*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Sanlmar]

fuck it, Over 19.5 (+105)

I am drilling for oil live. I am almost all in at 19.5

Sorry man.

I was so tilted. I misread your post. I was playing the under.

I was in jeopardy with my big under 17.5 and martingaled under 19.5

Lot of those runs were errors by Texas early on and just not how the game was gonna close IMO. Seeing Kimbral made me laugh. Never expected that.

Little tilt, bad behavior & bankroll management is rewarded. Won both


TEXAS RANGERS AT BOSTON RED SOX
TOTAL
UNDER 19.5
7/6/2016 9:34:42 PM −125 $2500.00 $2000.00 Win $4500.00

[DJ_Chaps]

Baseball - 911 San Diego Padres +124 for Game

Baseball - 916 Cleveland Indians -130 for Game

Baseball - 904 New York Mets -1½ +125 for Game

Baseball - 920 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +115 for Game

Single bets today.

2-1 SO FAR TODAY, WINNING BOTH +xxx BETS. LETS GO PADRES, WENT A LIL BIGGER THERE.

ATTA BOY PADRES.

Baseball
MLB
Total Hits+Runs+RBIs by Angel Pagan (SF)
Over 2 Hits+Runs+RBIs +120



Baseball
MLB
Total Hits+Runs+RBIs By Buster Posey (SF)
Over 2½ Hits+Runs+RBIs +115

NEED ANOTHER PAGAN HIT TO PUSH, POSEY SOLO BOMB LOCKED UP HIS PROP.

DECENT DAY. MIGHT MOVE UP FROM $5 UNITS SOON LOL.

[DJ_Chaps]

UGH KNEW I WAS PUSHING IT BY ADDING PAGAN. GOT SUCKED IN BY THE 2 O/U. LOL AH WELL.

[Dan Druff]

I've gotten fucked by a few blown calls this year, and even a blown call review.

Tonight the call review won me a bet.

Angels were up 7-0 in the 5th, and had bases loaded with 0 out. It looked like my over 8.5 was in the bag. Then they shit the bed without scoring, and aside from a solo HR by Tampa, the scoring died. I was in trouble. It was the 8th inning, in a 7-1 game.

The Rays got men on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out in the 8th, and a wild pitch was uncorked. Runner attempted to get home, and was called out by the umpire.

Rays demanded a review, which showed that the tag was never actually applied -- that the runner got around it!

Out call was reversed, run scored, game was 7-2. Nobody scored again, and I won my bet by 0.5 points.

[Sanlmar]

A bored bet.


LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM at TAMPA BAY RAYS [BATTER PROPS]
Proposition: Total
Outcome: Over 6−105
Risking $100.00 to win $95.00

Placed just before bottom 3rd. Score 0-0

Some mundane pitching. Batters getting 2nd & 3rd looks should mean some action. Just think this is an ok price.

[simpdog]

A bored bet.


LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM at TAMPA BAY RAYS [BATTER PROPS]
Proposition: Total
Outcome: Over 6−105
Risking $100.00 to win $95.00

Placed just before bottom 3rd. Score 0-0

Some mundane pitching. Batters getting 2nd & 3rd looks should mean some action. Just think this is an ok price.

In before subsequent bets of 500,1000 and ,2500 on over 4.5, 3.5 and 2.5.

[Sanlmar]

LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM AT TAMPA BAY RAYS [BATTER PROPS]
TOTAL
OVER 5
7/7/2016 1:13:26 PM +100 $100.00 $100.00 Pending

Ok, little bit guilty Simp.

I was thinking last night that was the first and probably last time I will ever bet a total of 19.5

I just felt it was wrong to extrapolate the action in the first half of the game. Score was the result unusual errors not apt to be repeated. I mean Beltre fucking up?

You wanna give me a price this is a trend? I gotta take that action.

This kid Snell for Tampa hasn't even hit puberty. Kid has never felt a razor on his face.

Not looking good even as I type but I dont think I was wrong here. Whatever.

[Sanlmar]

Omg I can feel it. Martingale

Show me 4 and I am going big

Edit:

Bet Posted
LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM at TAMPA BAY RAYS [BATTER PROPS]
Proposition: Total
Outcome: Over 4−110
Risking $400.00 to win $364.00


Alright. I am done

[Daly]

Nothing for today boys, books got it right today.

[Dan Druff]

Tonight's Phillies/Rockies game is interesting.

Over/under 12.5! Wow... not going to touch that one.

Adam Morgan of the Phillies who's a spot starter versus Chad Bettis who pitches terribly at home, even by Coors standards.

I kind of want to take a shot at the +170 or whatever Phillies line, but I just have a gut feeling the Phillies are losing this one, and Morgan really sucks as a starter.

Sooo.... like Daly, I will pass today and bet nothing.

[Sanlmar]

Nothing for today boys, books got it right today.

Shit dog, that sounds like a challenge.

Gonna shoot some off. One I really like.

Daly thinks parlays are a pit game

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 962 Detroit Tigers/Toronto Blue Jays under 9½ -115 for Game
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 972 Atlanta Braves/Chicago Cubs under 10 -120 for Game
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 956 Philadelphia Phillies/Colorado Rockies under 12½ -115 for Game
Type Risk To Win
Parlay $100.00 $540.00

The union is protesting Rule 6.01(j) "The Daly Run Line Rule".

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 964 Cleveland Indians -1½ +145 for Game
Type Risk To Win
Spread $100.00 $145.00

Todger bet

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 958 San Diego Padres/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7 -105 for Game
Type Risk To Win
Total $300.00 $286.00

[Daly]

I'll be the square tonight, why not?

Rangers -116

[DJ_Chaps]

327922904 - 3 Jul 07, 2016 09:34 PM Money Line $5.00 $5.25 Win
Martial Arts - 24105 Derrick Lewis +105 for Game
327922904 - 2 Jul 07, 2016 09:34 PM Money Line $5.00 $3.45 Win
Martial Arts - 24110 Alan Jouban -145 for Game
327922904 - 1 Jul 07, 2016 09:34 PM Money Line $5.00 $4.17 Loss
Martial Arts - 24118 Mike Pyle -120 for Game


lost my parlay tho, when Saunders fight ended 39 seconds or so to soon. FFS.


327889752 - 3 Jul 07, 2016 02:45 AM Money Line $5.00 $4.63 Win
Baseball - 954 New York Mets -108 for Game
327889752 - 2 Jul 07, 2016 02:45 AM Total $5.00 $4.76 Loss
Baseball - 961 Detroit Tigers/Toronto Blue Jays over 9½ -105 for Game


Will go 3-1 in MLB, have o12 -120 @ Coors, and Twins +110 locked up, but still open.

[DJ_Chaps]

327941794 - 4 Jul 08, 2016 01:01 PM Total $5.00 $4.76
Baseball - 919 Tampa Bay Rays/Boston Red Sox over 10 -105 for Game

327941794 - 3 Jul 08, 2016 01:01 PM Spread $5.00 $5.50
Baseball - 924 Texas Rangers -1½ +110 for Game

327941794 - 2 Jul 08, 2016 01:01 PM Spread $5.00 $6.00
Baseball - 922 Cleveland Indians -1½ +120 for Game

327941794 - 1 Jul 08, 2016 01:01 PM Spread $5.00 $5.00
Baseball - 918 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +100 for Game

[unchainedghost]

Is the Sox game worth a go at 10 for even money

[Daly]

Archer under 6.5

[Sanlmar]

Is the Sox game worth a go at 10 for even money

When in doubt, the answer is autobet over.

OSullivan is just a AAA kid amongst a pitching staff that just sucks balls. He sucks.

Archer has sucked too. Whatever his record might be is run support.

Bad pitching and big offense is the Sawks formula this year.

I used to use TeamRankings for data on bet stats. The recent over totals data was just ridiculous. TeamRankings went premium content for this info. So I am at a crossroads recently.

Shout out to Daly for making MY Sawks ATM his own. Just kidding but I do think about it.

My whole approach needs retooling at the All Star break. I am on multiple books and trying to refine my live game betting process and pre game shopping.

I really want to get better at live game betting. The juice is fucking criminal but every once in a while you see massive errors. On the totals side you see bot-like simple run extrapolations that do not account for idiosyncratic scoring in prior innings.

I went all on BetOnline for thousands last night

SAN DIEGO PADRES at LOS ANGELES DODGERS Total 8th Inning Over 0.5

6-0 Padres, I think. Padres Runners on 2nd & 3rd no out. One out. Now bases loaded on a walk !!!! 3-2 and batter swings at ball 4. You know the rest.. Couldn't fucking believe it. Frias

It's just fucking exhausting following one game much less multiple games. Lagging software refresh etc.

I became self aware that I am a full fledged Totals guy this year. I feel much better about identifying game flow vs moneyline winners.

I must admit I have not gone 5Dimes yet. Hard to believe. Reduced juice and Dynamic Lines. I am prolly missing something but I am overwhelmed as is. No Bitcoin cash out kind of a factor.

I live by SBR to shop and review line movements and trends. But I am on a number of books that are not included.

I am ready to commit to using my stock trading platform to putting up all the books and shop that way at night. I have a personal policy that I never put anything but trade station and other stock shit on that computer. Virus, malware and Sonatine hacks on shitbag MicroSoft OS are a concern and being conservative has served me well.

Thinking I wish I had game with scripts. Is their anything out there I am missing for comparing lines across books? Is their premium content I should consider?

Kinda want to stay organic and learn to think on my own but welcome some advice or personal experience.

Kind of in a rambling reflective mood today. Shooting off will do that to you.

Vin Scully is god. I enjoyed every word he spoke. What a loss this is going to be. He must be very sad to see his career end on this note.

[Dan Druff]

Archer under 6.5

I love how Bovada tends to skew over on these, so the under line tends to be pretty good.

Bet U6.5 -105

Thanks for posting these. Even if some of these do not win (though so far you're perfect in the last 2 weeks with these strikeout picks), I appreciate you sharing these gems with the schlub masses, myself included.

[Dan Druff]

Decided I'll also go with:

Phillies (Velasquez) +145 at Colorado (Gray)
Tampa (Archer) at Boston (O'Sullivan) - Over 10 -105
Arizona (Corbin) at San Fran (Samardzija) - Over 7.5 -110

[DJ_Chaps]

Archer under 6.5

ugh, my book has 5.5 WTF