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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14941
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Ok. Look at how close OKC and Toronto games were until last quarter. I loaded up live betting and bam suddenly the tankers tank last quarter and the favorites close it out. If cavs suns are close and cavs aren’t sitting any stars I am loading up on cavs q3.
    What odds did you get on Raptors/OKC?

  2. #14942
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Ok. Look at how close OKC and Toronto games were until last quarter. I loaded up live betting and bam suddenly the tankers tank last quarter and the favorites close it out. If cavs suns are close and cavs aren’t sitting any stars I am loading up on cavs q3.
    What odds did you get on Raptors/OKC?
    -380 for OKC and -330 for raptors. Was too chicken to take points so not sure what they were then but pretty sure would have covered.

  3. #14943
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    UNC-Asheville +1000

    Game starts at 8 Pacific. No better example of a team that doesn't want to be there. Coach already announced he's not going to play their player that leads the team in points/rebounds because no point to have a chance he's injured.. The line has obv already adjusted for that because Asheville is garbage but what's to prevent the coach from deciding he's not going to play other star players. He probably won't because the university probably has given him grief for this announcement since they get paid for each home game... but I don't know if the school doesn't care why would he decide one players future pro career is more important than anothers?

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Great Pick Rep
      
      varys: Legooooo
      
      Daly: Great pick buddy - so fucking close

  4. #14944
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Cleveland got away too early.

  5. #14945
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    UNC-Asheville +1000

    Game starts at 8 Pacific. No better example of a team that doesn't want to be there. Coach already announced he's not going to play their player that leads the team in points/rebounds because no point to have a chance he's injured.. The line has obv already adjusted for that because Asheville is garbage but what's to prevent the coach from deciding he's not going to play other star players. He probably won't because the university probably has given him grief for this announcement since they get paid for each home game... but I don't know if the school doesn't care why would he decide one players future pro career is more important than anothers?
    great pick man...down 1 with 10 to go as a 10:1 dog, ill fucking take it...

  6. #14946
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    You guys got to dip into my life for a minute there. Sick day that was almost ridiculous.



    Overnight

    UL Lafayette +4.5
    LSU/UL Lafayette over 161
    UC Davis +12.5
    Boise State/Washington under 148.5
    moneyline both when available

    No more picks after this until Alexa Miednik is on the news.
    Last edited by Brittney Griner's Clit; 03-14-2018 at 01:00 AM.

  7. #14947
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    You all are far better at this + I am blinded by my Lakerfandumbness, but this is the Warriors Injury Listing for tonight's game:

    03/13/18 Stephen Curry - Out
    03/13/18 Draymond Green - Out
    03/13/18 Patrick McCaw - Out
    03/13/18 David West - Out
    03/12/18 Jordan Bell - Game Time Decision
    03/12/18 Andre Iguodala - Game Time Decision
    03/11/18 Klay Thompson - Game Time Decision
    03/11/18 Nick Young - Game Time Decision

    And yet the Warriors are -7.5?

  8. #14948
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So it seems like anti-tank picks really are the way to go.

    While it took some 4th quarter heroics, tankers Atlanta and Brooklyn failed to cover. Orlando and Phoenix failed to cover by a wide margin.

    The only tanker to cover was Chicago, and they barely did so.

    Funny thing was that last night I considered doing an entire slate of anti-tanker picks (those 4 above) minus Chicago (since the Clippers aren't very good, and were on the road), and also considered the Denver/Lakers under. I posted about all of this, if you scroll back.

    Instead I just went with the Knicks +1, who decided to fall apart in the 2nd half and lose by 13.

    The tanking is so bad that even Ken Scalir told me on the phone last night that he's aware of it. And Ken hates sports.

    It might be wise to just blind-fire the spread against the true tanking teams the rest of the way, and I think that will end up +EV (just has to win 52.38% of the time).

    That seems to be the proper late season strategy. Over/unders have gotten very tough to handicap at this stage of the season.

  9. #14949
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    You all are far better at this + I am blinded by my Lakerfandumbness, but this is the Warriors Injury Listing for tonight's game:

    03/13/18 Stephen Curry - Out
    03/13/18 Draymond Green - Out
    03/13/18 Patrick McCaw - Out
    03/13/18 David West - Out
    03/12/18 Jordan Bell - Game Time Decision
    03/12/18 Andre Iguodala - Game Time Decision
    03/11/18 Klay Thompson - Game Time Decision
    03/11/18 Nick Young - Game Time Decision

    And yet the Warriors are -7.5?
    looks like clay has a fractured thumb, so he will be out for sure. I fired on Lakers, seems a good spot.

    I am also going to live bet fire on Heat and Bucks if no major starters out and the games are close in Q3.

  10. #14950
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Milwaukee -10.5

    Orlando is a complete disaster, and Gordon is out with a concussion.

  11. #14951
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Boy I run bad.

    The first game I bet on the favorite in the tanking portion of the season, and Orlando has decided to show up and play.

    Still early, but what a bad start... 36-20, and Orlando on a 27-7 run.

  12. #14952
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Celtics v Wizards at 8 EST

    All five starters for Celtics are out... and the Wizards are only favored 4 - 4.5

    If any team plays down to their competition it’s the Wizards and Brad Stevens is god

    Being a BOL customer I can’t play but what an interesting spot. I need to straighten this situation out.

  13. #14953
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    21-6 Celtics. The live betting world is now your oyster

    What a shame. Thx Brent Beckley

  14. #14954
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Magic chunked off the entire lead in the first half of the 3rd, and fell behind by 3.

    Just as I thought my pick had a decent chance, they ran off 10 straight points, and now lead by 7 again.

    I still believe in the anti-tank strategy going forward, but this wasn't a good start.

  15. #14955
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    You all are far better at this + I am blinded by my Lakerfandumbness, but this is the Warriors Injury Listing for tonight's game:

    03/13/18 Stephen Curry - Out
    03/13/18 Draymond Green - Out
    03/13/18 Patrick McCaw - Out
    03/13/18 David West - Out
    03/12/18 Jordan Bell - Game Time Decision
    03/12/18 Andre Iguodala - Game Time Decision
    03/11/18 Klay Thompson - Game Time Decision
    03/11/18 Nick Young - Game Time Decision

    And yet the Warriors are -7.5?
    looks like clay has a fractured thumb, so he will be out for sure. I fired on Lakers, seems a good spot.

    I am also going to live bet fire on Heat and Bucks if no major starters out and the games are close in Q3.
    I have been eyeing it. But not close enough. Bucks may pull it out but not showing enough to pile on. Will eye the heat game.

  16. #14956
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Magic chunked off the entire lead in the first half of the 3rd, and fell behind by 3.

    Just as I thought my pick had a decent chance, they ran off 10 straight points, and now lead by 7 again.

    I still believe in the anti-tank strategy going forward, but this wasn't a good start.
    I just tuned in. They up by 11. Don’t think bucks can even win let alone cover anything.

  17. #14957
    Diamond PLOL's Avatar
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    My first round NCAA stone cold "Steve Austin" lock picks (not really but it's what I'm taking:
    Houston -4
    Kentucky -5
    FSU -1.5
    New Mexico State +4.5

    Also like, but not personally betting due to bracket reasons,
    Loyola +1.5
    Texas +1

     
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      DirtyErnie: loyola

  18. #14958
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Watched the Golden State situation today... yes, they're missing Curry, Thompson, and Draymond, but Lakers are missing Kuzma (and Ingram). Bell and Iguodala likely to play.

    Lakers playing on the road, and played last night (Golden State didn't).

    Decided to stay away from the spread, but will take the under.

    Golden State under 223.5

     
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      Daly: Close shave

  19. #14959
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    21-6 Celtics. The live betting world is now your oyster

    What a shame. Thx Brent Beckley
    What a great fucking game. I’m on Wash +140 ML mid 1st qtr. Now headed to double OT

    Fucking Celtics fans streaming for the exits down 2 with :11 seconds left in first OT. Dumbasses
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  20. #14960
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    The 12 early NCAAB games are 10-1-1 to the under

     
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      DirtyErnie: been on this, easy money

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