow you must factor his recent performance. Go ahead and ignore Harden Druffster. Maybe you can afford it.

    My personal leak is not putting in the work daily. Work can be just reading news or looking at stuff like kenpom or odds shark. I miss the current issues or don’t respect shit like I should.

    Lakers were the ATS ATM earlier and Warriors are now. I probably missed the sweet spot but it ain’t over either.
    R u shitting me? I think u r one of the sharper posters on here.

    And if u think Druff is putting anytime into who he picks maybe u aint that sharp!!

    Guy misses the closer 9/10 bets. Puts his bets out 5 mins b4 they start.. Anyone saying 227 or 226 is fine in the NBA when they have a under is either a tout or a dumb mother fcker.

    Druffs neither and I love him but he's just throwing Darts.

    This post right here should get him on a 5-0 winning streak something we aint seen in over a yr.

     
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      Sanlmar: Thx but Simp is my boy and I’ll take free swings at Druff when I can

  20. #17920
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    Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (-2) | Over/Under: 43
    This meeting features two teams that generally get a lot of betting support so it’s not surprising that the bookmakers are expecting huge numbers.

    “This is another game with a very good two-way handle. We did take a bet for $20,000 bet on the Cowboys at -2,” Murray said. “We’ve seen some steady Seahawks money since then. This one should come down to the 4th quarter. This will be a very high-handle game between two high-profile teams in prime time. I see this as another tossup that could easily go either way.”

    A big bettor at CG Technology played the Seahawks a few times at +2.5, causing their line to budge to Dallas -2. And since then, a surprising pattern has emerged.

    “We’ve seen way more action on the Seahawks. Interestingly enough, the Seahawks are the public side. That’s a rare thing to say in a Dallas game in prime time,” Simbal said. “I was surprised how lopsided the betting is. We’re currently seeing two times as many bets on Seattle as Dallas here and they’re betting Seattle money line at +110.”

    The total has also drawn some sharp attention at CG, according to Simbal.

    “One more thing to add, the sharp money is getting bet heavy on the over of 43. We opened at 41.5 and they took it at that number and 42.5 without batting an eye. I would expect it to go up a tick or two before Saturday night.



    Never knew I was sharp money lol

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