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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #13121
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well.... speaking of getting screwed by OT....

    Denver was down by 18, came back, got ahead by 4 late in the game (100-96), had the ball, and ended up going to OT 104-104 DESPITE it being a 101-100 game with less than a minute left.

    Not only is his highly likely to screw my under 222, but I accidentally double-bet that under, so it will be a double-screw.

    Plus if Denver doesn't cover the -1.5, it will be a triple screw job.

    That's two unders ruined by OT in my last 4 days' worth of picking.


  2. #13122
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, this is pretty much done.

    Denver will cover, under was supposed to win by like 15, and instead it lost due to OT.

    What's so annoying is that I double-bet it because I thought I bet the side first, when I actually bet the total first. So I bet the total again, and then realized my mistake.

    Then I said, "Well it's okay, I like the total better than the side anyway", placed the side bet (a single bet, obv), and also had a single bet on Utah.

    Of course the only one of the three to lose was the double bet.

    I'm 0-fer lifetime on accidental double bets.

    I can't get as lucky as badguy.

    2-1 day (in bets, sadly 2-2 day in units) makes me 68-43-2 for the year, and a moderate 24-23-2 since Thanksgiving. I do break a 2-5 slump over the prior 3 days.

  3. #13123
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Largest margin of victory during bowl season under 41.5

    FAU is the one real threat. Get by that game and I think you got a winner.

     
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      tigerpiper: dang

  4. #13124
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well, this is pretty much done.

    Denver will cover, under was supposed to win by like 15, and instead it lost due to OT.

    What's so annoying is that I double-bet it because I thought I bet the side first, when I actually bet the total first. So I bet the total again, and then realized my mistake.

    Then I said, "Well it's okay, I like the total better than the side anyway", placed the side bet (a single bet, obv), and also had a single bet on Utah.

    Of course the only one of the three to lose was the double bet.

    I'm 0-fer lifetime on accidental double bets.

    I can't get as lucky as badguy.

    2-1 day (in bets, sadly 2-2 day in units) makes me 68-43-2 for the year, and a moderate 24-23-2 since Thanksgiving. I do break a 2-5 slump over the prior 3 days.
    I watched this game. Denver was losing by double digits the whole game and then NO couldn't make a shot down the stretch and Denver caught up and had the lead for 10 seconds before it went tie and OT. Saying that Denver was supposed to cover in regulation is a pretty big overstatement. Anyone who watched this game up until the last 2 minutes would have assumed you went 1-1, just the other way around with game under and NO winning.

  5. #13125
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    How did FAU get such a horrible bowl game? Didn't they win their conference? You would think winning a conference (even a minor one) would get you a better opponent than Akron.

    Meh.

    Took Oregon -7 and over 59 tomorrow. Probably more later, but that is what I have for now.

    I bet a bunch of bowl games earlier in the week, but that is the only one tomorrow. So my lines might be a little off on some bets I made a while ago

  6. #13126
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well, this is pretty much done.

    Denver will cover, under was supposed to win by like 15, and instead it lost due to OT.

    What's so annoying is that I double-bet it because I thought I bet the side first, when I actually bet the total first. So I bet the total again, and then realized my mistake.

    Then I said, "Well it's okay, I like the total better than the side anyway", placed the side bet (a single bet, obv), and also had a single bet on Utah.

    Of course the only one of the three to lose was the double bet.

    I'm 0-fer lifetime on accidental double bets.

    I can't get as lucky as badguy.

    2-1 day (in bets, sadly 2-2 day in units) makes me 68-43-2 for the year, and a moderate 24-23-2 since Thanksgiving. I do break a 2-5 slump over the prior 3 days.
    I watched this game. Denver was losing by double digits the whole game and then NO couldn't make a shot down the stretch and Denver caught up and had the lead for 10 seconds before it went tie and OT. Saying that Denver was supposed to cover in regulation is a pretty big overstatement. Anyone who watched this game up until the last 2 minutes would have assumed you went 1-1, just the other way around with game under and NO winning.
    I had a double bet (accidentally) on the under, so I wanted the under to win first and foremost. Denver covering would have been a bonus.

    Denver actually had a high chance to cover when up 100-96 with 2:31 left AND the ball, but they let that go.

    But where I really got screwed was the fact that there was just a 1-point lead with like 42 seconds left, and somehow the game still went to OT. That's a pretty bad beat.

    Due to the double bet on the under, I would have been satisfied (albeit not thrilled) with Denver losing and the under holding (which it easily was going to without OT).

  7. #13127
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'm going No Tex over 62
    MTSU over 62.5
    Marshall +3.5

  8. #13128
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    Yeah. I am thinking of just betting over in every game. I feel like historically these low end bowl games are just shoot outs.

  9. #13129
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Yeah. I am thinking of just betting over in every game. I feel like historically these low end bowl games are just shoot outs.

    Last year if you bet under in every bowl game before christmass you would have hit ~75%

    The year before it was the other way around with the over.

  10. #13130
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Yeah. I am thinking of just betting over in every game. I feel like historically these low end bowl games are just shoot outs.

    Last year if you bet under in every bowl game before christmass you would have hit ~75%

    The year before it was the other way around with the over.
    So you are saying we are due for another over year and I am on the right track.

  11. #13131
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    Took Over in the first 3 college games.

    West Kentucky game O53.5, Troy game O62, Oregon game over 59.5.

    Took U43.5 in Lions NFL game.

  12. #13132
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    The Oregon interim coach is a giant vagina. They are down 14-0 (should be 24-0, Boise has left a lot of points off the board) and he has punted twice around midfield 4th and 1. I guess he doesn't understand that you play to win.

  13. #13133
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    LOL. Boise St was up 24-0 and their QB threw two 100 yard pick 6's in last minute of the first half. Wow. I watch 10,000 hours of football a year and have never seen anything close to this.

    Over for this game is very live now.

  14. #13134
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    And Oregon offense still has nothing to offer. And coach is still being very conservative. He doesn't seem to be in any hurry to try to catch up and actually win the game.

  15. #13135
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    LOL. Oregon offense finally gets something going and get in scoring position and the RB after the play throws the ball at a defender and 15 yard penalty and now dead. Most retarded thing ever.

  16. #13136
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wow... that Knicks game coming up is going to be interesting.

    It's a match between OKC who is back-to-back on the road AND just finished a grueling 3OT game yesterday...

    ... versus the Knicks without Porzingis.

    I can't even go with the under because defense often breaks down without the presence of a big center.

    So I have no idea how the hell this will go.

  17. #13137
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    So Oregon is going to lose by 10 where the coach punted multiple times around midfield when down. I am putting this loss on his conservatism. May have lost anyways, but at least give yourself a chance.

  18. #13138
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    Oh wow. Just checked and I actually got the Oregon game at 59, so going to push the total probably (tiny chance Oregon backdoor covers and scores at end of game, but nah). Great news cause that was a 2 unit bet.

  19. #13139
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NBA:

    Minnesota -12 (I really hate -12 bets normally, but I like this one)
    Minnesota Under 218
    Memphis Under 193

  20. #13140
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    Wow. Binked the Over on 4th and goal. Phew. Took the over on every college game today. 2-1 so far, 2 to go.

    Also took O47 for Chiefs game.

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