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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #42861
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    Pray for overtime.

    Actually you probably need 2 OT’s at this point

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by go_buccos View Post
    Pray for overtime.

    Actually you probably need 2 OT’s at this point
    That pick was a gigantic fail.

    We shall never speak of it again.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, so this is odd. From what I can tell, Utah just made a 2.5 point totals jump for no apparent reason. It was at 240.5, now 243. Game starts in 25 minutes.

    I'm guessing a syndicate piled big money into the over. I've been hearing rumors that this has been happening on these Utah games specifically.

    Last time this occurred, Utah easily covered the over. So despite the lack of CLV, I'm going with it.

    However, I'm going to first-half it. The line is -19 for the game, so it's highly likely to be a blowout. This means not only won't there be late game fouling, but the 4th will probably feature scrubs who don't score much.

    Utah at Oklahoma City - Over 118 -110 - FIRST HALF

  4. #42864
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Awful.

    109 points at the 1:53 mark. Favorite to win at this point. 2 points come in after that, despite both teams being able to take free throws if fouled.


  5. #42865
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    Looks like Utah has a decent shot of going over full game. Oops.

    Anyway here’s another one:

    Houston at Portland - Under 221.5 -110

  6. #42866
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    I had Toronto -2 and Orlando -2.

    They both won by 1 point.

    WTF.

  7. #42867
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    Ncaa semi finals.

    I think tonight Miami Ole miss is a coin toss. Same with the total.

    That fletcher rushing got bid from 80 yards to 100. He could do it but 100 yards vs a SEC defense is a tall order.

    This is a value stab I took

    Miami Florida vs Mississippi 1st TD Scorer - Elija Lofton +2400

    Tomorrow night is a classic RLM opportunity in a big game. Whole world is on Indiana -4. The line hit -3 at one point. Give me ducks. I hate this bet which means its gold.

    When the news broke about the Ducks RB1 for yards broke I took these for value

    Oregon vs Indiana - Most Rushing Yards - Noah Whittington +400
    Semi Finals - Most Rushing Yards - Noah Whittington +1000

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    Utah vs Dallas - Over 242 -110

  9. #42869
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    I am up 20 units this month. I willing to punt a few on NFL.

    The Patriots play in Foxboro Sunday night at 8pm. It'll be 33 degrees and clear - 10 mph breeze at kickoff. I would like to feign interest. Chargers are dome stadium fairy boys? I have no idea.

    Thoughts? Any feel for how it will close Sunday? If I buy now and have a ‘lil CLV later I can live with myself for betting NFL

  10. #42870
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I am up 20 units this month. I willing to punt a few on NFL.

    The Patriots play in Foxboro Sunday night at 8pm. It'll be 33 degrees and clear - 10 mph breeze at kickoff. I would like to feign interest. Chargers are dome stadium fairy boys? I have no idea.

    Thoughts? Any feel for how it will close Sunday? If I buy now and have a ‘lil CLV later I can live with myself for betting NFL
    --Well, they aren't generally regarded as a "soft warm weather" team, probably because of the personality of the coach and QB. No one would ever put McDaniels/Tua in the same category as Harbaugh/Herbert.

    It looks like they only played one meaningful cold weather game all year (night game at KC in December that was much colder than Foxborough will be) and decisively won it. So do with that information what you will.

    That being said mainly because of Chargers having a lot of injuries the Patriots on paper seem to be the far superior team. But a lot of unknowables and variance, so who knows?

  11. #42871
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Ncaa semi finals.

    I think tonight Miami Ole miss is a coin toss. Same with the total.

    That fletcher rushing got bid from 80 yards to 100. He could do it but 100 yards vs a SEC defense is a tall order.

    This is a value stab I took

    Miami Florida vs Mississippi 1st TD Scorer - Elija Lofton +2400

    Tomorrow night is a classic RLM opportunity in a big game. Whole world is on Indiana -4. The line hit -3 at one point. Give me ducks. I hate this bet which means its gold.

    When the news broke about the Ducks RB1 for yards broke I took these for value

    Oregon vs Indiana - Most Rushing Yards - Noah Whittington +400
    Semi Finals - Most Rushing Yards - Noah Whittington +1000
    Should we play over whittington on passing 12. 5 and rushing 52.5?

  12. #42872
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I am up 20 units this month. I willing to punt a few on NFL.

    The Patriots play in Foxboro Sunday night at 8pm. It'll be 33 degrees and clear - 10 mph breeze at kickoff. I would like to feign interest. Chargers are dome stadium fairy boys? I have no idea.

    Thoughts? Any feel for how it will close Sunday? If I buy now and have a ‘lil CLV later I can live with myself for betting NFL
    --Well, they aren't generally regarded as a "soft warm weather" team, probably because of the personality of the coach and QB. No one would ever put McDaniels/Tua in the same category as Harbaugh/Herbert.

    It looks like they only played one meaningful cold weather game all year (night game at KC in December that was much colder than Foxborough will be) and decisively won it. So do with that information what you will.

    That being said mainly because of Chargers having a lot of injuries the Patriots on paper seem to be the far superior team. But a lot of unknowables and variance, so who knows?
    I’m drawn to a future. Eyeing Patriots conference winner +430

  13. #42873
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    I don't mind this for NE on Sunday

    Anytime TD henderson +125
    Maye over 24.5 rushing yds -110



    NHL tonight
    Wash/Chi under 6.5 -120
    Kings -125 . One of the best road records in NHL
    St Louis +150 ml

  14. #42874
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    Quote Originally Posted by Michael Jackson View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Ncaa semi finals.

    I think tonight Miami Ole miss is a coin toss. Same with the total.

    That fletcher rushing got bid from 80 yards to 100. He could do it but 100 yards vs a SEC defense is a tall order.

    This is a value stab I took

    Miami Florida vs Mississippi 1st TD Scorer - Elija Lofton +2400

    Tomorrow night is a classic RLM opportunity in a big game. Whole world is on Indiana -4. The line hit -3 at one point. Give me ducks. I hate this bet which means its gold.

    When the news broke about the Ducks RB1 for yards broke I took these for value

    Oregon vs Indiana - Most Rushing Yards - Noah Whittington +400
    Semi Finals - Most Rushing Yards - Noah Whittington +1000
    Should we play over whittington on passing 12. 5 and rushing 52.5?

    Im sure its adjusted. If you had shots to win at 10-1 it would have been worth it

  15. #42875
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    Not sure this is necessarily actionable info, but Atlanta has been taken over by Indiana fans. It’s kind of shocking to me how much so. They’re everywhere. It will be close to a home crowd for them tonight. Do what you want with this information.

     
    Comments
      
      Pablo:

  16. #42876
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    Note: I have been rather cold in NBA lately.

    But I do like this one.

    Phoenix vs New York - Under 229 -110

  17. #42877
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    71 point 2nd quarter. I was pumping gas and let out an audible groan when I saw this at halftime.

    This left the total at 122, and it looked bleak. Looked even bleaker after another 58 fell in the 3rd, leaving it at 180 in what was only a 6-point game. However, only 27 points came in during the first 9 minutes of the 4th, and despite a lot of fouling in the final minute, it was a lock to win as long as it ended in regulation, and it did. Only 39 points in the 4th, and I came away easily covering by 10 points.

    Nice to get one of these which was a large dog to win after 3 quarters.

  18. #42878
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    My "gut" feeling picks for wild card

    LAR -10
    HOU ML
    hou/lar ml parlay

  19. #42879
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    LOL. Just took a pretty big CBB beat that no one who isn't deep in the sports betting world will care about. Definitely will make Van Pelt's show.

    Anyways, South Carolina is +4.5. And it is a tight game, but Georgia pulls away at the end due to fouling and free throws. Whatever. Normal CBB stuff.

    Anyways. With 4 seconds left Georgia is up 3 with the ball. Guy gets found and hits a couple free throws to go up 5. If they miss one of the free throws I win the bet right there, but they dont, so here we are.

    Regardless, game is effectively over. And Georgia concedes a wide open layup, no contest at all, and the S. Car. guy just completely misses the layup.

    So Georgia covers off a missed wide open layup at end of game. Brutal.

  20. #42880
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    As much as I believe this team has no consistency, I think the Bears' charmed season is going to come to an end here.

    Green Bay -2 at Chicago

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