Lost the above.
Wind blowing out big time in SF today. Marquez has given up 25 runs over past 4 starts.
Colorado (Marquez) at San Francisco (Webb) - Over 7.5 +105
Lost the above.
Wind blowing out big time in SF today. Marquez has given up 25 runs over past 4 starts.
Colorado (Marquez) at San Francisco (Webb) - Over 7.5 +105
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
so i only follow and typically only bet football. following a recommendation of someone off the site, i made a prop bet on the cavs to win it all.
so i guess i need to see if i should cover or let it ride. but my site isn't offering current odds. does anyone know what they are/any advice on what to do with this ticket now - it's not a lot of $ so inclination is to let it play out unless they are unlikely to make it to the end.
TIA
Jan 7, 2025 5:55 PM
Odds to win 2024-25 NBA Championship
Cleveland Cavaliers +1000
$100 $1,000
This one has moved a lot, so I forgive you if you don't bet it at the reduced line.
I only saw it now.
Reds' Singer has been incredibly solid for all of his 2025 starts. Rookie AJ Smith-Shawver has been somewhat shaky, but notably he took a ball off his elbow on his last start (ouch!), and I'm not convinced he's 100%.
Interestingly, the 5-inning line is -105 Reds, so that speaks a lot in favor of Singer.
Cincinnati (Singer) +114 at Atlanta (Smith-Shawver)
No pitcher is streakier than Miles Mikolas. For the last several years, he's either been super effective or awful, with little in between.
The 2025 Mikolas seems to be on a roll. He's off back-to-back zero-run starts, and truthfully he's only had one really bad start this year (a complete beatdown in Boston in early April).
Carmen Mlodzinski has had a miserable year for Pittsburgh. St. Louis is at home, they're the better team, and home teams have been doing better than most years -- at least thus far.
I like the moderate favorite price here.
St. Louis (Mikolas) -131 at Pittsburgh (Mlodzinski)
Split 'em yesterday, though net loss because the Cards were -131.
Today here's a full game under.
Sale is far better than his current numbers show. His last outing featured a whopping 24 swinging strikes. That's a great sign.
Cincinnati (Abbott) at Atlanta (Sale) - Under 8 +100
Under going TOO well.
0-0 bottom 7.
I need someone to take the lead so it doesn't go to extras.
2–1 final
Any of you hockey guys, why are Caps +140 down 1-0 at home? Injuries?
San Francisco (Hicks) -113 at Minnesota (Paddack)
Cost myself
I had the start time wrong for Injuns game. Wanted to get u7.5 -115 but missed it.
Sadly the one I didn’t miss will prob lose
Brady Singer has done a good job for the Reds so far this year. BUT....
The last two outings have been suspect. Two outings ago he only threw 46/92 pitches for strikes. Last outing he struck out only two, and generated just 3 swings-and-misses out of 102 pitches! That's a sign that he's not fooling anyone, and it's just a matter of time before he has a bomb of an outing.
Remember Lance McCullers? After not pitching for all of 2023 and 2024, he's back. His velocity is 2 mph down, and he took 87 pitches to get 11 outs against the lowly White Sox in his first MLB appearance in years.
I trust neither pitcher today, so I'm doing a first-5 over.
Cincinnati (Singer) at Houston (McCullers) - OVER 4 -125 - FIRST 5 INNINGS
Took 0.5 innings to win by more than 6 runs.
12-7 in the 4th. Was I right about Singer and McCullers, or what?
Clearly some people weren’t as happy about McCullers failure as you were.
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1921404162794750208
Sad how dead this thread is getting without college basketball/football, and without NFL.
Anyway I'll keep the lights on with one MLB pick today.
Do you like Paul Skenes? Granted, he plays for a shit team, but do you think he's a good pitcher?
I ask this because today you have the chance to get a whopping +146 on a Skenes start.
The first-5 line is only Pitts +100, but you get as much as +146 if you do the entire game. David Peterson has a WHIP of near 1.4 and isn't the same pitcher he was last year. He's not terrible, but he's off his worst start last time out, and the chickens might be coming home to roost regarding the frequent baserunners allowed.
Skenes hasn't booked a W since April 14. I think today you'll see a dominant performance out of him, and the Pirates will squeak one out against the tough Mets.
Pittsburgh (Skenes) +146 at Mets (D. Peterson)
I won't blame you if you just want Skenes +100 (or +105 on Bovada) for 5 innings though.
NOTE: Sharps are on the other side on this one.
Pittsbrugh sucks.
Skenes had a good start. Pittsburgh blew a number of scoring chances but got up 2-1 in the 7th with both starters out. Was 1-1 after 5, so a first-5 would've tied.
Pittsburgh put in slumping Caleb Ferguson to pitch bottom 7th, and now it's unraveling.
Pirates fucked the inning up. They could've gotten out of it with a tie, but a horrible throw to the plate which should've nailed the runner, plus a horrible tag attempt allowed Acuna to squeak through and Mets lead 3-2.
Pirates ain't coming back from this. Might as well be 14-2.
Wasn't destined to win this one, though it was closer than I thought.
First, Joey Bart was robbed of a sure HR by a great over-the-wall catch.
If that wasn't enough, the Pirates, down 3-2 in the 9th, tied the game and then had 1st and 3rd with 1 out. Bryan Reynolds hit into a DP, and that was that for the rally. Mets came up and obliterated David Bednar to walk it off.
So I've decided I'm done with these road picks. Road teams just aren't performing well in 2025, and that's been the one black mark on what has otherwise been a good start to my MLB picking season.
Let's look at the Dodgers tonight.
Landon Knack is on the mound tonight. He looked kinda promising last year, but this year he's been quite inconsistent, and has been up and down from the minors. His best start came last time out --- but it was against the Marlins. Aside from a 2-inning stint against the Cubs in Japan, all of his innings have been against bad teams -- Washington, Colorado, Miami.
Today he will face a team which was supposed to be bad, but has been surprisingly competitive thus far. The Sacramento A's are amazingly 21-20, and most notably, they've put up 180 runs -- just 5 fewer than the vaunted Padres (who have played just 1 fewer game). They've hit the ball well lately, in general.
The A's pitching -- which has given up 218 runs -- has been their issue. Jeffrey Springs is one of those pitchers, and he's only had one truly good outing this season -- on May 1 against light-hitting Texas. He's managed to go 5 or 6 in most starts, but has given up 3+ just about every time.
You know where I'm going.
Sacramento (Springs) at Dodgers (Knack) - OVER 5 -115 - FIRST 5 INNINGS
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