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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #40041
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Trying to gage the ROY markets in MLB is so frustrating. You handicapping a teams risk tolerance for a player to lose a super two year vs wanting to win more than you are the quality of the player.

    If it was only talent Id swear Junior Caminerio at +2000 would be the bet in the AL. Manzardo as a backaup at 40-1 would be a hedge.

    I already declared for Wood in the NL even though i bet Merrill at 40-1 pre

    But like i said none of the four may see a pitch in May which is crazy

    Merrill is happening

  2. #40042
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Nothing like when your under 8 gets to the 12th 3-3, and then 6 runs come across.

    Anyway at least Walker saved me by allowing exactly 3 ER, so I split 'em.


    Sorry but I gotta keep betting against these pitchers who don't have it anymore, even if they're Dodgers. At least by only betting Walker 3+ ER, I could still root for the Dodgers once he got there. And they did end up winning.

  3. #40043
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Nothing like when your under 8 gets to the 12th 3-3, and then 6 runs come across.

    Anyway at least Walker saved me by allowing exactly 3 ER, so I split 'em.


    Sorry but I gotta keep betting against these pitchers who don't have it anymore, even if they're Dodgers. At least by only betting Walker 3+ ER, I could still root for the Dodgers once he got there. And they did end up winning.
    Yeah, I didn't have a $ on that game, but I was thinking about your bet as both teams had runners on third with one out multiple times in extras. That game looked bad early and then both bullpens were excellent for a long time through mid-late stages and into extras to give you a shot until they ran out of arms.

  4. #40044
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sadly I can't be on ER allowed by Jonny Cueto, who is laughably returning to play the Royals today in KC.

    At least BOL doesn't have it.

    If you can bet over on that one, do it.

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  7. #40047
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Sadly I can't be on ER allowed by Jonny Cueto, who is laughably returning to play the Royals today in KC.

    At least BOL doesn't have it.

    If you can bet over on that one, do it.

    You actually made me money on this despite Cueto not being as bad as expected. I didn’t have that option either, but you have been so good on the pitchers getting shelled. I just fired KC ML blindly as I had already made $ on Yankees once they scored I first. Worked out. I don’t think I’ve ever won on Lorenzen.

  8. #40048
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Sadly I can't be on ER allowed by Jonny Cueto, who is laughably returning to play the Royals today in KC.

    At least BOL doesn't have it.

    If you can bet over on that one, do it.

    You actually made me money on this despite Cueto not being as bad as expected. I didn’t have that option either, but you have been so good on the pitchers getting shelled. I just fired KC ML blindly as I had already made $ on Yankees once they scored I first. Worked out. I don’t think I’ve ever won on Lorenzen.

    just fade his sides

  9. #40049
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post


    You actually made me money on this despite Cueto not being as bad as expected. I didn’t have that option either, but you have been so good on the pitchers getting shelled. I just fired KC ML blindly as I had already made $ on Yankees once they scored I first. Worked out. I don’t think I’ve ever won on Lorenzen.

    just fade his sides
    He had the right one baby on this one.

    I actually meant RL.

    Usually when he doesn’t like a pitcher, it’s 6-0 in the second. This one was a bit lucky but all him.


    Single
    @
    +106
    Won
    Aug 21 • 2024 At 07:25:01 PM
    Ticket ID: 7779379507
    Run Line: KC Royals -1.5
    LA Angels @ KC Royals

  10. #40050
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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  11. #40051
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    i'm feeling frisky. what are the plays for tonight and tomorrow?

  12. #40052
    Silver DrPeters's Avatar
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  13. #40053
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    KCR Bobby Witt +425 HR vs Tijuan Walker xERA 5.73 whip 1.51.

    I got +475 last night. Def a crowd favorite today.

    A hate bet would be TBR Brandon Lowe +380 vs LAD Bobby Thriller who has THE WORST HR/9 of any pitcher today. Walks a ton. XERA 5.82 whip 1.84. Zero comtrol.

    Sprinkles.
    LAD Mookie HR
    LAD Ohtani is trading unusually high during his slump
    AZ Corbin Carroll
    NYY Soto

    Bunch of crummy pitchers today.

    Parlay an alt 6 and Dodgers ML for something even money.

  14. #40054
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    can someone please explain to me why the brewers and A's ML bet is basically 50-50 tonight some books even have MIL as slight dogs best price i can get is at @circa for MIL -106 OAK -104 ..... what am i missing here why do the books have this game at even? i know Yelich has been out for MIL, but they seem to be getting by just fine without him...? A's have a lefty starting but looks like MIL still hits good on lefties at .250 ba and .254 vs righties, why are the books so down on MIL @ OAK tonight?? TIA...

    i now have a 1/4 unit as to find out why...lol..??

  15. #40055
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Philadelphia (T. Walker) +117 at Kansas City (Wacha)

  16. #40056
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    can someone please explain to me why the brewers and A's ML bet is basically 50-50 tonight some books even have MIL as slight dogs best price i can get is at @circa for MIL -106 OAK -104 ..... what am i missing here why do the books have this game at even? i know Yelich has been out for MIL, but they seem to be getting by just fine without him...? A's have a lefty starting but looks like MIL still hits good on lefties at .250 ba and .254 vs righties, why are the books so down on MIL @ OAK tonight?? TIA...

    i now have a 1/4 unit as to find out why...lol..??
    Brew Crew wins 11-3, i also had them winning this pretty easily, but in all fairness not this easily, still don't understand why the sharps were so heavy on the A's ?? they scared me again and i thought i was missing something and i know not too long ago i said never again and full unit as always... but the pricing seemed too good to be true ?? i was more confused this time than last time but that was on an O/U .... really kicking myself in the ass... AGAIN !! i was really hoping some of you who are smarter than me had some answers as why the price was so cheap for MIL in this game, still baffled??!!! guess i shouldn't complain... a 1/4 unit win is a 1/4 unit win i guess?? just can't get over it though !!

     
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  17. #40057
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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      Pickleball: Is number 6 Christopher Mitchell?

  18. #40058
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    i'm feeling frisky. what are the plays for tonight and tomorrow?
    bump

  19. #40059
    Silver DrPeters's Avatar
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    chargers +3.5

  20. #40060
    Silver DrPeters's Avatar
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    guardians -130

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