Um, Nate Silver is about as liberal as they get, and his probability index just updated was based on the most liberal newspaper poll in the nation, the New York Times.
She is behind, the betting markets validate it now by a pretty wide margin.
I will concede the fact that if Harris "wins the debate" Trump is in trouble. But I do not think she will. She is a word salad machine and will be completely unable to fill up 90 second answers. The media is already downplaying her chances, saying Trump will be on his 7th debate for President and this will be the first. This leads me to believe she is bombing in her debate prep, and it's leaked already.
I am going to give credit where credit is due with this line from the legendary 408Mike who called out poster "Chris": spectacular fail