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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #8021
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Mayfield under 24.5

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    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Anyone see what just happened to Nebraska QB Tommy Armstong? Wow, so sad.

  3. #8023
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    yes. Fuck. didn't even look that bad when it happened.

  4. #8024
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    well my NFL value system is not producing a lot of picks after a great start. Two to watch this week are GB and Jacksonville, depending on line. could be 3plus points of value on each.

    been running a similar model on NBA and 2 and 1 so far. Ill keep betting the system for next week of so and if it keeps hitting Ill post.

  5. #8025
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Seahawks Bills

    Feels like an under - but sooo obvious

    Would love to see Bills +7 just before kick.

    Thoughts?

    Haven't seen any Seahawks. Wilson not mobile and hurt cause his offensive line is horrendous. Heard a joke that one of the offensive lineman that started last week hadn't started a game since Junior High School.

    Only saw Bills vs Pats. Decent defense but their coach is Rex Ryan.

  6. #8026
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So yesterday I decided to fire on the Lakers, which was something I rarely did last year. Usually i was either betting against the Lakers or avoiding the game completely. Every once awhile, last year's team would "show up", but it was rare and unpredictable. I won the bet, but that's not why I'm posting here.

    I want to alert everyone to this year's team. It looks substantially different. I actually think this squad won't be bad, and will take a lot of people by surprise. They are 4-3 right now, which doesn't mean much by itself, but is already huge considering the team was 38-126 in the past two years combined.

    More importantly, they look good. Last year's squad looked clueless and overmatched, even in some of the games they won.

    This year's team looks young, energetic, and talented. Sometimes they still look raw, and sometimes they shit the bed and chunk off leads, but overall this looks like a much better squad. Having Kobe off the team is also helping. He's no longer hogging the ball and the spotlight. I was a big Kobe fan, but I felt his last 2 years were embarrassing (aside from his final game).

    Mosgov and Deng on the team aren't huge game-changers, but both are positive additions. This is a turnaround from previous FAIL additions like Jeremy Lin, who you knew wouldn't work out.

    This team won't contend for the title, but it has the potential to sneak into a 7 or 8 seed and give a scare to a team like the Spurs or Warriors.

    Last year it was painful to watch this team, and I barely did. This year they are fun to watch. I really started taking notice after they crushed the Warriors (who admittedly are a mess right now, but still).

    Anyway, you might want to fire on them, especially at home, until the books start giving the Lakers more credit.

     
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      Charham: they were good for free $ money line bets last year

  7. #8027
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Ill say this about the lakers, Randle is going to win the foul per minute played title this year going away

  8. #8028
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Christine Michael is being over valued tonight.

    Under rushing, receiving, receptions.

    Gut call here - S Johnson has been hobbled all week and Taylor is only lined to pass for 180 yards. Johnson under longest reception 20.5.

     
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      big dick: I took the michaels under tonight. ty

  9. #8029
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Ill say this about the lakers, Randle is going to win the foul per minute played title this year going away
    Nick Young will be right there competing with him.

  10. #8030
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    a thought, if you are signing Percy Harvin to play aren't you in major trouble? I know Seattle is having trouble scoring, and Bills outplaying themselves this year, but Percy Harvin out of retirement to play for the Bills? Ok I am getting on Seattle tonight.

  11. #8031
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If you are going to bet the under tonight, I'd ask you check your privilege.

    Name:  IMG_2681.PNG
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      Sanlmar: The public is poison. Thx
      
      big dick: I took the over too lol tyty

  12. #8032
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Ill say this about the lakers, Randle is going to win the foul per minute played title this year going away
    Nick Young will be right there competing with him.
    Would probably be a little more cautious with road games. After all, not every team has Dwight Howard as the main star on it.

  13. #8033
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Daly,

    Remember your friend's observation that the Celts could laughably be good for 230 game totals?

    At 222 avg they are right there with GS as league leaders. But not in a good way.

    Gonna keep on this. Quality observation after one game by this guy on a team that was somewhat known for defense last year.

  14. #8034
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    If you are going to bet the under tonight, I'd ask you check your privilege.
    The under backers are probably shitting bricks right about now with two TDs in the first 3 minutes of the game.

  15. #8035
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    If you are going to bet the under tonight, I'd ask you check your privilege.
    The under backers are probably shitting bricks right about now with two TDs in the first 3 minutes of the game.
    Vegas is laughing it's balls off right now.... way the fuck over.

  16. #8036
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    a thought, if you are signing Percy Harvin to play aren't you in major trouble? I know Seattle is having trouble scoring, and Bills outplaying themselves this year, but Percy Harvin out of retirement to play for the Bills? Ok I am getting on Seattle tonight.
    ok ill take a push (thank god i didn't take bovadas shitty -7 but got -6 on tops)... that was more excitement than i wanted tonight. Seattle couldn't stop anything. lucky.

  17. #8037
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    +6, gay push

  18. #8038
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Lol "more excitement than I needed" too.

    All were taken before halftime. Scoreless 3rd qtr. Buffalo QB was a heart attack. Kid is great.

    Nice night

    Accepted:
    11/7/2016 8:43:37 PM
    Description:
    BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Total UNDER 56.5

    Accepted:
    11/7/2016 8:51:02 PM
    Description:
    BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Side SEAHAWKS -3.5

    Accepted:
    11/7/2016 9:47:27 PM
    Description:
    BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Total UNDER 65.5

    Accepted:
    11/7/2016 10:30:05 PM
    Description:
    BUFFALO BILLS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Total UNDER 68.5

  19. #8039
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Steph Curry with 13 threes tonight for the nba record.

  20. #8040
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Decent value in Oklahoma +5. NBA.

    for NFL, some value in Dallas plus 1-2, and Houston plus 2 (sharp money does not like houston, so beware). As usual "value" on taking the points against NE, but I have avoided that trap all year. At some point we will see record lines against NE being put up by the books. Can you imagine a Cleveland/NE line. -17? , -21 or -22?

     
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      snake_in_the_ass: thanks, bet OKC +5 and moneyline
    Last edited by Charham; 11-11-2016 at 01:22 PM.

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