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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15341
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Starting to think "my" Red Sox might be decent this year.
    Did you win the Indians over?

  2. #15342
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Starting to think "my" Red Sox might be decent this year.
    It’s the last shot with Duquettes and Epstein’s draft class. Before free agency scatters Mookie & company to the winds

    They finally pulled their head out of their ass in the nick of time.

    I love this new manager, Cora from Astros. Zero bullshit. His press conferences and interviews are refreshing after Farrell

    Aggressive approach with new analytics.

    When Joe Kelly drilled the spikes up base runner and said, “you want some?” I knew then I was a goner and would fall in love

    Remember last year? Pedroia saying after a batter was drilled by a Red Sox pitcher “it’s not me”. Pedroia hated Farrell and the organization. They were doomed to fail & did.

    It’s okay to like Sawks now.

  3. #15343
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Mlb Plays for Thursday 4-19-18

    Today is BOMBER day :


    Detroit Tigers +108 for 1 unit

    Toronto Blue Jays +140 for 2 units

    Miami Marlins +185 for 2 units


    Good Luck
    Gookie
    Good luck. Gonna parlay all 3 round robin & on the alternative -1.5 line.

  4. #15344
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sooo... this is awkward.

    I accidentally posted the SF +141 bet in the wrong thread: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post760359

    I also posted an hour before game time on vegascasinotalk, where I mirror these picks: https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...ll=1#post63769

    And then there's the fact that I actually bet the game.

    However, since I posted it on vegascasinotalk, and since I posted it here but in the wrong thread, I'm counting it. Especially since I keep my records for here and vegascasinotalk parallel, and always count PFA-posted picks that I forgot to duplicate over there, whether win or lose.

    And if you don't like it, fuck you.

    I did actually post three other picks in this thread, two of which won.

    4/18 recap

    Tampa (Faria) +110 vs. Texas (Hamels) - WON +1.110
    Tampa/Texas - Under 7.5 +103 - WON +1.030
    Washington (Roark) at NY Mets (Matz) - Under 8 -120 - LOST -1.000
    San Francisco (Stratton) +141 at Arizona (Ray) posted here in wrong thread -- but also posted on vegascasinotalk, due to site glitch - WON +1.410

    Total on 4/18:
    3-1, +2.550

    Overall record:
    SEASON TOTAL: 19-11-2, +8.163 UNITS

    Overs 0-1
    Unders 12-4-2
    Sides 7-6

  5. #15345
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Starting to think "my" Red Sox might be decent this year.
    Did you win the Indians over?
    I can't remember the last time there was a 0-0 tie after 9

  6. #15346
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post

    Did you win the Indians over?
    I can't remember the last time there was a 0-0 tie after 9



    OOOOOOUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHH

     
    Comments
      
      Daly: Lol - you realize I posted this in the top of the 10th I hope

  7. #15347
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Sooo... this is awkward.

    I accidentally posted the SF +141 bet in the wrong thread: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post760359

    I also posted an hour before game time on vegascasinotalk, where I mirror these picks: https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...ll=1#post63769

    And then there's the fact that I actually bet the game.

    However, since I posted it on vegascasinotalk, and since I posted it here but in the wrong thread, I'm counting it. Especially since I keep my records for here and vegascasinotalk parallel, and always count PFA-posted picks that I forgot to duplicate over there, whether win or lose.

    And if you don't like it, fuck you.

    I did actually post three other picks in this thread, two of which won.

    4/18 recap

    Tampa (Faria) +110 vs. Texas (Hamels) - WON +1.110
    Tampa/Texas - Under 7.5 +103 - WON +1.030
    Washington (Roark) at NY Mets (Matz) - Under 8 -120 - LOST -1.000
    San Francisco (Stratton) +141 at Arizona (Ray) posted here in wrong thread -- but also posted on vegascasinotalk, due to site glitch - WON +1.410

    Total on 4/18:
    3-1, +2.550

    Overall record:
    SEASON TOTAL: 19-11-2, +8.163 UNITS

    Overs 0-1
    Unders 12-4-2
    Sides 7-6
    Druff you're up +8.163 units. Have you thought about shutting it down for the year yet?

  8. #15348
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Sooo... this is awkward.

    I accidentally posted the SF +141 bet in the wrong thread: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post760359

    I also posted an hour before game time on vegascasinotalk, where I mirror these picks: https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...ll=1#post63769

    And then there's the fact that I actually bet the game.

    However, since I posted it on vegascasinotalk, and since I posted it here but in the wrong thread, I'm counting it. Especially since I keep my records for here and vegascasinotalk parallel, and always count PFA-posted picks that I forgot to duplicate over there, whether win or lose.

    And if you don't like it, fuck you.

    I did actually post three other picks in this thread, two of which won.

    4/18 recap

    Tampa (Faria) +110 vs. Texas (Hamels) - WON +1.110
    Tampa/Texas - Under 7.5 +103 - WON +1.030
    Washington (Roark) at NY Mets (Matz) - Under 8 -120 - LOST -1.000
    San Francisco (Stratton) +141 at Arizona (Ray) posted here in wrong thread -- but also posted on vegascasinotalk, due to site glitch - WON +1.410

    Total on 4/18:
    3-1, +2.550

    Overall record:
    SEASON TOTAL: 19-11-2, +8.163 UNITS

    Overs 0-1
    Unders 12-4-2
    Sides 7-6
    Druff you're up +8.163 units. Have you thought about shutting it down for the year yet?
    In all seriousness, if we get to like early June and I start to go into the toilet, I might really shut it down, especially if my losses are the result of a lot of bad picks, rather than just bad late inning managing or unexpected bullpen blowups in the 8th/9th.

  9. #15349
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Can only find one baseball play I like at the moment:

    Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) at NY Yankees (Sabathia) - Under 9 -113


    On a side note, Betonline is somewhat shitting the bed again, where it doesn't let me log in, or it keeps logging me out once I'm logged in. This was happening during their DDoS problems, so maybe they're getting hit again.

    I find that tablet.betonline.ag is a working alternative, but I hate that interface.

  10. #15350
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Mlb Plays for Thursday 4-19-18

    Today is BOMBER day :


    Detroit Tigers +108 for 1 unit

    Toronto Blue Jays +140 for 2 units

    Miami Marlins +185 for 2 units


    Good Luck
    Gookie
    Good luck. Gonna parlay all 3 round robin & on the alternative -1.5 line.


    Tigers shoot the moon 13-8 win over a very lost Orioles team. One down two Bombers to go.

  11. #15351
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    Bored and wide awake, I’ll send pp to DD straight away , your bet to my $100 could do 2 50’s.Someone trusted who won’t post a joke line , cos I probably won’t check. 30-40 mins it’s open for. Edit it’s still open and will send to a trusted contributor .
    Last edited by YUUP; 04-19-2018 at 04:10 PM.
    cmoney :It would be nice if Mexico could simply get human feces out of its drinking water

  12. #15352
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sabathia looks bad today.

    Defense has been crap too.

    Needs to turn around or be lifted or my under is toast.

  13. #15353
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    How does Golden State not cover? The first two games have been blow outs. Pop won't be at the game. I honestly don't see the "win one for Pop" overtaking the extreme skill disparity in this one.

    GS -3.5 pretty big bet for me
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  14. #15354
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    How does Golden State not cover? The first two games have been blow outs. Pop won't be at the game. I honestly don't see the "win one for Pop" overtaking the extreme skill disparity in this one.

    GS -3.5 pretty big bet for me
    I have mixed feelings about this game, and am not touching it.

    With that said, this has Trapper John MD written all over it. Curiously low line for the favorite. Public hammering the favorite. Line moving in the opposite direction than you'd expect.

    In general I don't like betting NBA playoffs because there's too much visibility, action, and attention, and it becomes damn hard to beat the lines.

  15. #15355
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Late game:

    Boston (E. Rodriguez) at Angels (Tropeano) - Under 8.5 -115

  16. #15356
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Boy this Yankees under is tough.

    Just when I think I'm gold when it's 4-2 in the 8th, Toronto loads the bases with 1 out, scores, and it's 4-3 still bases loaded.

    Then Grichuk (super bad since joining Blue Jays) K'd.

    Now they need to get one more to wiggle out.

  17. #15357
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Boy this Yankees under is tough.

    Just when I think I'm gold when it's 4-2 in the 8th, Toronto loads the bases with 1 out, scores, and it's 4-3 still bases loaded.

    Then Grichuk (super bad since joining Blue Jays) K'd.

    Now they need to get one more to wiggle out.
    Loaded the bases with no outs.

  18. #15358
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Boy this Yankees under is tough.

    Just when I think I'm gold when it's 4-2 in the 8th, Toronto loads the bases with 1 out, scores, and it's 4-3 still bases loaded.

    Then Grichuk (super bad since joining Blue Jays) K'd.

    Now they need to get one more to wiggle out.
    Loaded the bases with no outs.

    This has been a very ugly game Jays have had many chances . Loading the bases with 0 outs and only getting 1 run is unacceptable .

  19. #15359
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yeah it was no outs. Forgot that the first strikeout happened with the bases already loaded.

    This whole pick has had the marginal feel to it. I've had very few outright bad under picks (where they just get blown out of the water early). I've had a few close ones lose in late innings, and other close ones hold on to win in late innings. Those I deem "mediocre" picks -- ones where I win or lose due to luck, not really due to the pick being particularly good or bad. That's where I place this one. I've also had a number of very good unders (which seem to be headed to cover the entire way).

    These are the type I'm not particularly proud to win, but I'll take 'em if they hold.

    It's a much better feeling when I pick an under 8 and the game finishes 1-0, and it feels like the win was mostly due to skill. Kinda like all those early-season NBA unders where I was routinely covering by 20-30 points. When the middle and later season came and my winners were barely pulling it out by a few points, I knew things were different. Not only was I losing a lot more, but my winners were rarely convincing.

    As I've said, the handicapper's skill is more defined by how he wins rather than if he wins.

    Right now, if you examine my baseball picks (especially the unders), you'll see that I'm almost never getting blown out. That's a good sign.

  20. #15360
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Chapman just came in and absolutely obliterated the Blue Jays, striking out the side and reaching 101 MPH.

    And another under covers.




    Now we need an Angels/Boston pitchers duel.

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