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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15521
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Oy vey...

    Boston under was blown out by the 4th inning.

    Toronto up 5-0 on Minnesota.

    Detroit under is 0-0 in the 9th.... and that's the one Daly chose to oppose in his chalk pick.



    Embarrassing day for PFA all around.

  2. #15522
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, but I do like this late pick.

    San Diego (Lauer) +149 at San Francisco (Samardzija)

    Lauer got BOMBED in his ML debut.... but it was at Coors Field.

    He actually has good minor league numbers, and is considered to have decent upside.

    Samardzija sucks. He's had one good start, one bad start, but overall is pretty much crap.

    SF is also a little banged up and has a career reserve and minor leaguer in the 7-8 spots tonight.

  3. #15523
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    When your under 8.5 game tied 0-0 in the 9th is in moderate danger of losing...


  4. #15524
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Twins actually had a chance.

    They forged back to 6-5. They entered the 9th down 7-5, but had 2nd and 3rd with 2 out, before a flyout ended it.

    Go Padres (who are down 3-1).

  5. #15525
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Looked over NBA series today.

    Mostly a LeBron hate bet
    TABLET - BASKETBALL - NBA SERIES - 824 RAPTORS SERIES PRICES -196 FOR GAME

    Celtics appeared to win comfortably tonight. I didn’t watch.

    I thought long and hard about them. They were +440 this afternoon and I ultimately took a pass. It was an interesting price

    Having made that decision, I then decided to skip Celts +4 at home. I just couldn’t fathom the matchups. Horford especially on defense.

    I rarely look back on a bet not made but this got me. I was close.

    Brad Stevens. The amazement just doesn’t quit.

  6. #15526
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugh.

    Padres up 5-3 in the 9th, get two outs with one runner on, and now Brad Hand is melting down.

    Now 5-4 with runners on 1st and 3rd.

    Edit: Now bases loaded.

    If they don't get Hand out, they are going to lose this game. But they're not going to because managers hate hooking their closers.

    I hate sitting here helpless watching this happen.

  7. #15527
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Praying for the out too

    SAN DIEGO PADRES AT SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS [BATTER PROPS] RUN LINE GIANTS +1.5

    Edit
    Sorry man

  8. #15528
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yup... knew it.

    Brad Hand gives up a single to Nick Hundley, 2 runs come home, game over.

    Just fucking brutal lately. Big swing for me on a +149 bet, too.

    Nothing like having a 2-run lead with 2 outs in the 9th with a guy on first, and losing without even going to extras.

    9th inning has been awful for me this year. When I have a chance to come back, I lose. When I have a chance to lose, I usually lose.


  9. #15529
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The 1 game I did win today was 0-0 in the 9th, under 8.5.

    Even there I had to fade a walkoff HR which would have beat me. I faded it, but can you imagine ever having to sweat an under 8.5 when it's 0-0 in the 9th?

  10. #15530
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    You can always fade Kershaw for that bankroll booster tomorrow

  11. #15531
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Lot of

    Name:  IMG_4505.JPG
Views: 398
Size:  26.1 KB

    Tonight

  12. #15532
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Lot of

    Name:  IMG_4505.JPG
Views: 398
Size:  26.1 KB

    Tonight
    These will bury u in the long run.

    What happened to the props?

  13. #15533
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Newcomb for Atlanta will be a household name in 2 yrs Max as a elite pitcher. Oh I almost forgot hes a Lefty and +160 Tonight.

    Take Atl or Under

  14. #15534
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Newcomb for Atlanta will be a household name in 2 yrs Max as a elite pitcher. Oh I almost forgot hes a Lefty and +160 Tonight.

    Take Atl or Under
    Newcomb was pushed back to Wednesday. Mike Soroka is making his MLB debut tonight instead. He's likely even more talented than Newcomb but is making his MLB debut against Thor on the road though so bet at your own risk.

    Interestingly enough with Soroka's promotion the Braves now have the 3 youngest players in MLB with Acuna, Soroka, and Albies.

  15. #15535
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I wish we could move Miami to a different division. I'm fairly confident they are going to be picking #1 next year but 4 games vs the Jets/Bills who are already in rebuild is scary.
    I'd almost take the under on all 3 of those teams, figuring two will hit. I think those are 3 of the 5 worst teams right now.

    I'm all-in on the Browns over.
    Last edited by gut; 05-01-2018 at 12:53 PM.

  16. #15536
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Tonight:

    at Washington -1.5 (Scherzer) -110 vs. Pittsburgh (Kuhl)
    Atlanta (Soroka) +167 at Mets (Syndergaard)
    Dodgers (Kershaw) at Arizona (Koch) - Under 7.5

  17. #15537
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    More:

    Toronto (M. Estrada) at Minnesota (Gibson) - Under 9 -120
    Philadelphia (Eflin) at Miami (Jarlin Garcia) - Under 8.5 +100

  18. #15538
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Lot of

    Name:  IMG_4505.JPG
Views: 398
Size:  26.1 KB

    Tonight
    These will bury u in the long run.

    What happened to the props?
    Chalk parlays are for Saturday and Sunday afternoon entertainment only. I was simply making an observation that there is a lot of chalk on the board tonight.

    Not much going on in Prop land right now. I've had the occasional K's prop butsince BOL entered the marketplace lines have improved.

    I've been doing ok with "total bases" props treating it as an extension of my chalk parlay formula.

  19. #15539
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    The ML swings on the Dodgers today are breathtaking

    220–>170–>205

    I’ve been doing naughty and very un-chalky things.

  20. #15540
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Despite my epic struggles over the past week (a mixture of some bad picks and some really bad luck), today is looking good... so far.

    But things can change quickly.

    Atlanta has pounded out 13 hits... but has only 3 runs, all scored in the first. And somehow injured Cespedes cracked a solo HR, so the Braves only lead 3-1 in what should be a blowout. I really need this one, given that it's +167. Entering top of the 8th.

    Washington -1.5 is a huge blowout and will cover for sure.

    Philly/Miami under is 1-1 in the 8th, and barring some late-inning ridiculousness (which sadly I've been plagued by in this season's first month), that should cover.

    Min/Tor under is 2-0 in the 4th, so that's ahead of pace, though can clearly go either way.

    If everything can hold, that will be 4-0, with the Dodgers about to start.

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