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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #13861
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Texas A&M +3

  2. #13862
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Hold ya nose Saturday.

    Eagles +3 -115

    Titans +14 -120
    I got Pats -13 -105

    You need a review of Pats ATS this year? Past 2 years? Past 15 years?

    I’m just gonna leave the car in drive until I hit something.


    Edit:

    Matt Ryan is a Boston College guy. I know you understand. GL w/ Eagles
    David Payne Purdum‏Verified account @DavidPurdum 44m44 minutes ago

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    Titans at Patriots (-14, 48): 2x more bets, 3x as much money on the Patriots @

  3. #13863
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I got Pats -13 -105

    You need a review of Pats ATS this year? Past 2 years? Past 15 years?

    I’m just gonna leave the car in drive until I hit something.


    Edit:

    Matt Ryan is a Boston College guy. I know you understand. GL w/ Eagles
    David Payne Purdum‏Verified account @DavidPurdum 44m44 minutes ago

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    Titans at Patriots (-14, 48): 2x more bets, 3x as much money on the Patriots @
    Pats been destroying the books all year in just this fashion. Not to mention the parlays that we’re built on this foundation.

    Gotta love the BC grad. Just how they would blow it was the only surprise

  4. #13864
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    What is the group think on tomorrow's action?

    I can't support jax w their qb among other things. So taking Pitt.

    I like minn tomorrow but probably won't play it. Maybe minn first half. NO is so good at coming back. Under might not be bad either but nothing strong.

  5. #13865
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    A poor showing this morning fellas

  6. #13866
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yesterday was really tough.

    Charlotte was ahead by a small amount for most of the game, then shit the bed in the 4th and lost by 10.

    Then even worse, OT fucked my Washington under.

    So I went 0-2, which looked like 2-0 at one point, and at least deserved to be 1-1.

    Nevertheless, record is now 113-85-2.

    This morning, I slept through what would have been a surefire under pick, which would have won by a ton (Milwaukee, which began at 10am PST).

    So here are two more picks:

    Phoenix +3 (you can get +3.5 -115 on Bovada right now, moneyline of +130 ok, but I'm betting +3)
    Minnesota under 212

    Both picks are sharps approved.

    Sharps are also on Portland but I am not endorsing that one.

  7. #13867
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    What is the group think on tomorrow's action?

    I can't support jax w their qb among other things. So taking Pitt.

    I like minn tomorrow but probably won't play it. Maybe minn first half. NO is so good at coming back. Under might not be bad either but nothing strong.
    Pretty amazing how Jax ended up doing, even with their QB once again having a forgettable game, AND their defense giving up 42 points.

     
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      Tellafriend: back up the truck for NE

  8. #13868
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jax winning has Sanlmar salivating over the ATM withdrawal he will be making again next weekend

  9. #13869
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugh, I also would have done Knicks +2.5 had I seen it. I woke up at 12:30 right as the game was starting. They're up by 15.

    Not good to sleep through two picks you would have easily won when you're in your first protracted bad streak of the season.

    This isn't a matter of passing on picks you're considering and them winning. This is a matter of picks I would have 100% made had I been awake.


  10. #13870
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Ugh, I also would have done Knicks +2.5 had I seen it. I woke up at 12:30 right as the game was starting. They're up by 15.

    Not good to sleep through two picks you would have easily won when you're in your first protracted bad streak of the season.

    This isn't a matter of passing on picks you're considering and them winning. This is a matter of picks I would have 100% made had I been awake.

    Lots of early games tomorrow you might want to look at due to it being MLK day.

  11. #13871
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Jax winning has Sanlmar salivating over the ATM withdrawal he will be making again next weekend
    -8.5 -105 is an autobet

    I’ve never experienced anything like this since Red Sox overs 2 years ago.

  12. #13872
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wow... Knicks shit the bed, game went to OT, and they lost by 5.

    So now it's fine that I didn't wake up early enough. I would have gone 1-1 and lost the juice.

    Also this saves my long streak of never losing involving the Knicks.

  13. #13873
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Jax winning has Sanlmar salivating over the ATM withdrawal he will be making again next weekend
    -8.5 -105 is an autobet

    I’ve never experienced anything like this since Red Sox overs 2 years ago.

    -9.5 now. San - what number does it reach before we stop pounding ?

  14. #13874
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Jax winning has Sanlmar salivating over the ATM withdrawal he will be making again next weekend
    -8.5 -105 is an autobet

    I’ve never experienced anything like this since Red Sox overs 2 years ago.
    Jaguars are going to cover and most likely win.

  15. #13875
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    -8.5 -105 is an autobet

    I’ve never experienced anything like this since Red Sox overs 2 years ago.
    Jaguars are going to cover and most likely win.

    I've been wrong about them so much this year, that you are probably right. Still, I'm going with my gut and giving the points.

  16. #13876
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    -8.5 -105 is an autobet

    I’ve never experienced anything like this since Red Sox overs 2 years ago.

    -9.5 now. San - what number does it reach before we stop pounding ?
    I maxed out my small balance on 5D at -8.5

    I am taking -9.5 -110 on Betonline too.

    It’ll prolly climb from here.

    However, an ATM isn’t about analysis.

    I have no fucking idea why Pats lines are set like they are. Though admittedly, a couple close calls. Half a point win vs Steelers, I think.

    No lock ever but trust the process

  17. #13877
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The Minnesota under line has risen to 213.5.

    Normally this would be bad news for someone with an under 212 bet, but again this seems to be last-minute adjustments to make the books less exposed, as almost all of the money has gone on over.

    I think I'm going to start betting closer to game time in the situations where I see that the other side has almost all the money, as I see this frequently, at least in the NBA.

  18. #13878
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    We saw two great nfl games today.

    LOL at having to kick this extra point if I was on the Saints I'd be like naw I don't want to go back out there.

    If anything your asking for a potential fight to break out.

    Since they just down it the Vikings -5.5 backers all lose.

  19. #13879
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    I don't have halftime bets on Minn yet, but i'm taking them. Scared of how well and often NO comes back from big deficits though. I don't see Jax being able to score more than 13. I see Pitt scoring in the 20s. So, i'm going Pitt. I also like Philly. Atl has no heart this year. Prob my favorite play. Taking NE over Tenn. The latter is aids and NE won't allow that kind of comeback like KC did -- and Reid should retire BTW.
    Pretty close. Unreal comeback. Sick I lost a lot of my futures that way. What a pathetic attempt at tackling the minn guy. he may off himself tonight.

  20. #13880
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    Current lines for next week are Patriots -10.5/47.5 (Started at -7.5) and Vikings -3.5/38. I think I like over in Patriot game and under in Viking game.

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