Anti-DN/Ivey pool?

[simpdog]

Average field size at the 2013 WSOP was 1,281. It will probably be bigger this year, but let's be conservative and assume it's the same.

Your average break-even player has a 0.07% chance of winning each event. But Phil Ivey is a superhuman genius and can will himself to win flips via telekinesis, or maybe edge sorting, so he has an ungodly 600% ROI and 0.4% chance to win each event.

If he plays a grueling 45 event schedule, that gives him a 16.6% chance of winning a bracelet.

If we assume that Daniel Negreanu is equally god-like and puts in the same volume, we're still big favorites to win.

Right so this runs with the more recent data of they are 2/6 in the last 6 years.

Problem is you also can't do this bet every year for 50 yrs to gain the EV. This is a one time deal.