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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #981
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Is this real life. Bovada not offering second half Line in sac milwaukee. I want to pound milwaukee

  2. #982
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Found it under live betting

  3. #983
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    YES!

    So far I got 2 out of 3....now I just need the Bucks to simply win


    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
    NFL WEEK 16
    (102) Jacksonville Jaguars -4½, Thu@8:25p (Win)


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (503) New Orleans Pelicans +4½ (-105), Thu@8:35p (Win)



    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
    (505) Milwaukee Bucks +270 Dec 18/14@10:05p
    Competitor: (506) Sacramento Kings

  4. #984
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Who do you guys like the 2nd half of the Warriors game.

  5. #985
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Codizzle View Post
    Who do you guys like the 2nd half of the Warriors game.
    okc

  6. #986
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Should we assume druff is still on the phone with bovada?

    Come on milwaukee. Ended up making 3 bets on them and second half spread popped up a minute beforequest tip

  7. #987
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Codizzle View Post
    Who do you guys like the 2nd half of the Warriors game.
    okc
    Even with Durant having a sore ankle?

    GSW -2 2nd half.

    Also I'd likely take under 105 if someone forced me to pick.

  8. #988
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    Should we assume druff is still on the phone with bovada?

    Come on milwaukee. Ended up making 3 bets on them and second half spread popped up a minute beforequest tip
    He's on the phone with Daly negotiating payment terms.

    Last I heard $3 weekly for a year. Daly charging big juice.

  9. #989
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well at least Bovada did me a favor by having a shitty line all day.

    Still don't understand what they are accomplishing by making it 4.5 for BGC. If a ton of money is going on the Houston side, and they are moving the line to prevent that, why are they NOT encouraging certain players to also bet that way? Doesn't make sense to me.

    Record now 35-27-3.

  10. #990
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    Should we assume druff is still on the phone with bovada?

    Come on milwaukee. Ended up making 3 bets on them and second half spread popped up a minute beforequest tip
    Milwaukee has killed the spread this year. They've quietly gone 18-8 ATS despite only a mediocre overall record.

    I almost went with them tonight but decided not to.

  11. #991
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well at least Bovada did me a favor by having a shitty line all day.

    Still don't understand what they are accomplishing by making it 4.5 for BGC. If a ton of money is going on the Houston side, and they are moving the line to prevent that, why are they NOT encouraging certain players to also bet that way? Doesn't make sense to me.

    Record now 35-27-3.
    I think if someone bets a lot of favs you will get higher lines, if someone is mixing up play you get lower lines etc.. Not exactly sure how it works or how they do it but I have been told from few people there are 2 sets of lines

  12. #992
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gordman View Post
    YES!

    So far I got 2 out of 3....now I just need the Bucks to simply win


    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
    NFL WEEK 16
    (102) Jacksonville Jaguars -4½, Thu@8:25p (Win)


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (503) New Orleans Pelicans +4½ (-105), Thu@8:35p (Win)



    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
    (505) Milwaukee Bucks +270 Dec 18/14@10:05p
    Competitor: (506) Sacramento Kings


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
    (505) Milwaukee Bucks +270, Thu@10:05p (Win)

    Weeeeeeeeee! Best part about the Bucks game (IMO) is I risked a tiny amount of money for a much larger reward.

  13. #993
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well at least Bovada did me a favor by having a shitty line all day.

    Still don't understand what they are accomplishing by making it 4.5 for BGC. If a ton of money is going on the Houston side, and they are moving the line to prevent that, why are they NOT encouraging certain players to also bet that way? Doesn't make sense to me.

    Record now 35-27-3.
    I think if someone bets a lot of favs you will get higher lines, if someone is mixing up play you get lower lines etc.. Not exactly sure how it works or how they do it but I have been told from few people there are 2 sets of lines
    There are clearly at least 2 sets of lines, but I'm wondering what they get out of it.

    I am wondering if there might be a lot more than 2 sets of lines, and perhaps they tailor certain lines based upon people's betting patterns.

    So maybe they noticed BGC likes to fire on small road underdogs, and they decided they are going to punish him by setting the line 0.5 points worse.

    Otherwise it makes no sense, as moving the line 0.5 one way has the reverse effect on the other side. Furthermore, they actually WANT his action, sharp or not, if they have disproportionate money on one side.

  14. #994
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well at least Bovada did me a favor by having a shitty line all day.

    Still don't understand what they are accomplishing by making it 4.5 for BGC. If a ton of money is going on the Houston side, and they are moving the line to prevent that, why are they NOT encouraging certain players to also bet that way? Doesn't make sense to me.

    Record now 35-27-3.
    I think if someone bets a lot of favs you will get higher lines, if someone is mixing up play you get lower lines etc.. Not exactly sure how it works or how they do it but I have been told from few people there are 2 sets of lines
    Likely a combo due to Druff betting a higher # of faves AND for large avg $ amounts. Betting 700/game probably isn't that common. He's not the biggest whale, but definitely above avg.

  15. #995
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    I think if someone bets a lot of favs you will get higher lines, if someone is mixing up play you get lower lines etc.. Not exactly sure how it works or how they do it but I have been told from few people there are 2 sets of lines
    There are clearly at least 2 sets of lines, but I'm wondering what they get out of it.

    I am wondering if there might be a lot more than 2 sets of lines, and perhaps they tailor certain lines based upon people's betting patterns.

    So maybe they noticed BGC likes to fire on small road underdogs, and they decided they are going to punish him by setting the line 0.5 points worse.

    Otherwise it makes no sense, as moving the line 0.5 one way has the reverse effect on the other side. Furthermore, they actually WANT his action, sharp or not, if they have disproportionate money on one side.
    Well I used to take some bets and I would always bump the favorites for certain guys that would only bet favorites. It wasn't about balancing action. It was about knowing what they were betting before they called so no matter what I got between .5 and 2 points of equity on every bet they made.

  16. #996
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    I think if someone bets a lot of favs you will get higher lines, if someone is mixing up play you get lower lines etc.. Not exactly sure how it works or how they do it but I have been told from few people there are 2 sets of lines
    Likely a combo due to Druff betting a higher # of faves AND for large avg $ amounts. Betting 700/game probably isn't that common. He's not the biggest whale, but definitely above avg.
    I didn't get anything changed on Bovada.

    It was BGC who has the different lines.

  17. #997
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    I think if someone bets a lot of favs you will get higher lines, if someone is mixing up play you get lower lines etc.. Not exactly sure how it works or how they do it but I have been told from few people there are 2 sets of lines
    Likely a combo due to Druff betting a higher # of faves AND for large avg $ amounts. Betting 700/game probably isn't that common. He's not the biggest whale, but definitely above avg.

    Druff had their standard line that is tracked on sbrodds. I'm the one with the weird one. I guess I have tinfoil hat line. I've seen it before where I was showing a different line than sbrodds but I just thought sbrodds.Com was behind. Like druff I'm not understanding it. I will post a screen shot if my nba odds tomorrow to see if their are any differences.

  18. #998
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    All I know is that after hitting a parlay for 10K last year I've gotten zero bonuses.

  19. #999
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Generally I think they want 50 % on each side , but it never works out that way and I don't think they put overstock into making sure that happens.

    I think most sportsbooks especially big ones like Bovada are making the majority of their money from degens betting parlays/ bad teases/ and chasing losses or when someone gets hot and has no control they fire till they lose. Add in this type of bettor is probably betting favorites , they juice the lines here and there and eventually this type of bettor gets clobbered.

  20. #1000
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Generally I think they want 50 % on each side , but it never works out that way and I don't think they put overstock into making sure that happens.

    I think most sportsbooks especially big ones like Bovada are making the majority of their money from degens betting parlays/ bad teases/ and chasing losses or when someone gets hot and has no control they fire till they lose. Add in this type of bettor is probably betting favorites , they juice the lines here and there and eventually this type of bettor gets clobbered.
    Are you saying that they juice the favorites in general, and only un-juice them for perceived sharps?

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