President 2016

[backdoorb]

I remember Druff talking about Rubio being the future of the Republican party. My question is this. What's next for Rubio that can even keep his name relevant for the next four or eight years? He's a failed Senator and Florida hates his guts. The guy couldn't get elected dog catcher at this point.

Fyp

[rum dick]

There are two really fascinating scenarios that could happen tonight.

1. Every candidate wins one state. This has the possibility to happen if Hawaii goes to Rubio, Idaho to Cruz, Mississippi to Trump and Michigan to Kasich.

2. Cruz wins 3 states not named Michigan.

Both of these have the possibility to create fascinating story lines tomorrow. The second option would probably setup a Rubio exit and support of Cruz for a VP nod.

Most likely scenario

Trump - MI
Cruz - HI, ID
Tossup - MS (Probably going to Trump)

HI - A close vote between Cruz and Rubio but from reading Cruz is the only one knocking on doors and getting out the vote.

problem for rubio is even if he wins hawaii, the results will be announced long after most of the viewing public has signed off for the night and long after the narrative is established for the night. same thing happened with his minnesota win.

[MumblesBadly]

Jim Fouts is a stand up guy and a good Mayor. He helped me with some miscreant trash pickup people back in the day. He's been Mayor of Warren forever it seems. Look what he has to say about his party and the 2 slags running it:

Interesting that Warren is Michigan's third largest city. I'd have thought AA, Lansing and Flint would all be bigger.

Flint is an post-industrial wasteland. Like Detroit, the population that could leave pretty much has with the decline of the automobile plants there.

[Pooh]

I remember Druff talking about Rubio being the future of the Republican party. My question is this. What's next for Rubio that can even keep his name relevant for the next four or eight years? He's a failed Senator and Florida hates his guts. The guy couldn't get elected dog catcher at this point.

Fyp

Dog catcher is played out. I was trying to be somewhat original.

[MumblesBadly]

Another idiotic thing about Sanders' "white people don't know what it's like to live in a ghetto" comment is the fact that he's JEWISH.

Bernie's own people were living in ghettos during his lifetime.

Druff, get real. Almost everyone who lived in a ghetto in Europe has died. And in the US, Jewish businessman profitted handsomely during the era of urban redlining, a practice where most banks wouldn't lend money to black folks for housing or businesses. And the practice of redlining wasn't outlawed until the early 1970s. So, seriously, Bernie knows full well what the score was for blacks versus Jews in America not so long ago.

Heck! Sanders got arrested in Chicago in the 60s while protesting discrimination against blacks. And many Jews were promiment and vocal supporters of civil rights for blacks back in the 50s and 60s because of (1) what fellow Jews experienced under the Nazis, and (2) defending the rights of the powerless is a long-standing calling of the Jewish faith, right out of the books of the Old Testament prophets.

http://www.myjewishlearning.com/arti...ghts-movement/

Unfortunately, some folks who have inherited that legacy are a *bit* distant from understanding what it means to be of the "chosen people", as they tend to focus on ethnic identity versus the moral center of the faith. With that, I invite you to further explore that aspect of your heritage.

http://www.bodhicitta.net/Compassion...0Tradition.htm

[rum dick]

i'm hella tempted to put in a bid for this pristine unopened bottle of trump vodka.


http://www.ebay.com/itm/Trump-Vodka-...3D111929077748

[abrown83]

Looking at some of the exit polls

I would put a 5% chance that Trump wins nothing.

There would be a full on media meltdown if that happened

[4Dragons]

Interesting that Warren is Michigan's third largest city. I'd have thought AA, Lansing and Flint would all be bigger.

It's a sprawling suburb bordering Detroit. I've lived in that city probably longer than any other here. It's the home of the GM Tech Center. I see a lot of cool cars you will get to see 4 years from now.

So I ended up going by the Tech Center in Warren today and took a snap of it.

[4Dragons]

Live polling: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016...n/primaries/MS

Live primary stream cbs: http://www.cbsnews.com/live/?ftag=CNMe94798

[big dick]

poor little marco... him and his elitist jew money man must be sick to their stomach

[Sanlmar]

poor little marco... him and his elitist jew money man must be sick to their stomach

Just heard some pundit on CNN say Rubio will have trouble with Cubans in South Florida. Apparantly they are angry about his misrepresenting (lying) his Cuban story.

If Rubio can't carry Florida Cubans he needs to put a gun in his mouth.

I never understood the whole Rubio beats Hillary story. I mean who would vote for him. Apparantly no one so far.

Rubio does poorly for exactly the reason Trump is crushing. He is a GOP professional politician.

Stick around Rubio - Make America Great again.

[Dan Druff]

Shocking upset coming in Michigan?

Hillary showing up over 20 points ahead in all polls, including those released within the past few days:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...mary-5224.html

... yet Sanders leads by 4.5% right now in the counted votes.

However, a large portion of Detroit (Wayne County) has not been counted yet. Wayne County is about 41% black.

On PredictIt, Hillary went from worse than -1000 to about +200 right now. I think I'm going to fire on her.

No candidate has outperformed bad polls to that degree yet.

[Dan Druff]

Never mind. PredictIt is slooooooooow tonight. By the time I could refresh to bet on it, she's back to a fairly big favorite.

[Dan Druff]

And now she's back as a dog.

This site is so weird. Shit keeps abruptly changing within one minute to the next, without much meaningful return data coming in.

[MumblesBadly]

poor little marco... him and his elitist jew money man must be sick to their stomach

Just heard some pundit on CNN say Rubio will have trouble with Cubans in South Florida. Apparantly they are angry about his misrepresenting (lying) his Cuban story.

If Rubio can't carry Florida Cubans he needs to put a gun in his mouth.

I never understood the whole Rubio beats Hillary story. I mean who would vote for him. Apparantly no one so far.

Rubio does poorly for exactly the reason Trump is crushing. He is a GOP professional politician.

Stick around Rubio - Make America Great again.

Desparate hopes by establishment GOPers. I said awhile ago that Hillary would crush Rubio in debates if it came to that. But Mr. Rubotio never made it out the GOP playpen. LOL!

[TheXFactor]

And now she's back as a dog.

This site is so weird. Shit keeps abruptly changing within one minute to the next, without much meaningful return data coming in.

Well, you know that Hillary can bark like a dog.

[Dan Druff]

I put $150ish on Hillary at +144 a little bit ago.

Now I'm regretting it, because she's still 5 points down, even with 30% of Wayne County reporting (though she is starting to pick up steam there, as expected).

I could bail out for about half price, but fuck it... I'll just let it sit and hope for a miracle.

If she does lose Michigan, it will be a big blow, even though she still won't be in danger at all of losing the overall primary.

[larrylegend33]

I put $150ish on Hillary at +144 a little bit ago.

Now I'm regretting it, because she's still 5 points down, even with 30% of Wayne County reporting (though she is starting to pick up steam there, as expected).

I could bail out for about half price, but fuck it... I'll just let it sit and hope for a miracle.

If she does lose Michigan, it will be a big blow, even though she still won't be in danger at all of losing the overall primary.

If she loses Michigan it will will break Gary Hart's record in 1984 NH for greatest upset vs. final polling aveage. Hillary was up over 21 points, Hart 18. You are looking pretty good now

[Dan Druff]

Just threw $250 on "anyone but Trump" (aka Trump No) for Hawaii.

Can't decide whether Rubio or Cruz will win there. Trump is weaker in caucus format. Got slightly better than even money on this bet.

Hillary bet looks pretty much toast, barring an unforeseen surge.

[Dan Druff]

Hillary closing the gap now to less than 2 points.

Now I can sell for a profit on PredictIt. Probably just let it ride.

Coulda bought her at like +750 when it was looking at its most grim. I do admit it was looking bad. I don't remember the last time a candidate overcame a 5+ point deficit with 42% of precincts reporting, but I guess the racial gap here makes it a different animal.