Originally Posted by Dan Druff
it's uncanny.
it's uncanny.
I'm taking the Vikings tonight -1.5 because of the Patriots. You see, the Pats are on a bit of a doom roll. A big reason to be let down by the pathetic loss yesterday was the realization that the QB might stink. JJ McCarthy making Pats fans wonder why they didn't draft him instead of Drake Maye would seem to complete the circle of dread. I feel like this has to happen.
I've noticed the sharps already like the Falcons for Sunday, so I'm not taking the Vikings on any Survivor ticket. Whether I am dumb enough to bet the Falcons again is another story.
Green Bay looking real this year.
Washington getting smacked when playing a team which doesn't suck. I don't trust the Redskins to repeat last year.
I almost fired on GB -3. Should have obv. Next time I go with my gut.
Revisiting Survivor week 2: (note that lines are just posted for info purposes, these are all actually +0 picks)
Baltimore -11.5 vs Cleveland - Safe pick, too public, but will probably do at least 1 ticket here
Dallas -5 vs NY Giants - Possible, but this one could get upset. Giants looked bad week 1, though
LA Rams -5.5 at Tennessee - Rams looked good. But could be better spot in the future for them, such as home vs Saints 11/2
Buffalo -6 at NY Jets - Buffalo didn't look good until that miraculous comeback. At home vs Saints in 2 weeks would be better spot. Also, books want action on Buffalo.
Detroit -6 vs Chicago - Bears may not be a pushover, and the Lions look like regression might be happening. Possible upset here. On the plus side, the books seem to want action on Chicago.
Arizona -7 -105 vs Carolina - Who knew this mediocre team would be a top survivor pick in the first 2 weeks? Maybe anyone who looked at the schedule. Panthers looked bad week 1. I have 3 tickets which can still use Arizona out of the 6.
Minnesota -3.5 +103 vs Atlanta - Sharps and books both seem to believe Minnesota won't cover -- and that they might lose outright. Big nope.
LA Chargers -3.5 -104 at Las Vegas - Chargers don't face many outright bad teams, but they will be at home against these same Raiders on 11/30
49ers will not be playing Purdy, so they are out of the question this week.
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These are all the games which are -3.5 or more favorite.
What are your feelings? I have 6 tickets, but only 3 can use Arizona.
Chicago still isn’t good and I think Detroit rights the ship fairly easily imo
Dallas for me.
Not the most likely to win but this will be the only week they can possibly be used.
Dallas is a good pick, but note they will be at Carolina on 10/12.Dallas for me.
Not the most likely to win but this will be the only week they can possibly be used.
Dallas is a good pick, but note they will be at Carolina on 10/12.
I don't make them over a 3 point favorite on the road vs Carolina.
Week 6 will be tricky but I am landing on Pitt, Was or Phi as of now. So if that is true (and you may disagree) I think its now or never on Dallas.
Survivor
Tickets 1-3: Dallas (last week Arizona)
Ticket 4: Baltimore (last week Jax)
Ticket 5: Arizona (last week Jax)
Ticket 6: Arizona (last week Denver)
https://twitter.com/CircaSports/status/1967089158062829686
Pretty shocked Baltimore wasn't the leading pick this week.
I guess the players are getting sharper.
Well, sort of. 43 tickets already down the drain due to not picking.
Strategy question- you had said previously the smartest route to win is to stay away from the chalk, most obvious picks. 2 weeks in, all you’ve done is spread your picks among the top 3 most obvious choices. What gives?
I’ve found reasons to dislike all of the other potential picks.Strategy question- you had said previously the smartest route to win is to stay away from the chalk, most obvious picks. 2 weeks in, all you’ve done is spread your picks among the top 3 most obvious choices. What gives?
Druff owes Daboll and Wilson a Sonatine after that mismanagement of time by those 2 clowns.
Congratulations….I guess.
That was one of the craziest games I've seen. 4th quarter those teams morphed into Greatest-show-on-turf Rams, amazing offense. Then quickly switched back to normal Cowboys/Giants incompetence lulz in OT.
Glad I wasn't sweating 3 Circa tickets on that.
Probably took 3 years off my life.That was one of the craziest games I've seen. 4th quarter those teams morphed into Greatest-show-on-turf Rams, amazing offense. Then quickly switched back to normal Cowboys/Giants incompetence lulz in OT.
Glad I wasn't sweating 3 Circa tickets on that.
I had the same thought... one of the craziest games I've ever seen. Every time I thought I was fucked, they pulled off a miracle. Every time I thought I had it in the bag, I got fucked.
You're right, the OT was absolutely awful on both ends, just a little less awful on the Cowboys' side. That INT which pretty much decided it was a mind-bogglingly bad decision by Wilson, who otherwise wasn't playing like Russell Wilson the rest of the game. Seemed like the Giants essentially gave up at that point.
Glad I won't be using this Dallas team again. Or most likely won't be for the other 3 tickets.
Now I just need Carolina to be Carolina.
Feels good to be a ploppy.
I was just thinking about it, and I realized that the NFL might have fucked itself by scheduling 2 good teams against the Chiefs right off the bat, and then 2 of the next 4 games are against tough teams, as well. Do they really want this team to get off to a bad start?
I realize that the Taylor Swift engagement happened after the schedule was made/released, but it's been obvious for awhile that the NFL has a vested interest in the Chiefs succeeding, so you'd think they'd at least allow them to build up a good record, rather than frontload them with interesting matchups which have the potential to start the Chiefs off 0-2, and maybe even 2-4.
In the meantime you have mediocre teams like Arizona who start off playing failteams and (hopefully in Arizona's case) have an easy path to 2-0.
Carolina might be the worst team in the NFL this year.
They were expected to be among the bottom teams. but they've really looked pathetic so far. This might inform my future Survivor picks.
That backward double clutch throw that lost a dozen yards flipped the entire game. Wilson went from the best game he’s had in 5 years to retard after that. They were like 2nd and 2 and about to win in 3 plays and the Survivor gods smiled upon you
Need some breaks to win these things
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