*** OFFICIAL *** 2018 midterm election results thread

[Dan Druff]

You want to have a laugh... look at Nevada's reporting on governor thus far.

Micon's best friend Adam Laxalt is up 10 points, 52% to 42%, with 24% of precincts reporting.

So you'd think that Laxalt has it in the bag, right?

Well, you can get +1900 on Laxalt right now on PredictIt. Not joking.

Why is this not the best bet ever?

Because Clark County (Las Vegas area) has not reported yet. And that's where much of the population lies, and it leans Democratic.

Still might throw some $ on Laxalt in case he pulls it off.

[Dan Druff]

Ah, never mind. Clark County just came in. Now Laxalt is behind by 6.5 points.

73% precincts reporting.

All hail new governor Steve Sisolak.

[MrTickle]

Nice results. Dems did very well on % in house election (if not a huge majority by seats but we all know why that is). Disappointing on senate but much friendlier seats up for grabs in 2020 which can actually be flipped.

Looks like we got some motherfuckin checks and balances!

and fuck Florida

[Dan Druff]

Honestly neither side can claim victory in this election.

Democrats did well in the House, but they flubbed the Senate. To actually LOSE seats in a midterm supposedly essential to repudiate a controversial President is not exactly a loud statement of protest.

Furthermore, the gubernatorial races didn't go as well as hoped for the Democrats. Republicans took Georgia, South Dakota, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Arizona -- all states where Democrats believed they had a realistic chance of winning. Democrats did manage to take Kansas, New Mexico, Illinois, Nevada, and Michigan. But this wasn't the "mandate against Trump" they were hoping for. There was so much talk about flipping those other states, and they didn't come to pass.

Truthfully, there were few shocking victories. The "blue wave" didn't materialize, but Trump also wasn't able to hold onto the House, nor was he able to prevent a reliably red state like Kansas from electing a Democratic governor.

Both sides will trumpet victory, and both sides will be both right and wrong with their claims.

[FPS_Russia]

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[MrTickle]

Honestly neither side can claim victory in this election.

Democrats did well in the House, but they flubbed the Senate. To actually LOSE seats in a midterm supposedly essential to repudiate a controversial President is not exactly a loud statement of protest.

Furthermore, the gubernatorial races didn't go as well as hoped for the Democrats. Republicans took Georgia, South Dakota, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Arizona -- all states where Democrats believed they had a realistic chance of winning. Democrats did manage to take Kansas, New Mexico, Illinois, Nevada, and Michigan. But this wasn't the "mandate against Trump" they were hoping for. There was so much talk about flipping those other states, and they didn't come to pass.

Truthfully, there were few shocking victories. The "blue wave" didn't materialize, but Trump also wasn't able to hold onto the House, nor was he able to prevent a reliably red state like Kansas from electing a Democratic governor.

Both sides will trumpet victory, and both sides will be both right and wrong with their claims.

Pretty damn close to a wave. Dems won an INCREDIBLY gerrymandered house with biggest house midterm margin in years. By history, its a wave. 9.2% is way biggee than Republicans in 2010 (7%) or 2014 (6%). Also way bigger than dems in 06 (8%). And Dems never come out to vote in midterms! Indy voters voted Democrat for first time since Obama 08. In the only election where the whole country could vote, Dems won easily. Also a few shock results popping up around the country shows a wave is nigh. In Michigan, Ohio, Penn and Wisconsin, Dems won 7 out of 8 races. Trump won these states two years ago.

Liberal initiatives also did well on the ballot. ID, UT and NE expanded medicaid. And Amendment 4 in FL! Voting rights restored for 1 million people! 40% of all black men in Florida.

Definitely a good day for the blues

[FPS_Russia]

Idk I googled a couple guests.

Hamm $18.7 billion fracking, against the Iran deal, so oil is part of the picture

Seeking to dismiss quake scientists
See also: 2009–18 Oklahoma earthquake swarms § Governmental response
On May 15, 2015, Bloomberg reported that Hamm told Larry Grillot (the dean of the University of Oklahoma Mewbourne College of Earth and Energy) that he wanted certain earthquake researchers from the university dismissed.[24] The scientists were involved in studying connections between oil and gas activity and the increase in the earthquake activities in the state.

Joe Wertz, reporter for StateImpact,[a] wrote that further examination of Hamm's e-mail to Dean Grillot revealed yet another kind of threat:

Hamm also expressed an interest in joining a search committee charged with finding a new director for the geological survey," according to Grillot's e-mail. And, the dean wrote," Hamm indicated that he would be 'visiting with Governor [Mary] Fallin on the topic of moving the OGS out of the University of Oklahoma.'[25]

That's scary if the climate change outlook is true.


Graham is an evangelical holy roller, son of Billy Graham. That's all

[FPS_Russia]

Also iirc 4 of the 5 dems who voted against Kavinaugh lost which is bad news. or something like that

Forget all the crap about kavinaugh and the accusers.


Ralph Nader: Kavanaugh Is a Corporation Masquerading as a Judge

Repeatedly Kavanaugh’s judicial opinions put corporate interests ahead of the common good—backing the powerful against the weak, the vulnerable, and the defenseless.

Apart from his declared views pouring power and immunity into the Presidency (which is why Trump wants him), Kavanaugh could be the most corporate judge in modern American history.

Kavanaugh has repeatedly ruled against efforts to combat climate change and the regulation of greenhouse gases. He also repeatedly ruled against protections for clean air. He has repeatedly sided with the wealthy and the powerful over all Americans. He has fought consumer protections in the areas of automobile safety, financial services, and a free and open internet. Kavanaugh has also repeatedly ruled against workers, workplace protections and safety regulations.

Nut low

Then this
Kavanaugh is a corporate supremacist to a fanatic level of protecting corporate cruelty and greed. Giving him an unaccountable lifetime position on the Court will weaken our democracy and empower the corporate state.

What will he do when cases involve robots harming workers or consumers; corporate algorithms corkscrewing consumers; corporations turning the governments against their citizens; and corporate criminals being bailed out by taxpayers?

Fuck

[JohnCommode]

In Connecticut, Republican Bob Stefanowski ran a very strong race for governor in a blue state and as of 5AM is up by 4k votes. Unfortunately for him, by lunchtime on Wednesday he will probably be down by 20k. No votes have been reported from either Hartford or New Haven even though polls have been closed for 9 hours. The claim is that voters who waited in the rain dripped water on their ballots that forced them to be counted by hand. The strange thing is that this only happened in two heavily Democratic cities. This kind of seems like that old Mayor Daley of Chicago trick of holding off reporting the Chicago vote until he knew how many votes they needed to win a statewide election in Illinois.

[abrown83]

Honestly neither side can claim victory in this election.

Democrats did well in the House, but they flubbed the Senate. To actually LOSE seats in a midterm supposedly essential to repudiate a controversial President is not exactly a loud statement of protest.

Furthermore, the gubernatorial races didn't go as well as hoped for the Democrats. Republicans took Georgia, South Dakota, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Arizona -- all states where Democrats believed they had a realistic chance of winning. Democrats did manage to take Kansas, New Mexico, Illinois, Nevada, and Michigan. But this wasn't the "mandate against Trump" they were hoping for. There was so much talk about flipping those other states, and they didn't come to pass.

Truthfully, there were few shocking victories. The "blue wave" didn't materialize, but Trump also wasn't able to hold onto the House, nor was he able to prevent a reliably red state like Kansas from electing a Democratic governor.

Both sides will trumpet victory, and both sides will be both right and wrong with their claims.

Pretty damn close to a wave. Dems won an INCREDIBLY gerrymandered house with biggest house midterm margin in years. By history, its a wave. 9.2% is way biggee than Republicans in 2010 (7%) or 2014 (6%). Also way bigger than dems in 06 (8%). And Dems never come out to vote in midterms! Indy voters voted Democrat for first time since Obama 08. In the only election where the whole country could vote, Dems won easily. Also a few shock results popping up around the country shows a wave is nigh. In Michigan, Ohio, Penn and Wisconsin, Dems won 7 out of 8 races. Trump won these states two years ago.

Liberal initiatives also did well on the ballot. ID, UT and NE expanded medicaid. And Amendment 4 in FL! Voting rights restored for 1 million people! 40% of all black men in Florida.

Definitely a good day for the blues

Just so we are on the same page, Democrats were +7% last night. Then it’s more complicated then that in the fact that Texas had a huge Democrat surge.

Overall, I think Druff is right, some wins and losses last night for each party.

The key question is will Democrats go obstructionist and risk 2020 or will they try and work with Trump because the guy has no values and will go for about anything. Both strategies may hurt them, because working with Trump may risk the far Left vote.

[devidee]

Weed did well.


Also, every single election could be accurately predicted based on racial demographics alone.

[tony bagadonuts]

Trump is fucking toxic and should be impeached.

For what?

[BCR]

Honestly neither side can claim victory in this election.

Democrats did well in the House, but they flubbed the Senate. To actually LOSE seats in a midterm supposedly essential to repudiate a controversial President is not exactly a loud statement of protest.

Furthermore, the gubernatorial races didn't go as well as hoped for the Democrats. Republicans took Georgia, South Dakota, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Arizona -- all states where Democrats believed they had a realistic chance of winning. Democrats did manage to take Kansas, New Mexico, Illinois, Nevada, and Michigan. But this wasn't the "mandate against Trump" they were hoping for. There was so much talk about flipping those other states, and they didn't come to pass.

Truthfully, there were few shocking victories. The "blue wave" didn't materialize, but Trump also wasn't able to hold onto the House, nor was he able to prevent a reliably red state like Kansas from electing a Democratic governor.

Both sides will trumpet victory, and both sides will be both right and wrong with their claims.

Pretty damn close to a wave. Dems won an INCREDIBLY gerrymandered house with biggest house midterm margin in years. By history, its a wave. 9.2% is way biggee than Republicans in 2010 (7%) or 2014 (6%). Also way bigger than dems in 06 (8%). And Dems never come out to vote in midterms! Indy voters voted Democrat for first time since Obama 08. In the only election where the whole country could vote, Dems won easily. Also a few shock results popping up around the country shows a wave is nigh. In Michigan, Ohio, Penn and Wisconsin, Dems won 7 out of 8 races. Trump won these states two years ago.

Liberal initiatives also did well on the ballot. ID, UT and NE expanded medicaid. And Amendment 4 in FL! Voting rights restored for 1 million people! 40% of all black men in Florida.

Definitely a good day for the blues

You nailed it on Medicaid expansion winning big in some of the reddest places on the planet. For the first time, I can say with some comfort, Obamacare is never going anywhere. It’s become almost a 3rd rail. That’s personally huge for myself. Actually those numbers show universal healthcare is probably going to find a receptive audience at some point in time given Obamacare is that popular with a good economy. It was all death panels and nonsense and 65/35 the other way just 8 years ago.

One thing I didn’t notice in your post. Given the opportunity to vote out gerrymandering, the voters jumped at it. Ending gerrymandering is the most important step towards sanity. It’s already a clownish constitutional quirk that the Dakotas, Wyoming, and Idaho has as many senators as California, NY, Texas, and Florida. You get to a SC appointment picked by a president who didn’t win the popular vote, and then voted upon by senators from backwater states, then ramble on about the will of the people when 8 senators representing 2 million have as much power as 8 representing 120 million.

Getting rid of gerrymandering would at least bring a little sanity to that process. Everyone talks about a congress that works together and gerrymander shit in such a way that anyone that works with the other party is dead in the next primary. Getting redistricting as close to 50/50 as possible would make for sane candidates that dont need to appeal to the fringe elements of a party. As constructed, you’re inviting extremists.

[ErickAA]

Weed did well.


Also, every single election could be accurately predicted based on racial demographics alone.

In fairness, despite being a minority majority state the new California governor is white as white can be with a beautiful blonde wife and a bunch of beautiful little blonde kids. If Goebels was picking the ideal looking 3rd Reich family he couldn't do better.

[tony bagadonuts]

As much as I would have enjoyed watching a 2016ish meltdown by the left, and as much as I cringe at the leftward movement of the democratic party, frankly I've never been entirely comfortable with either party in full control.

With any luck being back in power in the house will hopefully bring the D's back towards to middle. D's out of power get pretty wacky.

Gov't gridlock is highly underrated IMO.

[tony bagadonuts]

Honestly neither side can claim victory in this election.

Democrats did well in the House, but they flubbed the Senate. To actually LOSE seats in a midterm supposedly essential to repudiate a controversial President is not exactly a loud statement of protest.

Furthermore, the gubernatorial races didn't go as well as hoped for the Democrats. Republicans took Georgia, South Dakota, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Arizona -- all states where Democrats believed they had a realistic chance of winning. Democrats did manage to take Kansas, New Mexico, Illinois, Nevada, and Michigan. But this wasn't the "mandate against Trump" they were hoping for. There was so much talk about flipping those other states, and they didn't come to pass.

Truthfully, there were few shocking victories. The "blue wave" didn't materialize, but Trump also wasn't able to hold onto the House, nor was he able to prevent a reliably red state like Kansas from electing a Democratic governor.

Both sides will trumpet victory, and both sides will be both right and wrong with their claims.

Pretty damn close to a wave. Dems won an INCREDIBLY gerrymandered house with biggest house midterm margin in years. By history, its a wave. 9.2% is way biggee than Republicans in 2010 (7%) or 2014 (6%). Also way bigger than dems in 06 (8%). And Dems never come out to vote in midterms! Indy voters voted Democrat for first time since Obama 08. In the only election where the whole country could vote, Dems won easily. Also a few shock results popping up around the country shows a wave is nigh. In Michigan, Ohio, Penn and Wisconsin, Dems won 7 out of 8 races. Trump won these states two years ago.

Liberal initiatives also did well on the ballot. ID, UT and NE expanded medicaid. And Amendment 4 in FL! Voting rights restored for 1 million people! 40% of all black men in Florida.

Definitely a good day for the blues

More of a ripple than a wave, but a good day for everyone frankly. Bringing balance to congress while strengthening the R's majority in the senate is a win-win.

Consider the following: House/Senate flips in first midterm election: Clinton -52/-8, Obama -63/-6, Trump -34/+3.

History tells us that the president’s party almost always loses House seats, which has happened in 35 out of the 38 midterm elections (92 percent) since the end of the Civil War.

[sonatine]

]
History tells us that the president’s party almost always loses House seats, which has happened in 35 out of the 38 midterm elections (92 percent) since the end of the Civil War.

this. watching dems ass-pat each other over this is like watching someone take a victory lap over a C- final exam.

[sonatine]

he also seemed to trip over his own dick constantly and endorse shit that would guaranteed to give swingable republicans pause. per that politico article mentioned earlier, for literally no fucking good reason he casually signed off on impeaching trump, which like 80% of the regret-trumpers believe would be awful for america.

all these numbers tell me is that a centerist left wing candidate is going to absolutely mug the new gilead crowd in about 18 months.

interesting comment..i was wondering if any side would try this and have success with it...I was always hopeful that I would see some centrist candidates run for president (or as a rep/senator)...I thought that we were in the downward spiral that would keep seeing us get dogshit that was as left or as right as humanly possible...

I literally don't follow politics at all because it is absolute and total fucking AIDS and cringeworthy AIDS at that on both sides...I do wonder if I read all the bios of the 530+ reps/senators that I would trust like 5% to clean up my dog's shit, let alone do something productive to run the country...I mean when im watching bob hugin commercials that are like 'bob menedez went to the Caribbean to fuck underage prostitutes', I don't give a shit...what the fuck are you going to do if you're elected to make NJ and the country better...

booker/beato would be a hell of a ticket.

[devidee]

Midterm Election, Most House Seats Lost by President's Party in Power

2010 Obama: -63
1994 Clinton: -52
1958: Eisenhower: -48
1974 Ford (Nixon): -48
1966 Johnson: -47
1946 Truman: -45
2006 Bush: -30
1950 Truman: -29
1982 Reagan: -26
2018 Trump: -26

*NY Times data since 1946

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

interesting comment..i was wondering if any side would try this and have success with it...I was always hopeful that I would see some centrist candidates run for president (or as a rep/senator)...I thought that we were in the downward spiral that would keep seeing us get dogshit that was as left or as right as humanly possible...

I literally don't follow politics at all because it is absolute and total fucking AIDS and cringeworthy AIDS at that on both sides...I do wonder if I read all the bios of the 530+ reps/senators that I would trust like 5% to clean up my dog's shit, let alone do something productive to run the country...I mean when im watching bob hugin commercials that are like 'bob menedez went to the Caribbean to fuck underage prostitutes', I don't give a shit...what the fuck are you going to do if you're elected to make NJ and the country better...

booker/beato would be a hell of a ticket.

I honestly think I could give you 500:1 on that being the ticket in 2020 for whatever you wanted to bet and I don't think i'd lose sleep over being attached to losing a shitton of money because I just don't think the powers that be on either side are anywhere close to being smart enough to realizing that a ticket like that would smash...maybe im wrong and vastly overestimating the number of centrists on both sides who are sick of this shit...honestly the loons on the fringe of both sides are never gonna vote for the other side, so why both parties continue to cater to those fringes just utterly baffles me...it's like a coach that goes out there and tries like hell to lose a game...