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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #13021
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    By all acounts she pretty much sucks as a grandma anyway. Nothing like DirtyB.

  2. #13022
    Nova Scotia's #1 Party Rocker!!!!11 DJ_Chaps's Avatar
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    hope you cover here todd, since blues fucked me.
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Chaps' 2017-18 NFL $$ Thread

  3. #13023
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by DJ_Chaps View Post
    popping my 5dimes cherry with a lil parlay


    472120278-1 12/10/17 5:35pm $12.00 $154.65 Pending 4 Team Parlay
    Pending 12/10/17 7:35pm NBA Basketball 512 New York Knicks -200* vs Atlanta Hawks
    Pending 12/10/17 7:05pm NHL Hockey 2 Chicago Blackhawks -1½ +115* vs Arizona Coyotes
    Pending 12/10/17 7:05pm NHL Hockey 4 St. Louis Blues -1½ +165* vs Buffalo Sabres
    Pending 12/10/17 7:05pm NHL Hockey 6 Toronto Maple Leafs -160* vs Edmonton Oilers
    Fuck the Knicks

    I would say I am rooting for Knicks to win by 4 so we both take it, but honestly screw your $12.
    Final Score:

    NY 111, Atl 107



    2-0 day -- one easy, the other very close

    Record now 63-37-2.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Haraladruff/Can Afford Festivus Now Rep

  4. #13024
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Druff good run.

    What is your +/- units. Are these all -110 Or some better or worse?

  5. #13025
    Silver varys's Avatar
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    Wentz may be done for the year. Pretty shitty, this guy is the 2nd or 3rd best qb in the league imo.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  6. #13026
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Druff good run.

    What is your +/- units. Are these all -110 Or some better or worse?
    All have ranged between -105 and -115, usually -110.

    Actually I think one was +100 near the beginning, but whatever.

    Anyway. assuming -110 (which is fairly close to the average), I'm up about 22 units after 102 bets (100 non-ties).

    Win-loss is exactly 63% right now.

    Perhaps most surprising is the fact that I've almost completely avoided losing streaks. I had one point where I lost 4 in a row, but that's pretty much it.

    I have had very few days where I've gone 0-2, 1-3, or anything like that. Almost all days have either been winners, breakeven, or 0-1.

    Not sure if that means anything.

    Not sure how many picks I'll need to make before we can conclude that I'm +EV rather than just lucky.

  7. #13027
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    san this one is for you...

    How A Midlevel School Became The University of Adidas at Louisville

    http://www.espn.com/espn/otl/story/_...charges-excess

    haven't read it yet, but fainaru-wada's shit is usually a good read...

     
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      Sanlmar: Beautiful piece. The Sole of a New Machine

  8. #13028
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    We’ve beat the NCAA thing to death. The above article and Louisville is an extreme example of what goes on in all D1 schools.

    Here is a little bit of a different take from me:

    "If you had collective bargaining rights, there would have to be economic disclosures."

    Meaning that if the college athletes were represented by a union, or a union-like entity, the universities would have to open their books to the negotiators.

    Shit like Louisville would come to light sooner. Right or wrong there would be transparency. The sponsorships ain’t gonna stop. We enjoy the game. Just give the kids a taste and be above board.

    It’s coming. The catalyst will surprise even me. Will it be PASPA repeal?

    The sneaker business is built on sweatshop labor from manufacturing to kids representing the brand.

    So filthy

  9. #13029
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Druff good run.

    What is your +/- units. Are these all -110 Or some better or worse?
    All have ranged between -105 and -115, usually -110.

    Actually I think one was +100 near the beginning, but whatever.

    Anyway. assuming -110 (which is fairly close to the average), I'm up about 22 units after 102 bets (100 non-ties).

    Win-loss is exactly 63% right now.

    Perhaps most surprising is the fact that I've almost completely avoided losing streaks. I had one point where I lost 4 in a row, but that's pretty much it.

    I have had very few days where I've gone 0-2, 1-3, or anything like that. Almost all days have either been winners, breakeven, or 0-1.

    Not sure if that means anything.

    Not sure how many picks I'll need to make before we can conclude that I'm +EV rather than just lucky.
    You are betting at -110 lines? People still do that? You know it is super easy to find multiple books that will let you bet -105. Assuming you bet $500, if I am reading your record correctly that is 36 losses * $25 = $900 you are leaving on the table. It adds up.

  10. #13030
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Under Brady and Stills

    Also going to give sexy Rex a shot first TD 6-1 or better
    Last edited by Daly; 12-11-2017 at 02:35 PM.

  11. #13031
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    We’ve beat the NCAA thing to death. The above article and Louisville is an extreme example of what goes on in all D1 schools.

    Here is a little bit of a different take from me:

    "If you had collective bargaining rights, there would have to be economic disclosures."

    Meaning that if the college athletes were represented by a union, or a union-like entity, the universities would have to open their books to the negotiators.

    Shit like Louisville would come to light sooner. Right or wrong there would be transparency. The sponsorships ain’t gonna stop. We enjoy the game. Just give the kids a taste and be above board.

    It’s coming. The catalyst will surprise even me. Will it be PASPA repeal?

    The sneaker business is built on sweatshop labor from manufacturing to kids representing the brand.

    So filthy
    what an article...I don't think there's any catalyst for change to be honest...why would there be? kids don't have the power monetarily to challenge this stuff...give the northwestern kids a pat on the back for trying a few years back...

    I go back and forth on whether there should be 'pay for play'...probably not, but if there's an enterprising youth out there who can capitalize on their image/performance then go for it...fucking jimbo can get 10 for 75 why can't a guy get 10K for signing his name to some shit (sounds manziel-esque doesn't it?)...

  12. #13032
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Under Brady and Stills

    Also going to give sexy Rex a shot first TD 6-1 or better
    With ya on Stills, goodluck dude.
    "I GOT NO TOE"

    #FreeFluffler #FreeThisGuyIsCreepy #lockupGarrett

  13. #13033
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Druff good run.

    What is your +/- units. Are these all -110 Or some better or worse?

    Not sure how many picks I'll need to make before we can conclude that I'm +EV rather than just lucky.
    The more the better, 2500 is the sample I have heard tossed around the most

  14. #13034
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    All have ranged between -105 and -115, usually -110.

    Actually I think one was +100 near the beginning, but whatever.

    Anyway. assuming -110 (which is fairly close to the average), I'm up about 22 units after 102 bets (100 non-ties).

    Win-loss is exactly 63% right now.

    Perhaps most surprising is the fact that I've almost completely avoided losing streaks. I had one point where I lost 4 in a row, but that's pretty much it.

    I have had very few days where I've gone 0-2, 1-3, or anything like that. Almost all days have either been winners, breakeven, or 0-1.

    Not sure if that means anything.

    Not sure how many picks I'll need to make before we can conclude that I'm +EV rather than just lucky.
    You are betting at -110 lines? People still do that? You know it is super easy to find multiple books that will let you bet -105. Assuming you bet $500, if I am reading your record correctly that is 36 losses * $25 = $900 you are leaving on the table. It adds up.
    I wish I had 36 losses. In reality I have 37.

    But okay... point me to a RELIABLE book which lets me bet -105.

    I still need multiple books because of line differences (very important if you make a lot of bets), but I'm up for joining a -105 book provided they have a good record with payouts.

  15. #13035
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post


    Not sure how many picks I'll need to make before we can conclude that I'm +EV rather than just lucky.
    The more the better, 2500 is the sample I have heard tossed around the most
    Okay, well in that case, I look forward to having your confidence during the 2029-30 NBA season.

  16. #13036
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    In the meantime, let's try to improve upon that 63.00% record by going with this totals pick:

    Clippers under 214.5 (214 -110 ok)

    And you probably know this already, but full disclosure, no Blake Griffin.

  17. #13037
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Speaking of the Clippers game, look at the spread.

    Toronto has completely obliterated everyone recently, especially much-inferior competition.

    The Clippers, who were already fairly bad with Griffin in the lineup, is without Griffin for awhile.

    Yet Toronto is just -4.5 right now, which changed from 5.5, despite the fact that over 2/3 of the bets (and $) has been on Toronto.

    This entire situation screams "Trapper John MD" and would seem to indicate that the Clippers is a smart bet, but this is just one of those situations where, no matter how I try to look at it, it's hard for me to picture the Clippers reliably covering this. I do realize Toronto is back-to-back on the road, which is probably the reason for this, but if there's ever a time to avoid taking what appears to be the sharp side, it seems like it's this one. The sharps do love the Clippers here. I still can't get behind it. I'll just take the under and root for no one to score.

  18. #13038
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post

    You are betting at -110 lines? People still do that? You know it is super easy to find multiple books that will let you bet -105. Assuming you bet $500, if I am reading your record correctly that is 36 losses * $25 = $900 you are leaving on the table. It adds up.
    I wish I had 36 losses. In reality I have 37.

    But okay... point me to a RELIABLE book which lets me bet -105.

    I still need multiple books because of line differences (very important if you make a lot of bets), but I'm up for joining a -105 book provided they have a good record with payouts.
    I have been going through a bookie for awhile, but last time I checked 5dimes still allowed US customers at -105 lines, although I would avoid playing props with them.


    Didn't you used to play live poker at Commerce? There are a ton of bookies in the live poker scene. And the ones that have been around awhile have good reputations. I have never had any problems with the ones I have used, but I am admittedly a loser, so no reason to give me any problems.

  19. #13039
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Speaking of the Clippers game, look at the spread.

    Toronto has completely obliterated everyone recently, especially much-inferior competition.

    The Clippers, who were already fairly bad with Griffin in the lineup, is without Griffin for awhile.

    Yet Toronto is just -4.5 right now, which changed from 5.5, despite the fact that over 2/3 of the bets (and $) has been on Toronto.

    This entire situation screams "Trapper John MD" and would seem to indicate that the Clippers is a smart bet, but this is just one of those situations where, no matter how I try to look at it, it's hard for me to picture the Clippers reliably covering this. I do realize Toronto is back-to-back on the road, which is probably the reason for this, but if there's ever a time to avoid taking what appears to be the sharp side, it seems like it's this one. The sharps do love the Clippers here. I still can't get behind it. I'll just take the under and root for no one to score.
    Clippers had Gallo come back a couple games ago and he has looked pretty good. They have another decent player coming back tonight (Teodosic), although I doubt he will play big minutes first game back.

  20. #13040
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    I wish I had 36 losses. In reality I have 37.

    But okay... point me to a RELIABLE book which lets me bet -105.

    I still need multiple books because of line differences (very important if you make a lot of bets), but I'm up for joining a -105 book provided they have a good record with payouts.
    I have been going through a bookie for awhile, but last time I checked 5dimes still allowed US customers at -105 lines, although I would avoid playing props with them.


    Didn't you used to play live poker at Commerce? There are a ton of bookies in the live poker scene. And the ones that have been around awhile have good reputations. I have never had any problems with the ones I have used, but I am admittedly a loser, so no reason to give me any problems.
    I had a bad experience with a private bookie, fortunately only for not a large sum of money, and it's possible I can still get it back. (I got lazy about pressuring him, but I'm going to start up again soon.) I just feel like in many cases it's a negative freeroll, where they keep your $ if they beat you, and you don't get paid you're beating them and they're struggling overall.

    Interested in hearing about 5Dimes, though, because my lines there are -110, and from what I've seen on their website, the -105 are only for select games, and I never see it at all.

    If anyone has any info regarding 5Dimes lines being -105 for NBA, please let me know. Maybe my account is set a certain way to where I can have them change it. I forgot if maybe I chose something when I signed up there.

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