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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #3001
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    jesus....nice intentional grounding....

    wtf
    Arizona is doing everything they can to give this game away. They should be punting with 1:20 left in the game with zero Balt TO left.

  2. #3002
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Should have bombed that 3rd and 22 to give me a chance. I only needed 16 yards lol.

    Game plan was a bit different then I thought. If someone was to tell me old ass Chris Johnson is going to run for 120+ yards including a 60+ yard play I would have laughed at them.

  3. #3003
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Im sitting here thinking of all the options they could do right there, and tossing the ball out of bounds NEVER crossed my mind, much less int grounding.

    I figured they would run it and kill 35 secs. Then maybe run and kill 40 more seconds. At the slightest chance, they could surprise them and pass it.

    that was fucking moronic. jesus. they should have thrown about 20 more passes today. They were catching them at will earlier. Nice job of choking this cover away.

  4. #3004
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  6. #3006
    Gone Fishing smiflorida's Avatar
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    Sick. What a game got burned tho..

    Regardless missing an extra pt. is not acceptable.

  7. #3007
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Sportsbook.ag. Palmer over 137.5 yards 2H -120
    170 yards in the 2H. Unfortunately not enough to get B&P a W.

    It's ok though. I got some solid data on what the K's props should look like in game 1+2, maybe we catch the odds makers sleeping before we hit them Thursday night.

  8. #3008
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post
    Jets -1.5 max bet. Such an overreaction to this past weekend. This line is so fucked up I just don't understand it. The advance line had jets -3.5...
    Every sharp in Vegas would gladly take Oakland at home with 3 and a hook.

    Oakland teased up to 7.5 will be a popular play.
    I'll gladly give you oakland +3.5 at -145 (note currently my book has +3.5 at -180)... Let me know if you want some action.

  9. #3009
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Every sharp in Vegas would gladly take Oakland at home with 3 and a hook.

    Oakland teased up to 7.5 will be a popular play.
    I'll gladly give you oakland +3.5 at -145 (note currently my book has +3.5 at -180)... Let me know if you want some action.
    How about we both bet the Cooper under yards and both make money. Besides I'd rather tease to 7.5 than pay -145. Anyone who pays -180 hates $$.

     
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      handicapme: +1

  10. #3010
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    If your book has GB -2.5 and you haven't mortgaged your house yet, you might be retarded
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  11. #3011
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post

    I'll gladly give you oakland +3.5 at -145 (note currently my book has +3.5 at -180)... Let me know if you want some action.
    How about we both bet the Cooper under yards and both make money. Besides I'd rather tease to 7.5 than pay -145. Anyone who pays -180 hates $$.
    100% agree to this. Let me know what you cap it at and i'll take the under, will share the wealth over paypal if I cash.

  12. #3012
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    If your book has GB -2.5 and you haven't mortgaged your house yet, you might be retarded
    Make another thread?

  13. #3013
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Sports / Horses
    Tue, October 27, 2015
    BetBet DateBet Type#TeamGame DateRiskWin
    60027198 10/27/15
    06:41PM Straight 4608 Total Points - Pau Gasol - Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls
    Under
    17½ -125 10/27/15
    08:05PM 250 200
    Grand Total 250200

    Full disclosure here. I don't do my own NBA work. I got a good friend in the prop community that does it for me. He's 65% last year on these so I trust them enough to recommend them.

     
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      ThreeBet: ty
      
      smiflorida: Nice pick
      
      unchainedghost: Followed as well, thanks

  14. #3014
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    @ESPNStatsInfo: Pau Gasol held scoreless in the FIRST half for the first time since January 6, 2009 against the Pelicans (then known as the Hornets)

  15. #3015
    Gone Fishing smiflorida's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    @ESPNStatsInfo: Pau Gasol held scoreless in the FIRST half for the first time since January 6, 2009 against the Pelicans (then known as the Hornets)
    My stats say 2pts all game for ole Pau.

    Damn nice pick Daly/your prop friend!!

  16. #3016
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    DanDruff, are you betting NBA this year?

  17. #3017
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Not a fan of using bankroll on even money "long term" propositions, but Gurley at even $ to win OROTY has to be plus EV.

    Only other guy close is Cooper.

  18. #3018
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

    You fuckers should load up on second half Eagles. Not to be the bad beat guy, but every fucking team I bet can't hold on to the ball. Browns -3 TO differential. Steelers -3 TO differential. Panthers at -1 through first half. When I have the energy I'm going to go through this thread, figure out how many standard deviations I'm off of average, then shoot myself in the head. The minute I bet you, they lather your entire body in Crisco
    Give in BCR. Admit you can't beat sides And totals (neither can I) Start to look into prop betting where you have a chance.

    You're 100% correct. I have taken note of your prop bet success. Isn't it just a shell game of small bets before your account gets shut down? I ask that with the knowledge of booking 5k of wins and getting closed up is far better than bleeding off every week like I presently am. I'm super paranoid about places keeping my money because they have before back in the day. Are you always collecting before they collar you? If so, I may jump on your train. My losing has become an annoyance

  19. #3019
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Sports / Horses
    Tue, October 27, 2015
    BetBet DateBet Type#TeamGame DateRiskWin
    60027198 10/27/15
    06:41PM Straight 4608 Total Points - Pau Gasol - Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls
    Under
    17½ -125 10/27/15
    08:05PM 250 200
    Grand Total 250200

    Full disclosure here. I don't do my own NBA work. I got a good friend in the prop community that does it for me. He's 65% last year on these so I trust them enough to recommend them.

    What dick do I have to suck to hop on the train as well

  20. #3020
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Any thoughts on tonight's NE v MIA game?

    I know MIA is looking "hot" right now, but they essentially played/beat two weak teams. The game is AT NE, and NE just beat a decent NYJ team by about the same spread. I have to think MIA cant stop the passing attack, provided Brady continues to pass to the same handful or more of receivers.

    I dont know how the weather is/will be for passing though. Its cold and raining and windy here in the midwest over the past few days. Its 75 there right now, and will probably down into the 50s later, but they have 25mph winds, so that may be a slight issue.

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