7 pt teaser. Going for it all
Indianapolis Colts -7 (-105) Pick
Over 49 (-115) Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts 42
Detroit Lions -7½ -½
Cincinnati Bengals Pick +7
Seattle Seahawks -10 (-105) -3
Risk 500 To Win 1625 @ +325
7 pt teaser. Going for it all
Indianapolis Colts -7 (-105) Pick
Over 49 (-115) Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts 42
Detroit Lions -7½ -½
Cincinnati Bengals Pick +7
Seattle Seahawks -10 (-105) -3
Risk 500 To Win 1625 @ +325
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Only God can judge me. So either LOVE ME or LEAVE ME ALONE"
IG- Changethegame71 tell me more about how much you hate me, even though you know you can't help but follow me
Hasn't been a great week for me in the NBA. After a hot streak, I've gone just 4-6 in my last 10, and did not post a single winning day. Took yesterday off.
Let's get back on the horse.
Portland -5 -105 at Indiana - Both teams are back-to-back, and Portland is back-to-back on the road. But there's no comparison between these two teams. Indiana (7-16) is awful, and has lost 7 in a row. Portland is 17-6, though they have lost 2 in a row. I like the 5-point line on this one. Is is only -5 because Portland is back-to-back on the road, and because Portland only beat Indiana by 6 when they faced each other in Portland on December 4.
Houston -7.5 vs. Denver - Denver has been bad against good teams on the road. Much of mediocre Denver's advantage comes from their high-altitude home floor. On the road, they aren't the same team. (Utah has this factor, as well.) Houston is getting Howard back today, and Ariza is also likely to play. This game is off the board at some books, due to the uncertainty regarding Howard and Ariza (though they probably will play).
Houston/Denver - Under 204.5 - Houston has gone UNDER in the vast majority of games so far this year, and they would have gone under last time if they hadn't gone into OT. Howard brings more to defense than he does offense, especially after a long time out. Houston has been great at keeping the score low against normally-high-scoring squads, hence the reason for so many unders hitting. The public also loves this line, as it has moved from 206.5 to 204.5. Note that this might be off the board at your book.
Sacramento -6 -105 - I hate picking the Kings without Cousins, as they suck, but this is really more against Detroit. The Pistons are terrible. Their 4-19 record is second-worst in the NBA, and they even recently suffered the indignity of a loss to Philadelphia (1-20 against everyone else). Here you get Sac at home, and even without Cousins, they're worlds better than Detroit. Still doubting this is a good line? Sacramento was +0 against a 16-4 Houston team their last time out, and they indeed finished regulation in a tie! Sac took a tough loss in OT against the Rockets. Look for them to come back here and smack down this weak opponent. Disclosure: Public is on the other side here, line was -7.
Sacrameto/Detroit - Under 195 - Detroit has one of the worst offenses in the NBA. They also have a slow pace and have only allowed 98 ppg. Sacramento has problems scoring without Cousins. In six of their last 8, they didn't score more than 96 in regulation. I see this one as a low scoring affair.
Placed the following bets:
735 to win 700 on Portland -5 -105
770 to win 700 on Sac -5.5 (got extra 1/2 point here on Bovada)
770 to win 700 on Sac/Detroit Under 195
Houston/Denver is off the board on Bovada.
Just went back on the board at Bovada.
Bet 770 to win 700 on BOTH
Houston -7.5
Houston/Den - Under 204
So that's 5 bets today.
Hope it works out.
58-38 Por at half.
Bet Indiana -3.5 in 2nd half, trying to middle this.
So far, not good on that half bet.
Por jumps out another 7, but maybe trash time will take this down to 16 where I need it.
Despite the bad start to the 2nd half, the rest of the game went exactly as I hoped/expected.
95-85 Portland, so I won both the initial pick and the halftime bet.
After starting off terribly (down 32-21), Houston came roaring back, finishing out the half on a 33-16 run. 54-48 at halftime. My under of 204 is looking marginal, with the game on pace for exactly 204.
Right now Hou 74-64 with 2 min left in the 3rd.
PLEASE hold (both under and Hou).
Houston wins 108-96.
Spread pick wins, under ties. Under looked screwed but nobody scored in the last minute or so, and tie was preserved.
Clinched a winning day at 3-0-1 so far.
Detroit/Sac tied up at 27 with 10 min left in the 2nd.
My fevered dreams of a 5-0-1 day are going to need a bit of help.
67-60 nearing the end of the 3rd.
Under looking good, but Sac needs to win by 6, which is a longshot at this point.
You were right, garett. My Sac/Det spread pick was "less than marginal", even though I liked it at the time. I felt if they could hang with a good Houston team for 4 quarters, they could crush 4-20 Detroit, especially while at home.
Nope.
What an embarrassment of a team. They really do suck balls without Cousins.
At least I was totally right about the under. A Cousins-free Sac team and a horrible-scoring Detroit team was indeed likely to yield fewer than 195 points.
It's 88-79 Det with 34 seconds left. I think I can declare this a split and chalk the day up to 4-1-1.
Overall record now 28-21-3.
Going to try a 10 point teaser again this week for the early games and rolling with this:
12/14/2014 - ONLINE at 03:03 AM
[Ticket #: 194891220] 3 Team Football Teaser 10 points
12/14/2014 @ 10:00 AM NFL [305] TOTAL o31½-110 (B+10)
(OAKLAND vrs KANSAS CITY)
12/14/2014 @ 10:00 AM NFL [307] JACKSONVILLE +24-116 (B+10)
12/14/2014 @ 10:00 AM NFL [311] TOTAL o39-110 (B+10)
(HOUSTON vrs INDIANAPOLIS)
Cleveland vs. Cinci OVER 44 @ (-100)
Pretty awesome for even money... Would have posted this in that workers party thread, but seems to have died off. Know most you all read this too so...
And nice run last night druff, at first glance the Det/Sac selection just kinda confused me a bit given Cousins was out etc.
SF (+10)...what am I missing here? that seems like an insane amount of points to be giving a competent team...
several weeks ago, when Seattle was struggling, it came out in the press that they had a "come to Jesus" moment, and all the team leaders met to go over, and put away their issues for the year. They have totally refocused and are determined to win the superbowl.
SF on the other hand, is spiraling. Coach issues, QB issues, and no focus on football, just the crap surrounding them.
Just me, but I would play Seattle at home on this one.
In Chicago, their own QB coach sold out Cutler to the press, and the stories have been ugly all week. The guy was weeping in the locker room. Cutler tried to cover for him, but the reality is that the coach has lost this team at this point. They dont have much to play for now. Guys probably will not give their "all", as they dont want to get hurt and have no shot at the postseason. New Orleans (do they still, numerically, have a shot at the playoffs?) is progressing. Its not even "Bear Weather" over here this weekend...its going to be in the 40's. N.O. FTW.
I just can't pass this up.
Packers -2.5 1H
That blocked FG must be pissing you off right about now.Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
(•_•) ..
∫\ \___( •_•)
_∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \
Yeah they better make it up on this drive especially cause Crosby has the leg to nail 53 yarders all day long.That blocked FG must be pissing you off right about now.
FUCK! They got to punt.
LOL Johnny Football. What a tard.
Just FYI, teasers are a terrrrrrrrrrible value unless you follow those very specific 'Wong" rules, and nowadays even that's not +EV due to reduced odds.
That's why advantage bettors got away with the +EV Wong teasers for so long. The house figured, "Teasers are such a big edge for us, how could anyone possibly beat it?"
There are currently 2 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 2 guests)
Reply With Quote
