*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[BeerAndPoker]

Going to try a 10 point teaser again this week for the early games and rolling with this:

12/14/2014 - ONLINE at 03:03 AM

[Ticket #: 194891220] 3 Team Football Teaser 10 points

12/14/2014 @ 10:00 AM NFL [305] TOTAL o31½-110 (B+10)
(OAKLAND vrs KANSAS CITY)
12/14/2014 @ 10:00 AM NFL [307] JACKSONVILLE +24-116 (B+10)
12/14/2014 @ 10:00 AM NFL [311] TOTAL o39-110 (B+10)
(HOUSTON vrs INDIANAPOLIS)

Just FYI, teasers are a terrrrrrrrrrible value unless you follow those very specific 'Wong" rules, and nowadays even that's not +EV due to reduced odds.

That's why advantage bettors got away with the +EV Wong teasers for so long. The house figured, "Teasers are such a big edge for us, how could anyone possibly beat it?"

I don't play them that often anymore but have the past few weeks where I've played one a week.

I was 2-1 but now will be 2-2 so yeah I will be down the 20% vig each time for 0.8 units once I lose this one which was looking like a lock at half time then no scoring in the Houston/Indy game in the second half.


GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Dan Druff]

Two picks today.

Lakers/Minnesota - Over 212.5 - There was a similar (but higher) line on November 28th, and these two defense-challenged teams scored 239 points. On average, the Lakers have allowed 110 points, and Minnesota has allowed 109. So why is the line only 212.5? Both teams have had a bit of an issue scoring recently. Minnesota was held to 86 by Golden State, 82 by Portland, and 92 by OKC. In fact, in the 8 games since that Lakers meeting, the Wolves have scored over 101 in regulation just once. The Lakers went 5 straight games without scoring 100, until finally putting 101 up in regulation last time out. So that's the reason for the reduced line. However, both teams are still giving up a lot of points, and now they're facing each other. So it's not that their defense has improved -- they just aren't scoring as much against teams that can play defense. These are two fast-paced, low-defense squads, and I like a line like 212.5. This is also a fairly even matchup, so OT is also a possibility.

Toronto -7 -105 at New York - Toronto has continued to roll despite missing DeRozan, only seemingly having trouble with Cleveland (who beat them twice). The Knicks dropped 10 in a row before finally punching out Boston last night. But Boston (7-14) is a far cry from Toronto (17-6), and I see a return to their losing ways. The line started as -5.5 but has moved to -7, but I still like it.

I bet Toronto -6.5 (770 to win 700) on Bovada.

Lakers/Min is 213, so I will wait. Bovada doesn't do half points in O/U games (not sure why), so they will use the -105/-115 thing to compensate for that. However, right now it's 213 -110 there, so I'll wait. Public money has favored under here, so I don't expect it to go up.

[DRK Star]

If you wagered on the number of buttholes eaten today at Ford Field, and the over/under was 1, you pushed


http://deadspin.com/butthole-eaten-a...ate-1670931368

[lewfather]

If you wagered on the number of buttholes eaten today at Ford Field, and the over/under was 1, you pushed


http://deadspin.com/butthole-eaten-a...ate-1670931368

lmao you just beat me to this

[lewfather]

Lions playing for first place, down 14-0 to the fucking vikings.

rofl

Stafford looking worse than usual, apparently he had a cold all week.

[BeerAndPoker]

Lions playing for first place, down 14-0 to the fucking vikings.

rofl

Stafford looking worse than usual, apparently he had a cold all week.

Golden Tate with the TD braj you should have played him in fantasy.

[lewfather]

Shoutout to Teddy Bridgewater lol another INT.

Tate only has 9 points so far BTW, Roddy White ended up with like 18.8. Not that he doesn't stand a chance to beat that out but the Vikings gifted that TD.

[Dan Druff]

Got Lakers/Min over 213 -105.

[Dan Druff]

Just fired 805 to win 700 on Was 2nd half -9 -115.

They are down 42-37 at the half against awful Utah. I don't see it staying that way.

[lewfather]

Lions playing for first place, down 14-0 to the fucking vikings.

rofl

Stafford looking worse than usual, apparently he had a cold all week.

Golden Tate with the TD braj you should have played him in fantasy.

splitting hairs here but Roddy White ended up with 18.8 and Tate finished with 17.

Don't think it'll matter anyways, I'm already up and I still have Forte, Alshon, Jordan Matthews and Mark Ingram.

[varys]

I don't know how to post animated gifs from my iPad but that savage/foster nonhandoff should be a :thing

[lewfather]

which one lol

[Dan Druff]

Washington halftime bet looking like a lock.

Of the blowout halftime variety, I'm gonna go with Phoenix -2, who is losing 70-48 at the half to okc.

[Dan Druff]

Toronto up by 7 in OT, NY sinks meaningless shot with 6 secs left.



Lost other two, as well.

1-3 day

29-24-3 is my record now.

[Dan Druff]

Ugly day yesterday.

Boston -5 at Philly - Boston isn't a good team They're 7-14, and they just lost to the lowly knicks. However, the 76ers are the worst team in the NBA (2-21), and I like a line as low as -5 against them. The 76ers are getting credit for taking the tough Grizzlies to OT (and losing) on Saturday, but this is still a really bad team, and Boston should crush them.

Boston/Philly - Under 205.5 - The 76ers scored fewer than 80 points in 3 of their last 6 games. Not just fewer than 90 or 100, but fewer than 80! They are capable of the occasional high scoring output, such as Saturday night's 109 in regulation against Detroit. But that's much more the exception than the rule. Philly is last in the NBA in scoring. Boston has improved defensively, allowing fewer than 100 points in regulation in 4 of their last 6 contests. I really like such a high total here, as this has a lot of ingredients for a low or average scoring affair.

Lakers/Indiana - Under 199.5 - Indiana has scored the following in their last 8 games (all losses): 97, 99, 82, 101 (OT), 92, 96, 94, 85. Not a single regulation game of 100 or more. The Lakers, once a guaranteed high scorer, has had trouble putting up big numbers lately. They've gone 7 straight games with 101 or fewer points in regulation. Lakers are also back-to-back on the road. This looks like it will go well under 200.

Bet 880 to win 800 on Boston.

Not going for the two unders yet, as the Bovada line is 1/2 point worse than it should be in both cases. Bovada doesn't do half points, but they make up for it with -105, and they haven't done that yet.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

Dudes what did Mike Malone really do to get fired at Sacramento? My Kings fan buddy told me this and I instantly told them that their must be more to the story. My first guess was he fucked an owners daughter or grand daughter and wasn't granted the Phill Jackson Buss ticket.

[Dan Druff]

Combination of the Maloofs not liking him much and the 2-7 run they're on.

Ownership is too out of touch to understand how much Cousins means to this team. They just assume that when the team loses 7 of 9, including 3 to bad teams, it's time to fire someone.

Really unfair, but that's coaching/managing for you. You often get fucked when things aren't going well, and too much credit when they are.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

Combination of the Maloofs not liking him much and the 2-7 run they're on.

Ownership is too out of touch to understand how much Cousins means to this team. They just assume that when the team loses 7 of 9, including 3 to bad teams, it's time to fire someone.

Really unfair, but that's coaching/managing for you. You often get fucked when things aren't going well, and too much credit when they are.

With all due respect he absolutely fucked up in a bad way that hasn't been reported on yet. This doesn't happen. I forgot the Maloofs still owned them. I'm also not buying them not recognizing Cousins importance. If anyone should have been fired at anytime for basketball reasons it should have been when they agreed to pay Rudy Gay. He's fun to watch but I wouldn't want him to be the go to guy down the stretch on my team.

[chinamaniac]

The Maloofs dont own the kings anymore

On May 16, 2013, the Maloof family reached agreement to sell the Sacramento Kings to a group led by Silicon Valley tech entrepreneur Vivek Ranadivé for a record NBA franchise valuation of $535 million.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

The Maloofs dont own the kings anymore

On May 16, 2013, the Maloof family reached agreement to sell the Sacramento Kings to a group led by Silicon Valley tech entrepreneur Vivek Ranadivé for a record NBA franchise valuation of $535 million.

yeah yeah yeah something like that was in the back of my head but I disregarded because I don't fact check druff. Does Vivek have any attractive daughters or grand daughters? I still have an out for being right.