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Thread: ***Official*** MLB 2025 Thread

  1. #1261
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    4 times we have had a sweep in one series and Game 7 in the other.

    The team who went 7 games won the World Series everytime.

    Jays have hit well against good pitchers all year. The problem is the Jays bullpen.

     
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  2. #1262
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    4 times we have had a sweep in one series and Game 7 in the other.

    The team who went 7 games won the World Series everytime.

    Jays have hit well against good pitchers all year. The problem is the Jays bullpen.


    thoughts on MVP props - just to name a few

    ohtani +180
    guerrep +600
    shell +1800
    mooke bets + 2000
    yamanoto +3500
    muncy +3500

  3. #1263
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Snell +1800 is the best one I see above.

    He has been unhittable for awhile now, and if he destroys the Blue Jays in two starts (which he will probably have), he will be a definitely MVP candidate, especially if no Dodgers hitter sets himself apart from the crowd.

  4. #1264
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Ohtani and Guerrero are the obvious favorites.


    Any of these pitchers would have to go 2-0 with dominant performances.
    Gausman +6600
    Yesavage +5000

    Snell +2000
    Yamamoto +3000


    Hitters crap shoot
    Clement has been on fire +5000. But he hits down in the order....
    Springer could come through in the clutch +1000

    Teoscar is +1600 for me. I haven't watched a minute of the Dodgers other than seeing Ohtani highlights....so maybe Druff can provide more insight here.

  5. #1265
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Ohtani and Guerrero are the obvious favorites.


    Any of these pitchers would have to go 2-0 with dominant performances.
    Gausman +6600
    Yesavage +5000

    Snell +2000
    Yamamoto +3000


    Hitters crap shoot
    Clement has been on fire +5000. But he hits down in the order....
    Springer could come through in the clutch +1000

    Teoscar is +1600 for me. I haven't watched a minute of the Dodgers other than seeing Ohtani highlights....so maybe Druff can provide more insight here.
    Anything can happen with Teoscar, but he hasn't quite been himself since his early-mid season injury. He has flashes where he looks good, but I am seeing a lot of unproductive outs and chased pitches from him.

    I feel +1000 is too short for Springer. He could get it, but the odds should be longer.

    Snell and Yamamoto are probably the best value here. Yamamoto has longer odds because he hasn't been quite as dominant as Snell, and he's less likely to go a 2nd time if the Dodgers have a dominant series.

    Ohtani +180 is a ploppy line. Sure, he has the best chance to win MVP of anyone, but not +180 best. That line is purposely set in such a way because fish love to bet on the obvious pick.

  6. #1266
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Odds to win World Series MVP
    Ernie Clement +5000
    $30 $1,500
    Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
    Odds to win World Series MVPYoshinobu Yamamoto +3500
    $75 $2,625
    Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
    Odds to win World Series MVPBlake Snell +1800
    $75 $1,350
    Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
    Odds to win World Series MVPGeorge Springer +1000
    $75 $750
    Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
    Odds to win World Series MVPTeoscar Hernandez +1800
    $75 $1,350
    Oct 22, 2025 12:12 AM
    Odds to win World Series MVPShohei Ohtani +180
    $183 $329


    thanks simp and dd. gl. i took bjs for series rather than lay the 250 for a small sum.

  7. #1267
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Trey is getting the ball game 1 for Toronto.

    If you can throw a small amount on him if you can still get +5000 odds.


    Edit: I'm on:

    Vladdy +600 (bigger)
    Bo +2000 (small)
    Clement +5000 (tiny)
    Yesavage +5000 (small)

    Would have went Gausman but with Trey getting the ball game 1 he has the best chance for pitching 2 games.

    Springer is the only big dog I'm missing but he's only +1000 and despite his 3 run clutch homer in game 7 he still didn't even sniff ALCS MVP.

  8. #1268

  9. #1269
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Dodgers ticket market on Stubhub right now reminds me of the Vegas housing market.

    Tons for sale, nobody's buying, and somehow they're not lowering the price.

    9000 tickets still sitting unsold.

  10. #1270
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays got by Judge and then Raleigh.

    He’s going to get walked a bunch. And he will hit homers.


    Good luck Druff.

  11. #1271
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Moderate hit to the Dodgers:

    Alex Vesia, who has been one of the better middle relievers so far (though that's a low bar for this team), has left the team to "navigate a deeply personal family matter" with his wife.

    Last we heard, his wife was pregnant and due extremely soon. It is likely related to complications with the pregnancy. This could knock him out of the entire series potentially.

    This team is not exactly deep with bullpen arms.

  12. #1272
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Moderate hit to the Dodgers:

    Alex Vesia, who has been one of the better middle relievers so far (though that's a low bar for this team), has left the team to "navigate a deeply personal family matter" with his wife.

    Last we heard, his wife was pregnant and due extremely soon. It is likely related to complications with the pregnancy. This could knock him out of the entire series potentially.

    This team is not exactly deep with bullpen arms.
    If he found out Mookie is the father this is the type of info Damon Jones was getting paid for

  13. #1273
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Moderate hit to the Dodgers:

    Alex Vesia, who has been one of the better middle relievers so far (though that's a low bar for this team), has left the team to "navigate a deeply personal family matter" with his wife.
    Vesia was completely untrustworthy in the second half and was party to many of the Dodgers’ late innings meltdowns. He was a principal in the “Dodgers relievers are AIDS” narrative.

    He had a recent outing that didn’t end in tragedy. We in the gambling biz call that variance.

    Vesia was just a guy. His absence is not material. Just curious about the roster moves now.

    Get off Facebook.

  14. #1274
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Bo is on the roster. Fully expected this....will be interesting to see if they have him in the field or DH or bench.

    Ty France brought on. Dodgers have lefties and he hits them well.

    Loperfido and Rodriguez out. Nothing exciting there. Rodriguez isn't trustworthy at this point so might as well roll with one less pitcher for Bo.

  15. #1275
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    ok, let's cut to the bone, what's the play tonight?

  16. #1276
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    ok, let's cut to the bone, what's the play tonight?
    I've said my piece. Druff needs to give a little more info.

    Then ask San for his pick since he's likely unbiased (his hatred for the Dodgers isn't as strong at this point).

  17. #1277
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I like Jays pitcher Yesavage to get his strikeouts vs Dodgers. His unusually tall release and all that. Sadly, I think the number is right. I looked at race to 3 strikeouts and The Savage is favored there. Nothing sharp.

    Not thrilled about the Toronto relief after Savage.

    Can’t wait for Trienen vs Vlad speaking of relief. Roki is no lock to be Mariano Rivera. He’s def a wait and see live kinda deal.

    Yesavage pitching low A in spring and now pitching #1 in the World Series is a story on par with Ohtani’s one night of greatness.

    Dodgers win series -1½ games for near even money is a bet I have in pocket.

    The Dodgers aren’t an offensive juggernaut. Long layoff while not seeing game day pitching. We’ve seen them go dark in this playoff situation many times. Snell has been lockdown. Yesavage is a new look for them. Yesavage video won’t crack the code either. Maybe a first 5 under 3.5 +100 is what we are supposed to bet. You’d really have to be sharp and cranky to bet that. I’m cranky

    Live betting game.

  18. #1278
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    This is wild

    I’ve always been a sharp when it came to the Dodgers. I find myself leaning Dodgers. I felt like a Druff ploppy. However…

    The Athletic put out a poll and 80% were cheering Blue Jays.

    Of course.

  19. #1279
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Moderate hit to the Dodgers:

    Alex Vesia, who has been one of the better middle relievers so far (though that's a low bar for this team), has left the team to "navigate a deeply personal family matter" with his wife.
    Vesia was completely untrustworthy in the second half and was party to many of the Dodgers’ late innings meltdowns. He was a principal in the “Dodgers relievers are AIDS” narrative.

    He had a recent outing that didn’t end in tragedy. We in the gambling biz call that variance.

    Vesia was just a guy. His absence is not material. Just curious about the roster moves now.

    Get off Facebook.
    You're forgetting about how motley this crew is.

    It's not like last year where he was one of several effective bullpen arms.

    Even a guy who is half effective is an asset to this bullpen right now.

    Dodgers 9-1 record this postseason has been a function of tremendous starting pitching, and hitting just well enough to come out on top.

    Losing Vesia from this bullpen is like living in a small town with shitty restaurants, and seeing Denny's close.

  20. #1280
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    I feel ploppy rooting and betting for my team but it's worked all year. The money is on Dodgers and I believe the Jays have value.

    **Unless you think it's a steamroll in 4-5 games in which case everyone can laugh me off the messageboard.

    Yankees had Rodon, Schlittler, Fried.
    Seattle had Woo, Castillo, Kirby. Munoz and some other lights out bullpen guys

    How many fucks do the Jays care about how much money is on your roster or how good your pitchers are? 0 absolutely none.

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