*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[chinamaniac]

Even though in NBA we see a lot of backdoor covers in the regular season their is so much information you can use to your advantage when betting compared to other sports. I say regular season because playoffs to me has always felt like a different animal.

We also don't have weather to influence our decisions.

Sure there is a ton of info agree, backdoor covers don't really mean anything in the grand scheme of things , that is unless you sweat these games hard because stress kills. I used to sweat NCAA hoop totals and looking back it was not fun. Although there is some valuable info I guess you could gain by sweating games.

Picks are either +ev or not. In the end your going to get as many backdoor covers for you as you do against.

Gotta give Druff some credit for blasting to a nice record so far using whatever method he has picking the games. Beating the NBA night in and night out over a year or longer is a tough thing to do.

Have seen some guys go on NBA tears before but have never seen it sustained. Druff seems to be onto something that may be sustainable

[Dan Druff]

Anyone who wants to bail out of Porltand -11, you can get Phoenix +13.5 right now on Bovada.

[ErickAA]

LOL. UP by 12 with one minute left and they fouled Booker on an off balance 3 point shot and of course he hits all 3 FTs.

[Dan Druff]

LOL. UP by 12 with one minute left and they fouled Booker on an off balance 3 point shot and of course he hits all 3 FTs.

Yeah that's close to the nail in the coffin. Only way we win is if Phoenix misses, then Porland makes a basket, and then the scoring stops.

[ErickAA]

Booker can't miss. he has made like 4 circus shots in a row. Nothing to do. Portland will of course easily win but cover is dead.

[Dan Druff]

Yep, we lose.

What a horrible pair of beats.

One 25-point lead, one 23-point lead, both sides of -6 and -11 lose in the final minute.

Record falls to 116-89-2 after this 0-2 day which should have been 2-0.

[ErickAA]

I took a week off of NBA betting because this shit was happening every game and it wasn't fun anymore. I come back and I lose 2 games like this, it is a pretty clear sign. I am done with this BS. Been focusing more on NBA Daily Fantasy and it is a lot more fun and I do a lot better.

You guys have fun and good luck with your sportsbetting. Will see you next football season.

[jsearles22]

I'm broke .

FYP

[ErickAA]

I'm broke .

FYP

Weren't you the one who put up the resolution thread asking to limit contentless trolling? How would you characterize this last post?

[Tellafriend]

I'm broke .

FYP

Great pick last night btw.

[ErickAA]

In case anyone is concerned about my sports betting bankroll, actually had a pretty decent night last night in daily fantasy. One of my lineups was 10 points away from winning $20k. Alex Len was the X factor. He scored 20 points at 2% ownership, he scores 30 and I win $20k.

[PLOL]

Alright Druff, can we get tonights picks please?

[Dan Druff]

Toronto under 212.5
New Orleans over 219
OKC under 216 (215.5 ok)

[Charham]

Toronto under 212.5
New Orleans over 219
OKC under 216 (215.5 ok)

fingers crossed no last minute monkey business tonight!

[Dan Druff]

Also Utah -4

[Dan Druff]

Nothing like seeing your over get off to a strong start, then 3 points score in 4 min.

[Dan Druff]

New Orleans over, after a strong start, has become an absolute catastrophe, and will probably still lose even if it gets OT.

Toronto under likely to win.

OKC under a toss-up right now.

Utah hasn't started.

[Dan Druff]

2-1 start to the night.

Go Jazz.

[Sanlmar]

Little drama about Tom Brady missing his press appearance.

Allegedly, his throwing hand was hurt in practice on a handoff. Jammed and cut.

Brian Shapiro at Bovada claims the Pats would be -3 over Jacksonville IF HOYER STARTED INSTEAD OF BRADY

Can you imagine the last four teams trotting out a junior varsity of Hoyer, Foles, Bortles & Keenum. A ratings bonanza.

Useless trivia. Since Belichick has been coach the Pats were double digit dogs only twice. This is when he just started. Won both.

Had a small heart attack this afternoon. That is why you shouldn’t bet on a Monday. Doesn’t matter.

[Dan Druff]

When it came down to it, none of my 4 picks were close, though the OKC under was a bit of a sweat until the scoring died in the final 4 minutes.

The New Orleans over was a disaster.

Look at how last night's games went:

New Orleans over: Lost by 32 points
Toronto under: Won by 27.5 points
OKC under: Won by 12 points
Utah side: Won by 11 points

So it was three good picks and one terrible pick. Still a good result, and a nice relief from the horrible double-bad-beat I suffered the day prior.

I may actually be seeing things well again.

Monday was 3-0, Tuesday was 0-2, and Wednesday was 3-1.

However, both Tuesday losses were highly likely wins where two surprising collapses snatched victories from me in the final minute.

Had those two unusual collapses not occurred, we would be looking at 8-1 in the past 3 days. Even if I had split them, I would be 7-2 in the past 3.

Small sample, but I've also been hitting wins with a wider margin of victory again, so that's encouraging to see.

Blowout losses do concern me a bit (I just had one last night), but as long as those are infrequent, it's not a big deal.

I did take my 90th loss on Wednesday, and my record stands at 119-90-2.