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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #41461
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WillieMcFML View Post
    Blues won their 10th in a row and have the best record in the NHL since the four nations tournament

    You can still get them to win the cup +5000 at ceasars

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    this team is eerily similar to the 2019 team that went all the way

    do not doubt me go put something down now before the odds change
    11 in a row

    Wanna guess what year they last won 12 in a row?
    Hi Lew!!!

  2. #41462
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    starts in an hour, beautiful night at yankee stadium vs. ari, 68 degrees with no chance of precipitation... wind blowing straight out 11-12mph, both teams top 5 in hitting so far this year , both teams in the lower half for pitching so far this year including bullpens...
    gimme the over 9.5
    Some of the best plays are the ones you dont overthink.

  3. #41463
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Some of the best plays are the ones you dont overthink.
    Wash Capitals -400 favorites vs bum ass Hawks. Hawks have Spencer Knight in goal and he’s an ok Joe but the defense in front of him is poor.

    Ovi 2 to tie and 3 to break

    So last goal Ovi +650 and 2+ goals +550 is a fun look

  4. #41464
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Some of the best plays are the ones you dont overthink.
    Wash Capitals -400 favorites vs bum ass Hawks. Hawks have Spencer Knight in goal and he’s an ok Joe but the defense in front of him is poor.

    Ovi 2 to tie and 3 to break

    So last goal Ovi +650 and 2+ goals +550 is a fun look
    DK

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    We are rather obligated to punt the $10 or $25 limit on +894

    Chinese devig math vs Pinny FD

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  5. #41465
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    starts in about 40 minutes, NBA... CLE @ SA under 242 for many reasons i wish not to explain and jinx it...

  6. #41466
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Wash Capitals -400 favorites vs bum ass Hawks. Hawks have Spencer Knight in goal and he’s an ok Joe but the defense in front of him is poor.

    Ovi 2 to tie and 3 to break

    So last goal Ovi +650 ❌ and 2+ goals +550 ✅ is a fun look
    DK

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    We are rather obligated to punt the $10 or $25 limit on +894 ✅

    Chinese devig math vs Pinny FD

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    man code dictates he won’t complete the record on an empty net. love that - I’ll take the L

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  7. #41467
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    starts in about 40 minutes, NBA... CLE @ SA under 242 for many reasons i wish not to explain and jinx it...
    another no sweat win on these totals... 227 was the total tonight...
    Attached Images Attached Images  

     
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      country978: nice1

  8. #41468
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
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    Does anyone else use Pikkit to track all your accounts and their bets?

    For some reason, it’s only tracking PrizePicks since the end of March for me.

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    I’m @WillieMcGee51 on there
    Hi Lew!!!

  9. #41469
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WillieMcFML View Post
    Does anyone else use Pikkit to track all your accounts and their bets?

    For some reason, it’s only tracking PrizePicks since the end of March for me.

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    I’m @WillieMcGee51 on there
    EVERYONE uses Pikkit. Sharing results is a huge social experience. I’m literally the last holdout being an “old” concerned about data security. If you’re under 35 security and privacy just isn’t a thing.

    Apparently Pikkit accesses your bet data only when YOU log in. It alledgedly doesn’t hold my sportsbook login info. But if I was to build a Trojan this is the app I’d focus on. More than anything in America.

    I’m close to getting with the program though.

    PikkitPro is supposed to be god.

  10. #41470
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Just downloaded Pikkit. Exploring.

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    Baseball and and hockey have run pretty pure.

    Would love to have a script to export picks to text. Vibe coding?

    Condolences on Dylan Holloway. McFML

  11. #41471
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I dont think this is going to be earth shattering news to anyone who follows the game but there may be some $$ in Overs for the Yankees when playing at home.

     
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      1dollarboxcar: +++

  12. #41472
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I dont think this is going to be earth shattering news to anyone who follows the game but there may be some $$ in Overs for the Yankees when playing at home.
    how about tomorrow NYY @ DET... wind will be blowing straight out 16-17mph https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/weather?date=2025-04-07 ... O/U is 8... i'm in on the over already...

  13. #41473
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I dont think this is going to be earth shattering news to anyone who follows the game but there may be some $$ in Overs for the Yankees when playing at home.
    how about tomorrow NYY @ DET... wind will be blowing straight out 16-17mph https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/weather?date=2025-04-07 ... O/U is 8... i'm in on the over already...
    meh, we got a tie... but it's better than an L... good thing got in early on this one, line moved to 8.5 ....

  14. #41474
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The Giants are mostly smoke and mirrors. They aren't the contender the Padres legitimately are.

    Hunter Greene has tremendous stuff and is capable of putting together a great game against anyone. The Giants do not have a great offense by any means.

    Notice that the first-5 line is Reds +115/Giants -135. The full game line is +148/-162. That's because of Greene.

    Truthfully the Giants do have the better bullpen, but I am going for the full game because of the much steeper line.

    Cincinnati (Greene) +150 at San Francisco (Webb)

     
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      go_buccos:

  15. #41475
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    The Giants are mostly smoke and mirrors. They aren't the contender the Padres legitimately are.

    Hunter Greene has tremendous stuff and is capable of putting together a great game against anyone. The Giants do not have a great offense by any means.

    Notice that the first-5 line is Reds +115/Giants -135. The full game line is +148/-162. That's because of Greene.

    Truthfully the Giants do have the better bullpen, but I am going for the full game because of the much steeper line.

    Cincinnati (Greene) +150 at San Francisco (Webb)
    2-0 after 8. Reds blew a chance to blow it open in the 8th with bases loaded 1 out.

    Greene allowed to complete it, 2 out nobody on, ran out of gas. Lee got single, Chapman walked after 1-2 count. Greene out.

    Nail biter.

  16. #41476
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    A bullet hit by Heliot Ramos but right to the outfielder, who caught it semi-diving.

    Game ova.

    6-0 in MLB so far. +150 win here.

    Had I bet first 5, would've been a tie.

  17. #41477
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    Sharps were on Giants on this one. I said fuck that and went with Greene and the Reds.

    Somehow missed the obvious first-5 under here.

  18. #41478
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So its masters time.

    I got some Aberg early in the season near +3000 which is better than the price in offer now but the fact that someone i trust likes not to make cut at +400 makes me uneasy

    I got a bunch of Sepp Straka at +125000. It will be hard for him to win (like anyone else) but his game has been good to great all year long.

    So the two big factoids when it comes to finding the Masters winner. 1. 8/11 winners have a top 5 finish in a previous masters. 2. 9/11 masters winners have played at least 3 masters tournaments. Not too many players in this profile. I am willing to think this will hold.

    Jon Rham +1600 is a exceptional value. He is the unquestioned best player on LIV right now. He won two years ago. Everyone else with his pedagree is +750 or shorter.

    Kopkea +3200 just cant ignore his record at majors.


    Like Cam Smith and Zal for FRL

  19. #41479
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting very shortly...

    Charlie Morton was born in 1983. He's the oldest starting pitcher ever for the Orioles. He's gotten bombed twice so far in 2 starts.

    Merrill kelly got destroyed by the Yanks in his first outing, looked ok against the Cubs (but walked 4), and had a mediocre spring.

    Another first 5 over.

    Baltimore (Morton) at Arizona (M. kelly) - OVER 5 -115 First 5 innings

  20. #41480
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    Detroit Lions +500 to be NFC Championship winner on fanduel.

    BET BET BET

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