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Thread: Brexit

  1. #41
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.

     
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      handicapme: Yea most of the time you are spot on... not here. "in" is at best when you wrote this a 5% fav
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  2. #42
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Or so say the boys in Whitehall.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  3. #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pooh View Post
    I sold $15 and $16 calls on my VXX expiring tomorrow. If they leave that will be a very expensive mistake. I still don't see it happening though.
    There is a reason they call that trade a call stupid. No matter what happens, it is stupid.

  4. #44
    Gold MrTickle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.

    Betting markets have both remain and leave at 1.83 right now. Dead heat.

  5. #45
    Gold MrTickle's Avatar
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    I've been SJW-style campaigning for "remain" on facebook for the past 3 months and it seems all my friends (young, educated) have voted in. Like almost 100%.

  6. #46
    Puts His Dick in the Mashed Potatoes
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pooh View Post
    For all you tards following along at home here's a good link.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-b...-eu-referendum
    Here's the journal's running tally. Pretty good and you can actually access it.


    http://graphics.wsj.com/brexit-uk-re...ults/?mod=e2tw

  7. #47
    Puts His Dick in the Mashed Potatoes
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    With 28% of the vote reporting, it appears only London wants to stay in the EU. Specifically, the vote tally graphic at the journal's site is showing leave winning all of the UK except forthe tiny dot that is London.

  8. #48
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    So yea, no sleep for me. Brexit, I need to be in at 430am....

    Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot, however they are leaning in the right direction just not even close to lock. It can honestly swing either way.

    Getting like 30 emails every 10min... shit is going insane.

    I have a buddy in FX options, he's legit staying at his desk all night.

  9. #49
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post

    Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot


    Maybe! I wouldnt bet on that personally but maybe.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  10. #50
    Gold MrTickle's Avatar
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    Current odds: Leave 1.66, Remain 2.10

    Uh oh.

  11. #51
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post

    Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot


    Maybe! I wouldnt bet on that personally but maybe.
    I would take odds at stay but at this point I need like +125 (note it was -400 this morning).... I'm legit scared, but so fucking excited!

    Also, hello 2.5% mortgage IR!!!!!
    Last edited by handicapme; 06-23-2016 at 07:20 PM. Reason: added -400 odds piece

  12. #52
    Gold Wiganer's Avatar
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    most of england is dumb as fuck and those areas that aren't were too lazy to turnout, so fuck it looks like brexit.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    I stay to myself and keep out of trouble and/or potentially problematic scenarios

  13. #53
    Platinum ToasterOven's Avatar
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    Well England, I hope your aids gets better before you're ruined.

  14. #54
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    real talk, you want to bet this, take the GBP at 1.4250+ long with a stop gap at ~1.38. If it is Bremain you will see it go above 1.50.... gamble anyone?

  15. #55
    Platinum cmoney's Avatar
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    This seems a good place to monitor the vote

    http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum

    leave gaining traction
    :freelewfather

  16. #56
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by cmoney View Post
    This seems a good place to monitor the vote

    http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum
    When I left the office tonight every screen had this as well as the bloomberg terminal live update screen (don't use the bloomberg.com one)

  17. #57
    Platinum cmoney's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.

    where are you getting this from? it has been neck in neck since start and now leave looks like it is winning
    :freelewfather

  18. #58
    Platinum cmoney's Avatar
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    "Polling expert Prof John Curtice said at this stage Leave looked favourite to win the referendum. He estimates that the finishing post for one side to win is 16,813,000 votes."

    10 mins ago
    :freelewfather

  19. #59
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    The "funny" thing is this is probably the most important non us vote in our lifetimes and more people care about the NBA draft.

  20. #60
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    sonatine has officially declared the brexit referendum donkdown

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