All this bad beat talk reminds me of the most soul crushing beat I can remember, both in improbability and because it was a very large bet for me at the time.
We are going back at least 10 years, and I dont remember all the specifics. But I remember it was an SEC game and Auburn was one of the teams. And long story short I had the dog +7.5, and they were winning the whole game. And the favorite tied it at the very end to take it into overtime, and the dog lost by 8 in like the 3rd or 4th OT under the old rules.
I dont even remember which team it was (Texas Tech?) but I also remember being on the wrong end of backing a Mike Leach (RIP) team at the end of a minor bowl game when they were up at the end of the 4th and literally could have won the game by just kneeling down; and instead they kept running plays and fumbled and lost.
But I kind of just accepted that one. If you are going to back a Mike Leach coached team that was what you were signing up for. I am sure at some point I got a cover backing Leach that I wouldn't have with another coach (and vice versa), because he kept passing downfield when the game was decided.
did anyone follow Dave Sharapan? Learned yesterday he passed. was an extraordinarily knowledgeable gambler/bookmaker/storyteller. Found him on some you tube shows and then started following him years ago. He had a podcast for a short bit, not bostonian vs the book, but another which gave some great leans on games, etc. he could see angles i certainly couldn't. Never met nor communicated with the guy, but felt i knew him or wanted to. life's not fair.
if you watch espn, etc. or any of the sports gambling shows, you would have seen him in recent times and may recognize his picture.
https://barrettmedia.com/2025/09/21/...s-passed-away/
https://www.espn.com/college-footbal...uburn-arkansas
--Looks like it was the above game. And according to AI the line was Arkansas -6.5; but I remember getting Auburn +7.5 (maybe it was 7 at one point and I bought the extra 0.5 points which I have been known to do over the years; or it actually got to 7.5). And it looks like my memory was wrong, in that it was Auburn which tied the game with a last second FG to send it to OT, although I would have been perfectly fine if they missed the kick and lost by 3.
Rest in peace
I followed the Bostonian, Matt Perrault, for a bit. He was Andover Mass like Jay Leno. He was a radio personality for a while. The Bostonian is a professor at UNLV as a side gig. He was steps away from the UNLV mass shooting a few years ago. Perrault grinds the wager-tainment space 365 days a year. Respect for that
As a genre I love to follow old bookmakers like Sharapan who operated pre analytics.
I never acquired a taste for BVB though. I know guys who never missed it. You only have so much time
agree, the bvb was too much time to ordinarily invest. so i listened to a pod he was on weekly for the games and then i knew when he would be a guest on a couple of sports betting shows i like. loved to hear stories from when he started down in Curacao and they were taking bets by wires and over the phone and he would look outside his window and see goats grazing on a hill, meals always brought in, long hours. god, what a time and place to have been in that business/game. hell of a way to learn trial by fire.
the guy was a real class act. it's a shame.
Cardinals -105
As +116
Tigers U 7.5
Yankees U 8
Ms U 7.5
The real beginnings of the joke was 13-15 years ago when some of the offshores were offering shot on goal props for NHL games. The running gag was these books were run on an island somewhere and the lines were set by someone who has never seen a Ice Rink. He lived on the beach in a hut and just kept printing "29.5" every game.
Whats scary is for a joke it wasn't all that far off.
I understand its a big game and the Reds absolutely need a W at all costs.
But
H Green has gone over 7.5 Ks 3 times since April. The fact that Under 7.5 is getting paid +120 at some shops is.... aggressive.
Maybe I am missing something with Pitt striking out more than most.
That you could pull the 29.5 reference so easily does not go unnoticed.
This anecqdote insta triggers the glorious 1P ineptitude by the books …. gosh musta been 7 years ago now. Easiest regular money of my short ass wager career. Every morning the 1P lines triggered so much excitement. Books just didn’t care or notice.
Hockey wagering data analytics has proliferated the past 2 years. It’s no different than MLB now. I still think you find more line misprints from some books in hockey still. Apps like beebettor close them fast though.
San can you co-sign me taking Jays +105 at home vs Crochet? Better to ask forgiveness......I already did.
![]()
There are currently 3 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 3 guests)