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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14301
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by abrown83 View Post

    So you are betting two road teams (one who is traveling from Atlanta to Toronto on a back to back) and against the Warriors?

    #Faded

    AB the guy is hot!! Ill cool him off in the Clipper game no worries.

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    I TOOK THE POINTS
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  2. #14302
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  3. #14303
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    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  4. #14304
    Platinum herbertstemple's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Charlotte shit the bed but the under hit.

    1-1 day

    Now 137-103-3
    If you put a frog in a pot of hot water he will jump out.

    If you put a frog in a pot and gradually turn up the heat he will stay in.
    Ever tried this? You put a frog in a pot & it will freak out on you. He will jump, shit, piss, do it all. Frogs are not calm & reasonable animals. Get a big pot & a lid is your only hope.

    Should have jumped on the Washington game tonight. Didn't have the balls.

  5. #14305
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23
    Buying hooks in parlays is not bad. I thought u were a gambler?


    He bought 2 points, not hooks.

    Second, he's buying these points in NBA, not NFL. Buying football points can be smart at times. In basketball, that's not the case.

    He took his parlay payout from 6-to-1 to 3.63-to-1, which is awful.

    If you're going to bet parlays in the NBA, you need to grow some balls and just do them as-is. Otherwise you're hurting your payout too much to where you'll never beat them, even if you get lucky.

    His parlay with Hawks/Pacers tomorrow is much better, as it is paying true odds (3.2-to-1).

  6. #14306
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    FADE ME BITCH




    Obviously I'm not good with money

    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  7. #14307
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    2-1 day yesterday.

    All 3 picks were posted at kind of the last minute.

    I was unsure about the Utah pick, but that was a blowout winner outright the entire way. Thanks to those of you who bet it before I posted it, which pushed me over the top to make it.

    Now I'm 139-104-3.

  8. #14308
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23
    Buying hooks in parlays is not bad. I thought u were a gambler?


    He bought 2 points, not hooks.

    Second, he's buying these points in NBA, not NFL. Buying football points can be smart at times. In basketball, that's not the case.

    He took his parlay payout from 6-to-1 to 3.63-to-1, which is awful.

    If you're going to bet parlays in the NBA, you need to grow some balls and just do them as-is. Otherwise you're hurting your payout too much to where you'll never beat them, even if you get lucky.

    His parlay with Hawks/Pacers tomorrow is much better, as it is paying true odds (3.2-to-1).
    I am skeptical of this. The books know when buying half a point matters and increase the price accordingly. For example, if you want to go from -2.5 to -3 you pay -120 instead of -105.

    I doubt buying points in NFL is ever +EV.

  9. #14309
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post



    He bought 2 points, not hooks.

    Second, he's buying these points in NBA, not NFL. Buying football points can be smart at times. In basketball, that's not the case.

    He took his parlay payout from 6-to-1 to 3.63-to-1, which is awful.

    If you're going to bet parlays in the NBA, you need to grow some balls and just do them as-is. Otherwise you're hurting your payout too much to where you'll never beat them, even if you get lucky.

    His parlay with Hawks/Pacers tomorrow is much better, as it is paying true odds (3.2-to-1).
    I am skeptical of this. The books know when buying half a point matters and increase the price accordingly. For example, if you want to go from -2.5 to -3 you pay -120 instead of -105.

    I doubt buying points in NFL is ever +EV.
    Sports betting isn't beatable. You can't solve it. Why you guys keep bantering about +ev spots is frankly hilarious and absurd. Books don't sell EV
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  10. #14310
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post



    He bought 2 points, not hooks.

    Second, he's buying these points in NBA, not NFL. Buying football points can be smart at times. In basketball, that's not the case.

    He took his parlay payout from 6-to-1 to 3.63-to-1, which is awful.

    If you're going to bet parlays in the NBA, you need to grow some balls and just do them as-is. Otherwise you're hurting your payout too much to where you'll never beat them, even if you get lucky.

    His parlay with Hawks/Pacers tomorrow is much better, as it is paying true odds (3.2-to-1).
    I am skeptical of this. The books know when buying half a point matters and increase the price accordingly. For example, if you want to go from -2.5 to -3 you pay -120 instead of -105.

    I doubt buying points in NFL is ever +EV.
    I'm not an NFL parlay bettor so you may be correct.

    I was mainly stating that buying points on NBA parlays is a


  11. #14311
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post

    I am skeptical of this. The books know when buying half a point matters and increase the price accordingly. For example, if you want to go from -2.5 to -3 you pay -120 instead of -105.

    I doubt buying points in NFL is ever +EV.
    Sports betting isn't beatable. You can't solve it. Why you guys keep bantering about +ev spots is frankly hilarious and absurd. Books don't sell EV
    I don't talk about +EV spots, I talk about recognizing less -EV spots. I think for many of us the point is to get our rush gambling giving up as little EV as possible. That is probably why most blackjack players would suggest sticking to basic strategy, and most crap players would suggest just doing line bets (I think, I admit I don't know a lot about craps) even though even following these strategies you will still ultimately lose in the long run.

  12. #14312
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    Is it me or are the Pacers-7 a trap?

    Druff can you weigh in?
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  13. #14313
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    Late entry, GL ME
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  14. #14314
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Is it me or are the Pacers-7 a trap?

    Druff can you weigh in?
    The Grizzlies literally have 8 players questionable. The fact a line has been out all day with all this info up in the air shows the books don't have a high opinion of the roster. The books are basically saying they suck equally regardless of who is playing and isn't.

  15. #14315
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Is it me or are the Pacers-7 a trap?

    Druff can you weigh in?
    A line of -7 is rarely a trap, but as verminaard pointed out, the line hasn't moved in many hours despite the announcements of players being out.

    It should be noted that there's no starter out who hasn't been out for at awhile anyway, so that's part of the reason these "questionable" players are kind of a non-issue.

    Somehow the Grizzlies have actually been doing BETTER despite the absence of guys like Conley, Green, and Parsons. They're about a .500 team since December!

    Tyreke Evans might be the question mark, as he was just sick on Monday, and he also hurt his arm when playing in that day's game. He's probably playing, but may not be 100%.

    I'm staying away from this one.

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    Lakers -3
    Miami +2.5 (or moneyline of +125 or better)

  17. #14317
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Lakers -3
    Miami +2.5 (or moneyline of +125 or better)
    Lakers tend to lose when they are road favorites. I don't think they can handle the pressure when they are expected to be the better team.

    GL.

  18. #14318
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
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    Wait until the total moves up then bet the under IMO.
    HILLARY WON

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
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    Daly - Where do these high % on the Eagles fall in the scheme of Superbowls?

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