Quote Originally Posted by Corrigan View Post
Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
Even if I was wrong twice for 99.9% there is such thing as variance , run it a millions times it will most likely even out

Yeah but now that the results are in, you can do a bayesian estimation: which is more likely - that the 1 in 1,000 chance came in, or that your original estimation was off? The answer is pretty obvious without doing any math, and it is not close at all. Was probably a 90-95% thing rather than a 99.9% thing. Whatever, I don't really give a shit, but getting my FTP $ would be nice.

China is still god, though.
YOUR RIGHT CORRIGAN

I agree it was prob 95 ish

And I thin plol asked me how many times have u said 99.9 in your life and not been wrong, prob not any, this was an instance for sure but again it wasnt my wording

good one