Originally Posted by Dan Druff
the bills look like shit. not the old bills.
the bills look like shit. not the old bills.
We have a lot of inconsistent good teams this year. Need to watch out.
This is exactly the type of spot you don't take Bills:
- On the road
- Line less than a TD
- Line moved from 6.5 to 4.5
I feel pretty confident about Seattle this week. Their losses have been 49ers (though game 1), Bucs, and Rams this past Sunday. They have taken care of the failteams they've faced, including the below-average ones. Some of these were on the road.
Again, it's the NFL, so you never know when an upset will happen, but this week worries me much less than last week.
Thanksgiving week? Now that will be a bit tougher. Especially because we have to win two. If Burrow isn't BACK, there's a high chance I'm taking Ravens, and hoping we get the good version of them (not the shit version last week which got lucky). Then Sunday I'm probably taking Chargers, and again hoping we don't get a shit version of them.
If we are still alive after next Sunday, I'll be able to start tasting a possible victory. We will be 70% there, with all decent favorites remaining to select.
But that's a big IF. We need these good but inconsistent teams to avoid crapping the bed.
ravens - i don't see another good spot to use them other than this week. wouldn't want to rely on the last game vs pitt at pitt.
chargers at home vs raiders should be a good spot.
This will provide some clarity:
https://twitter.com/Clevta/status/1991203515125936527
Look at the left one. The right is for non-Circa contests.
The Ravens actually have a number of good spots.
The team which doesn't have as much use as you'd imagine is Philadelphia. Week 15 at home versus the Raiders is obvious, but there's also a good spot for SF that week, who almost nobody has used yet.
I feel the best spot for Ravens is Thanksgiving, given the lack of choices that week. It's either them or Philly. If Burrow isn't BACK for that game, it will be pretty obvious to go with Ravens.
This week Ravens and Seahawks are both huge favorites.
COOL CHART.
i didn't type that well. i meant use Balt next week as you suggested, Burrow depending obv.
chargers vs raiders the next week?
Took Seattle as expected.
Some injuries I'm not thrilled about, but the Titans are terrible, so let's hope it holds. Line moved from 13 to 12.5, which isn't a huge deal, but I'd prefer the other way.
Baltimore line actually moved more overall.
https://sports.mynorthwest.com/nfl/s...titans/1829924
You could have been bold and been the only ticket on Shadeur Sanders first start. Lock!
If we win tomorrow, we're gonna have to wait another 30 hours or so before we see if the biggest selection loses.
For the record, I don't like SF this week.
Jets are so bad. They rushed to get on the Baltimore 3 (and 1st down), and fumbled. Had they scored there, they'd have had a chance to win this.
Baltimore gets by.
Now Seattle is kinda shitting the bed but is up by 13 so it will probably be ok.
those Detroit holders this week are the luckiest fucks
happy for Druff and the 2 new investors, been silently rooting for y'all since the very beginning...
The 5 people who took the saints understand what "fancy play syndrome" is right about now.
imagine all the Detroit holders had that played out as it should have.
He's kinda right. Especially this year when you could just ploppy yourself through the first 12 weeks by selecting chalk and not running into the few carnage picks.
Looking at Baltimore for Thursday and Chargers (gasp) for Sunday.
Possibly will go with Philly on Thursday instead.
Burrow BACK: https://www.nfl.com/news/bengals-qb-...against-ravens
Can you explain so I don’t have to look it up- what is the rules pertaining to Thanksgiving and Xmas? Are they treated as separate additional weeks? You have to pick a Thurs and Sun this week?
druff - what are we doing? what are legit options? are both bets due tomorrow or just 1?
if we use phil now are we giving them up on a more needed spot later?
if we hold balt will a better spot be avail for their use?
who do we have to use to go against NO and Car? hell, SF isn't impressive.
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