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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #13261
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    the whole movement was really strange...haven't seen too many lines move that quickly that far away from game time (especially in a mid week bowl game)...I looked it was 4.5 and then about 5 minutes later it got to 5 and then slammed down to 4 again...this was 2 hours ago too...
    Remember between 4.5 and 6 is no mans land when it comes to NCAAF spreads. The 1.5 points is almost completely meaningless
    true on that...guess that's why the line movement was fucking nuts...

  2. #13262
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Lol Dykes just had an interview that was more or less "fuck it - let's see what happens"

  3. #13263
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    well this is certainly a start...jesus...

  4. #13264
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So I saw the Lakers pop out to a 9-0 lead over the Rockets (in Houston), and yet Bovada still had them as +800 to win.

    While the first few minutes of an NBA game aren't particularly meaningless, I started to think, "Hey, I'd take Lakers at 8-to-1 if spotted 9 points", and then while I was considering it, the line changed to +550 (Lakers up 16-6), and I decided I wasn't that interested.

    Now Lakers are up 37-22 and it's +175.

    I think I'm going to start firing those big dog live bets in cases like these, because sometimes in the NBA, the way a team starts is indicative of the way they will play the whole game, and I think that's a far better spot than just taking shots at random +800 type dogs.

    Anyway, regarding my bets, everything looking good so far. Boston under & OKC under looking very early on, and OKC is also killing it so the spread bet is also looking nice. Would be great to jump off to an immediate 3-0 like two days ago.

  5. #13265
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So far Daly looking pretty damn correct

  6. #13266
    Bronze LobsterMac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So far Daly looking pretty damn correct
    #NEVERFAKELINES

  7. #13267
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    How's it going fellas?

  8. #13268
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    How's it going fellas?
    I'm entertained sir.

    Thoughts on 2nd half wagering ??

  9. #13269
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    Just got home. So far so good, although I see the 3rd Q of laker game is going kind of slow.

  10. #13270
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    How's it going fellas?
    I'm entertained sir.

    Thoughts on 2nd half wagering ??
    You can't touch this game. Anything can happen from a 2H perspective

  11. #13271
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post

    I'm entertained sir.

    Thoughts on 2nd half wagering ??
    You can't touch this game. Anything can happen from a 2H perspective
    2 more TDs in the next 1.5Q would be nice. I would guess 50/50 game goes over at this point.

    Edit: Never mind, both teams just appear to be running out the clock. Would need some big runs breaking through to go over against stacked boxes. Not likely.

  12. #13272
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    I am quietly having a decent couple weeks. Unfortunately I am going to get raped in 2 weeks when my NFL futures are due, so I basically need to have a good couple weeks just to break even.

    I think I am going to be something like 2-7 in NFL futures. Basically opposite of college FB where I did well.

  13. #13273
    Bronze KidPresentable's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KidPresentable View Post
    DeMar DeRozan over 9 assists + rebounds -135 (5dimes) or -120 (Bovada)
    Winner. Though it ended up barely over (10) as none of the starters played in the 4th with Toronto up 20+ most of the second half.

    3-0 start on PFA


    Thanks for the winners, Druff. And nice hit on the Lakers in game ML.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So... easy 3-0 start with the double OKC pick and Boston under.

    Then Dallas/Detroit had a 71 point 2nd quarter, which is pretty much gold for an over 197 pick, right?

    Welllllllllllllllll.....

    They only score 37 in the 3rd, and then the 4th quarter also has anemic scoring for the first 8 minutes, and suddenly it's a real sweat.

    Now it's up to 191 with 3 min left, so I'm pretty safe barring a really bad beat.

    So provided this hits AND Memphis can keep it to a single-digit loss, that will be a 5-0 day.

    Just narrowly missed 5-0 on Monday thanks to overtime fuckery.

    Oh, and the Lakers won. Really kicking myself for not firing 500 on that +800.

  15. #13275
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So... easy 3-0 start with the double OKC pick and Boston under.

    Then Dallas/Detroit had a 71 point 2nd quarter, which is pretty much gold for an over 197 pick, right?

    Welllllllllllllllll.....

    They only score 37 in the 3rd, and then the 4th quarter also has anemic scoring for the first 8 minutes, and suddenly it's a real sweat.

    Now it's up to 191 with 3 min left, so I'm pretty safe barring a really bad beat.

    So provided this hits AND Memphis can keep it to a single-digit loss, that will be a 5-0 day.

    Just narrowly missed 5-0 on Monday thanks to overtime fuckery.

    Oh, and the Lakers won. Really kicking myself for not firing 500 on that +800.
    glad I tailed you. 4 and 0 so far, you are in the zone. TY. just stay away from Cleveland. :-)

  16. #13276
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    In the meantime, many sharp bettors backed Orlando and Atlanta and got stomped on.

  17. #13277
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Let's go Fucking Fresno

    3 Team - Parlay
    FAU -21 (-110) Win

    Louisiana Tech ML (+165)

    Fresno St ML (+125)

    300/3123

    PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
    Ticket# Date Placed Amount
    Dec 19
    05:33 PM [228] FRESNO STATE +115 (ESPN)
    [212] FLORIDA ATLANTIC (FAU) -21½-110 (ESPN)
    [213] LOUISIANA TECH +155 (ESPN)

    300/2860


    Dec 19
    07:05 PM PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
    [CFB] [212] FLORIDA ATLANTIC -23½-115
    PENDING
    FAT 212
    Florida Atlantic
    211 AKR
    Akron
    -
    19 December 2017 7:00 pm

    Dec 20
    08:06 PM [CFB] [213] LOUISIANA TECH +163

    Dec 24
    08:30 PM [CFB] [228] FRESNO STATE +2½-110

    Dec 27
    05:15 PM [CFB] [238] TOTAL u45½-110
    (BOSTON COLLEGE vrs IOWA)

    Dec 30
    12:00 PM [CFB] [257] LOUISVILLE -6½-120

    150/4175

  18. #13278
    Bronze KidPresentable's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Dec 30
    12:00 PM [CFB] [257] LOUISVILLE -6½-120
    I really like Louisville too.

    Keep on crushing these bowls!

  19. #13279
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Memphis covering until final 4:30, then they let it go.

    97-84 final

    4-1 on the day. Twice in last 3 days I've come so close to 5-0, but settled for 4-1.

    Today I also scored both my 80th win and 50th loss, moving me to 80-50-2 for the year.

     
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      Tellafriend:

  20. #13280
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'm going with Temple TT over 31.5

    It's not as strong a bet as some of the other stuff so far this bowl season but I make it 34.5-35.5

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