3-2 day
None were close
Record now 95-62-2
3-2 day
None were close
Record now 95-62-2
Hurry!
Henderson under 104.5 rushing
MEM Top RB Henderson’s hamstring being treated pregame on sidelines. Having trouble loosening up in the cold, reportedly.
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Took the over in the Iowa St and Louisville game. Also took Louisville -7. the last bet looks in big trouble. Miss St. moving the ball pretty easy. I don't see Louisville separating this game.
So many points are being left off the board due to sloppy turnovers. This is making me sick. Looking like 0-3 so far today.
Edit: Not gonna lie. Lamar Jackson big 80 yard run at end of first half, leading to 7 points from Louisville helps a lot.
Sigh. Another drive in the red zone by Louisville ending up in 0 points. These teams have combined left about 28 points off the board. Brutal.
This thread needs less vermin and more daily and a punctual druff.
I'm debating on fading the Marlins every game this coming season, much like this dude did with the 2010 Pirates. Thoughts?
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...en&hl=en#gid=0
If they trade Yelich, Realmuto, and Straily.....thats a 45-50 win team.
Last edited by gut; 12-30-2017 at 01:23 PM.
wow that's amazing from the standpoint that vegas didn't get the juice high enough to compensate for a shitty team...in fairness they did win 57 games that year...Originally Posted by gut
the better experiment would be to see what the first tank year astros did...so if vegas knows that a team is gonna be absolute shit (mid 40s-50 wins) do they do a better job adjusting the juice to make it really unfavorable to take the favorites...like -350 and up type shit...
EDIT: I see the average line was -120...im gonna say there's no way in hell you'd be able to do this profitably on MIA this year if they continue the gut by trading those three guys...I cant imagine the average line would be that favorable...granted he did do about 40% of the bets on the run line so that helped his overall juice...
Last edited by GambleBotsChafedPenis; 12-30-2017 at 01:59 PM.
For those of you wondering why I post many of my picks later in the day, I actually get a better view of the game to be played by waiting until relatively close to game time.
This involves several factors.
Sometimes I also decide at the last minute to bet something after previously rejecting it.
NBA
NY Knicks +5.5 -105 (I'm doing a half/half spread and +190 moneyline bet, but I am counting it as a spread bet for my record here)
Atlanta +3.5 -105
That's 7 consecutive picks without me going with an under. A new record for me this season.
Verminard offers more winners than anyone in this thread. Just auto fade him and cash in
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
Took Penn St. -3. They were up 28-7 and had the ball in the 2nd. They are now in danger of giving up the lead.
Standard.
FYP
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
Philly under 214
Looking at it all day, decided to fire
Coulda had a big day.
Considered Detroit and Utah but backed off both.
Philly under not off to best start.
Glad I did a half money line knicks bet.
I absolutely never lose if the knicks are involved.
Of course I'm like 0-20 when I have a perfect day and add a late pick.
Not really but it feels like it.
Philly under likely losing.
Steph Curry first game back tonight after the injury and he only made ten 3's.
Yeah the juice seems rough, unless I dabbled with the run lines as well. We'll see if they complete the teardown first before making any plans.wow that's amazing from the standpoint that vegas didn't get the juice high enough to compensate for a shitty team...in fairness they did win 57 games that year...
the better experiment would be to see what the first tank year astros did...so if vegas knows that a team is gonna be absolute shit (mid 40s-50 wins) do they do a better job adjusting the juice to make it really unfavorable to take the favorites...like -350 and up type shit...
EDIT: I see the average line was -120...im gonna say there's no way in hell you'd be able to do this profitably on MIA this year if they continue the gut by trading those three guys...I cant imagine the average line would be that favorable...granted he did do about 40% of the bets on the run line so that helped his overall juice...
3-0 day, even hit money line.
98-62-2 now
Exploitable week 17 lines? Some teams trying to lose, others don’t care, etc
I like the Chiefs +5 with Mahomes starting. Kid is a gunslinger. Denver might be trying to lose anyways
Jets +14.5 as NE might relax 2nd half. 14+ NFL is money usually
Bills -2.5
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
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